Daniel Swain's avatar

Daniel Swain

@weatherwest.bsky.social

For the record: I do not agree w/recent prognostications and headlines claiming that Fire Season 2024 will likely be a quiet/below average one in Western U.S. It may start slowly/be "below avg" initially, but I strongly expect rapid shift to above-average activity by Aug-Sep.

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Scott W's avatar Scott W @sweinstock.bsky.social
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After two solid winters, in Sonoma anyway, we’ve also got a lot of downed trees, branches, etc. that have just been piling up.

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Mary (geographile)'s avatar Mary (geographile) @geographile.bsky.social
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There's a lot of fuel out there.

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Daniel Swain's avatar Daniel Swain @weatherwest.bsky.social
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Why? The past two years have been relatively wet (and not record warm) across most of West, with good mountain snowpack in many areas. That has resulted in low fire activity and lots of extra grass/brush growth. That adds "fuel to the fire" (more in some ecosystems than others).

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