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yarrriv
@yarrriv.bsky.social
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the perfect spread for No Nut November
1 replies 1 reposts 7 likes
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yarrriv@yarrriv.bsky.social |
305 followers 114 following 7880 posts
Whatever happened to digging?
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yarrriv
@yarrriv.bsky.social
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the perfect spread for No Nut November
1 replies 1 reposts 7 likes
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yarrriv
@yarrriv.bsky.social
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I will not make predictions on whether Biden drops out or whether Trump is reelected but I feel fairly confident in saying that none of these people will feel any shame or accept any responsibility
2 replies 0 reposts 8 likes
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yarrriv
@yarrriv.bsky.social
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this is partly why it's not going to stop, because the media doesn't need any real leaks, they can just lie about it
0 replies 0 reposts 2 likes
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yarrriv
@yarrriv.bsky.social
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look if you think trading Biden for Harris would be a good idea you can say that but she is not polling better than Biden, that's just not true
1 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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yarrriv
@yarrriv.bsky.social
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Personally I'm not hoarse, I've just moved along the stages of poaster's grief from helpless rage to making impotent little jokes
0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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yarrriv
@yarrriv.bsky.social
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well, that's the worst thing about bluesky, but that's only like the third or fourth worst thing about twitter, behind the nazi propaganda and csam and bot scams
0 replies 0 reposts 14 likes
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yarrriv
@yarrriv.bsky.social
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"I'm your great** grandchild, I'm here to stop you from making a huge mistake"
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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yarrriv
@yarrriv.bsky.social
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in fact I'm beginning to sour on the decision to leave the oceans
1 replies 0 reposts 10 likes
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yarrriv
@yarrriv.bsky.social
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modern society was a mistake
1 replies 0 reposts 4 likes
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yarrriv
@yarrriv.bsky.social
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we can't afford to talk about the danger of Trump because we have to make sure there's the right candidate to defeat Trump
1 replies 0 reposts 11 likes
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yarrriv
@yarrriv.bsky.social
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This guy is from Takoma Park, he says he started by running all of TKPK but that was too easy
1 replies 0 reposts 3 likes
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yarrriv
@yarrriv.bsky.social
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This is a fun story
2 replies 2 reposts 6 likes
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yarrriv
@yarrriv.bsky.social
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Marking off days to the Olympic opening ceremony on the calendar like a French Resistance member tracking the ally advance in June 1944. Just have to hole up for three more weeks before we get some discourse relief
0 replies 0 reposts 4 likes
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yarrriv
@yarrriv.bsky.social
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Like DC's Day Mayor and Night Mayor
1 replies 0 reposts 7 likes
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yarrriv
@yarrriv.bsky.social
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Did anybody expect that of the president until Biden Old discourse?
1 replies 0 reposts 17 likes
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yarrriv
@yarrriv.bsky.social
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50% of the country wanted him, the other 50% didn't. But even here, 40% of the country still voted Con+Reform. Maybe the fallacy is the idea of the national mood
1 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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yarrriv
@yarrriv.bsky.social
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And notably the press coverage post-2016 is unanimously "Trump is what the country chose", using the electoral result rather than what people voted for
1 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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yarrriv
@yarrriv.bsky.social
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If I followed the 2016 elections in the US purely via the press and at the end you told me Trump won, without handing me the actual vote tally, I would have thought that this is what the country wanted. But it wasn't! He got fewer votes!
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yarrriv
@yarrriv.bsky.social
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Yes, but, again, how does the media know what the public wants outside of running with the election results.
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yarrriv
@yarrriv.bsky.social
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This is a serious question, what you get is either polling, or the mood of the press. But the latter is strongly influenced by the parliamentary results, so you get reporting of the national mood that fits the those, not vice versa
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yarrriv
@yarrriv.bsky.social
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how do you know what the British people want?
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yarrriv
@yarrriv.bsky.social
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it's part of their roleplay
0 replies 0 reposts 4 likes
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yarrriv
@yarrriv.bsky.social
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I think Jon Stewart's rally to restore sanity is instructive, political satire works better when you really can needle both sides
1 replies 0 reposts 3 likes
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yarrriv
@yarrriv.bsky.social
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You do get stuff like this, where a large chunk of the voters, more than 30%, went from Con to LD, something you basically never see in the US
1 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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yarrriv
@yarrriv.bsky.social
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Labour got 61% of seats on 34% of the vote; generously accounting for tactical voting, Lab+LD+Green account for 52.8% of the vote - a majority! - and got 79% of seats
1 replies 0 reposts 2 likes
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yarrriv
@yarrriv.bsky.social
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Lib Dems sat in government with the Tories in 2010, so in I'm not sure they would necessarily fit in with Labor. Maybe more so since Brexit, because the UK got a kind of American polarization around leave/remain
1 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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yarrriv
@yarrriv.bsky.social
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I would say 2003, but later in the year
1 replies 0 reposts 2 likes
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yarrriv
@yarrriv.bsky.social
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I do seem to recall that in 2019 it was the opposite, conservatives only got a small bump from the previous election but picked up a lot of seats because of a labour/lib dem split
1 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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yarrriv
@yarrriv.bsky.social
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FPP with multiple parties, who does that
1 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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yarrriv
@yarrriv.bsky.social
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Keir has to whip his head back and forth between the hot and cold taps to wash his
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yarrriv
@yarrriv.bsky.social
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the thing where the ambition of state-level Democrats is inverse to the size of their majorities is kind of funny
0 replies 0 reposts 7 likes
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yarrriv
@yarrriv.bsky.social
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A liberal supermajority led by a bland white man with good hair and zero interest in reshaping the status quo? Over here in America we call that California
5 replies 4 reposts 28 likes
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yarrriv
@yarrriv.bsky.social
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Yeah I guess this is just not the kind of result you come back from
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yarrriv
@yarrriv.bsky.social
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Starmer in the news today means we're gonna get at least three op-eds about Gavin Newsome in the Times tomorrow
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yarrriv
@yarrriv.bsky.social
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so what's going on in Europe with women only ever leading right-wing parties, mostly far right
1 replies 0 reposts 3 likes
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yarrriv
@yarrriv.bsky.social
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It's a smaller margin than the tightest forecast! I mean obviously it's still a landslide but I wonder if expectations mean this is seen as a win for Sunak
3 replies 0 reposts 2 likes
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yarrriv
@yarrriv.bsky.social
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Starmer's gonna go to LeBron?
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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yarrriv
@yarrriv.bsky.social
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Yeah, the prediction I linked to at the top was Lab 480 Con 65, so much worse than the exit polls
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yarrriv
@yarrriv.bsky.social
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I got it from George but the BBC etc have coverage I assume
1 replies 0 reposts 2 likes
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yarrriv
@yarrriv.bsky.social
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looks like a big miss for the seat predictions in the UK, interested to see if it's going to be a polling miss or a modeling miss (or maybe just exit polls are wrong!)
1 replies 0 reposts 2 likes
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yarrriv
@yarrriv.bsky.social
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The Survation MRP said 484
1 replies 0 reposts 3 likes
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yarrriv
@yarrriv.bsky.social
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Expectation was that tories/lib dems would be neck and neck for second place, so this is not as bad as it could have been for them
1 replies 0 reposts 5 likes
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yarrriv
@yarrriv.bsky.social
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local party gets RAILED all night long
1 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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yarrriv
@yarrriv.bsky.social
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And like, maybe. Idk. Either polls are broken or we're seeing a massive pro-fascism realignment, especially among young men. We'll see in four months
2 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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yarrriv
@yarrriv.bsky.social
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The question is do the zoomers who do answer their phones have the same political preferences as other zoomers
2 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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yarrriv
@yarrriv.bsky.social
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From the people who gave us I Can Save Myself By Running Against Obamacare comes another cunning plan
1 replies 0 reposts 3 likes
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yarrriv
@yarrriv.bsky.social
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in this essay I will
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Anthonius van ʘo!o
@xtpd.bsky.social
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The NYT editorial everyone’s talking about today
19 replies 223 reposts 1115 likes
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yarrriv
@yarrriv.bsky.social
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The Star Warsofication of Star Trek
0 replies 0 reposts 2 likes
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yarrriv
@yarrriv.bsky.social
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0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes