Josh Zingher's avatar

Josh Zingher

@zingherpolisci.bsky.social

699 followers 1138 following 787 posts

Political Scientist. Author of “Political Choice in a Polarized America” @OUP. Dad. Sauna enthusiast. Crossword solver. Powerlifter. Cyclist. ✡️


Josh Zingher's avatar Josh Zingher @zingherpolisci.bsky.social
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www.pilotonline.com/2024/07/05/v...

Regardless of the merits about whether Biden should remain on the ticket I don’t see how his campaign recovers from this. I wouldn’t have thought it was possible a week ago, but I think we’re going to see a change.

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Josh Zingher's avatar Josh Zingher @zingherpolisci.bsky.social
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Look, how could he know what the most prominent conservative interest group was up to?

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Josh Zingher's avatar Josh Zingher @zingherpolisci.bsky.social
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My non-online wife had never heard of them before and looked at me incredulously when I explained the whole backstory.

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Josh Zingher's avatar Josh Zingher @zingherpolisci.bsky.social
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I saw my first one in the wild a couple weeks ago and it was every bit the abomination i was led to believe

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Josh Zingher's avatar Josh Zingher @zingherpolisci.bsky.social
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Just a scholar of elections and voting behavior, wondering if the subject I study will still be a thing in the coming decades.

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Josh Zingher's avatar Josh Zingher @zingherpolisci.bsky.social
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academic.oup.com/book/43909

For those of you putting together syllabi for political behavior, parties, or elections, please consider my recent book. The book demonstrates how polarized parties help people connect policy attitudes with vote choice and partisanship. Polisky

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Josh Zingher's avatar Josh Zingher @zingherpolisci.bsky.social
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<checks notes> oh, I'm getting word that the law can change on a whim to suit political preferences too.

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Josh Zingher's avatar Josh Zingher @zingherpolisci.bsky.social
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This probably makes no difference in the grand scheme of things, but I think Harris would absolutely crush Trump in a debate and I'd be surprised if the Trump people allowed it to happen.

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Josh Zingher's avatar Josh Zingher @zingherpolisci.bsky.social
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A Jew named Josh... I'm just saying the country could do a whole lot worse.

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Josh Zingher's avatar Josh Zingher @zingherpolisci.bsky.social
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Josh Shapiro or Pritzker

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Josh Zingher's avatar Josh Zingher @zingherpolisci.bsky.social
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I'm generally skeptical of these types of claims, but it does seem there is at least some smoke here.

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Josh Zingher's avatar Josh Zingher @zingherpolisci.bsky.social
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Falling for the "Wallet Inspector" gag level of credulity

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Josh Zingher's avatar Josh Zingher @zingherpolisci.bsky.social
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Sounds like good news, but the FDA isn't really equipped to make these kind of calls. Gotta wait until John Roberts has some time to pour over the trial results.

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Josh Zingher's avatar Josh Zingher @zingherpolisci.bsky.social
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I think Biden has been the best president of my lifetime (low bar, admittedly), but that debate performance was pretty jarring. I'm willing to seriously consider Harris. There is no Democratic path to the White House without strong African American support.

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Josh Zingher's avatar Josh Zingher @zingherpolisci.bsky.social
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Yep. There is an election against a guy who couldn't crack 47% of the vote--twice. We've gotta go win.

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Reposted by Josh Zingher

Sara Baker's avatar Sara Baker @sarabaker.bsky.social
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Me too! I just signed up to write 200 postcards. You can invite friends over to help and make a party out of it.

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Josh Zingher's avatar Josh Zingher @zingherpolisci.bsky.social
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The old adage is that you don't burn down the castle if you expect to live in it soon, which has been the Dems approach to SCOTUS. That strategy is entirely contingent on winning in 2024 and getting good luck with a couple of the R judges dying.

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Josh Zingher's avatar Josh Zingher @zingherpolisci.bsky.social
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I signed up, too. The institutions aren't going to help. We've gotta bootstrap this thing. It's not fair, but it's the spot we're in. Gotta fight like hell.

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Josh Zingher's avatar Josh Zingher @zingherpolisci.bsky.social
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After every single institution has failed to protect us, the job is up to the electorate once again.

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Josh Zingher's avatar Josh Zingher @zingherpolisci.bsky.social
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Watching the older generations of Democrats cling to conventions from an Era that is dead and buried is sad.

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Josh Zingher's avatar Josh Zingher @zingherpolisci.bsky.social
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The fact that Roberts cut his teeth in the 80s gunning for the VRA under Rehnquist is just incredibly revealing

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Josh Zingher's avatar Josh Zingher @zingherpolisci.bsky.social
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Trump, watching White House Plumbers, furiously screaming at Don Jr. to go find G. Gordon Liddy and Howard Hunt.

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Josh Zingher's avatar Josh Zingher @zingherpolisci.bsky.social
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It's not clear to me that the Democratic leadership has a plan to deal with the Courts should Biden win. That needs to change.

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Josh Zingher's avatar Josh Zingher @zingherpolisci.bsky.social
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I'm sure SCOTUS would've given Barry O complete immunity.

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Josh Zingher's avatar Josh Zingher @zingherpolisci.bsky.social
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And yes, winning in November is most straightforward way to dealing with this problem.

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Josh Zingher's avatar Josh Zingher @zingherpolisci.bsky.social
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You're right. This isn't a strategy you pursue if you're operating from a position on strength. It is motivated by a fundamental perception of weakness.

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Josh Zingher's avatar Josh Zingher @zingherpolisci.bsky.social
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Is one of them the president? If so, i have great news.

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Josh Zingher's avatar Josh Zingher @zingherpolisci.bsky.social
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Unlike anybody under 50, most of the Democratic leadership has memories of a time when the Court was not explicitly hostile to democracy, which turns out has given them a PRETTY BIG blind spot.

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Josh Zingher's avatar Josh Zingher @zingherpolisci.bsky.social
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The Constitution's big weakness is that political parties coordinate across branches of government. SCOTUS can pretend that impeachment is a political mechanism to hold presidents accountable even when the actual politics make this impossible.

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Josh Zingher's avatar Josh Zingher @zingherpolisci.bsky.social
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that was my first reaction to this too. Leopards, faces, etc.

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Josh Zingher's avatar Josh Zingher @zingherpolisci.bsky.social
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SCOTUS making it known that it will rubber stamp anything Trump does during a second term

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Josh Zingher's avatar Josh Zingher @zingherpolisci.bsky.social
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The immediate retreat to doomerism is not a good look and we need to push back against those impulses at all costs.

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Josh Zingher's avatar Josh Zingher @zingherpolisci.bsky.social
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The immediate retreat to doomerism is something i'll never understand.

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Josh Zingher's avatar Josh Zingher @zingherpolisci.bsky.social
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Seems like this is a recipe to overwhelm the courts with every single regulatory issue imaginable and puts a ton of onus on plaintiffs to fight on every front imaginable

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Josh Zingher's avatar Josh Zingher @zingherpolisci.bsky.social
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I also wonder if federal agencies will ignore a lot of this.

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Josh Zingher's avatar Josh Zingher @zingherpolisci.bsky.social
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The Comey Letter went to Congress on October 28th, 2016.

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Josh Zingher's avatar Josh Zingher @zingherpolisci.bsky.social
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To keep things in perspective, the Access Hollywood tape dropped October 7th, 2016.

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Josh Zingher's avatar Josh Zingher @zingherpolisci.bsky.social
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The mainstream media coverage across multiple places has largely been "Biden was halting, Trump was lying," which fits with the broader coverage so far. It'll be interesting to see what happens.

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Josh Zingher's avatar Josh Zingher @zingherpolisci.bsky.social
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I'm sure the Party would coordinate around MY preferred candidate.

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Josh Zingher's avatar Josh Zingher @zingherpolisci.bsky.social
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He's such a grifter and part of the growing segment of the Online Left that has developed an aversion to reality much like the Online Right.

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Josh Zingher's avatar Josh Zingher @zingherpolisci.bsky.social
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you're probably right, but I'm holding out hope that most major reforms seem impossible until they happen suddenly and unexpectedly

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Josh Zingher's avatar Josh Zingher @zingherpolisci.bsky.social
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By my calculation, the Electoral College has the least amount of partisan bias of the three federal electoral systems! Which is saying something, because the Electoral College is very biased!

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Reposted by Josh Zingher

Josh Zingher's avatar Josh Zingher @zingherpolisci.bsky.social
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One of the great parts about not belonging to a cult is that you don't have to get upset when one of Dear Leader's kids gets into legal trouble.

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