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Aaron Huertas
@aaronhuertas.bsky.social
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I had to wonder for a second if I was accessing childhood memories. Totally possible it was a variant!
1 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Aaron Huertas@aaronhuertas.bsky.social |
1395 followers 665 following 3062 posts
Democracy and unions liker, former House staff. Vibes-pilled. Writing: aaronhuertas.com
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Aaron Huertas
@aaronhuertas.bsky.social
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I had to wonder for a second if I was accessing childhood memories. Totally possible it was a variant!
1 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Olúfẹ́mi O. Táíwò
@olufemiotaiwo.bsky.social
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hey everybody remember to share #GoodNews too
8 replies 111 reposts 410 likes
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Aaron Huertas
@aaronhuertas.bsky.social
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tbh a party disciplined enough to go full #KHive for their candidate crushes like 56-44
0 replies 0 reposts 3 likes
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Aaron Huertas
@aaronhuertas.bsky.social
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smart to bring a DD
0 replies 0 reposts 6 likes
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Aaron Huertas
@aaronhuertas.bsky.social
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for sale: conlaw books, never referenced
0 replies 0 reposts 17 likes
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Aaron Huertas
@aaronhuertas.bsky.social
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when you haven't had Fritos in two years and notice they've gotten a lot thinner
1 replies 0 reposts 10 likes
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Aaron Huertas
@aaronhuertas.bsky.social
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All Democratic nominees must be subject to a constant barrage of negative stories to properly vet them, a decision that obviously has no bearing on public opinion.
0 replies 0 reposts 4 likes
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Aaron Huertas
@aaronhuertas.bsky.social
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Alternatively, that’s already baked in at this point and the should-he-drop-out coverage stops after the convention and ballot deadlines pass. By contrast a new nominee could get But Her Emails coverage about some other topic through election day.
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Aaron Huertas
@aaronhuertas.bsky.social
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(Biden had a campaign podcast I really enjoyed and he would have like William Barber on and basically sounded like he was ready to do the FDR New Bill of Rights but anti-racist)
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Aaron Huertas
@aaronhuertas.bsky.social
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TBH I think it’s more that their orientation is maximum fuckery and continuing to let Dems flail. If they can knock a state out of contention, it’s a bonus.
1 replies 1 reposts 6 likes
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Aaron Huertas
@aaronhuertas.bsky.social
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For the Good of the Country, Joe Biden Must Start a Podcast
1 replies 0 reposts 3 likes
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Aaron Huertas
@aaronhuertas.bsky.social
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Unironically go on Rogan for three hours but do it at a Secret Service training facility with car chases and target practice.
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Aaron Huertas
@aaronhuertas.bsky.social
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He’s an excellent researcher. First learned about his work through foundational publications on voter files and how they impact turnout by race. Book is Hacking the Electorate, which sounds more menacing than it is in practice!
0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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Aaron Huertas
@aaronhuertas.bsky.social
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nothing says high levels of democratic trust like a donor-sponsored series of straw polls in limited locations (questions editors don't ask: how do you verify that the people showing up are registered voters, Dems, etc?)
www.nytimes.com/2024/07/03/o...
0 replies 1 reposts 2 likes
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Aaron Huertas
@aaronhuertas.bsky.social
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Lot of reasons to appreciate Dr. Hayhoe’s work, but the commitment to studying her own communications work and sharing the results is so, so helpful.
0 replies 1 reposts 8 likes
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☀️ Starshine
@starshine.bsky.social
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[type of guy who can’t manage a 20 person discord without it imploding into petty feuds voice]: i am going to lead a revolution of the workers
14 replies 104 reposts 701 likes
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Aaron Huertas
@aaronhuertas.bsky.social
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:: watching the courtroom scene in Idiocracy :: Is this supposed to be a federal court? That’s now how the rules of evidence work!
0 replies 0 reposts 2 likes
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Aaron Huertas
@aaronhuertas.bsky.social
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Anyway, appreciate Zogby putting some actual thought into this, which is more than I can say for a lot of people who make six-figures plus armchair quarterbacking the Democratic Party.
1 replies 1 reposts 9 likes
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Aaron Huertas
@aaronhuertas.bsky.social
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Tapping the other sign: A party organized enough to do an August switcharooni isn't worried about running coinflips against proto-fascists in the first place.
1 replies 0 reposts 5 likes
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Aaron Huertas
@aaronhuertas.bsky.social
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Tapping the sign: The only two people in the Democratic Party with national level political legitimacy are Joe Biden and Kamala Harris. Any process that doesn't have one or both of them top of ticket will struggle to enjoy widespread buy-in and will be subject to massive disinformation campaigns.
1 replies 2 reposts 13 likes
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Aaron Huertas
@aaronhuertas.bsky.social
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Fun challenge: try to find a list of all current DNC members or DNC members for your state and how they were elected. There's actually nothing mysterious about the process, but it's pretty in the weeds and the parties generally don't publicize any of it outside meetings.
1 replies 2 reposts 9 likes
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Aaron Huertas
@aaronhuertas.bsky.social
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James Zogby put out a proposal for selecting a new nominee and it's quite clarifying to see something on paper.
- Start with ~400 DNC members, 98% of whom voters have never heard of.
- TV debates! Exciting!
- Biden delegates do roll call vote(s) at the convention
www.nytimes.com/2024/07/02/u...
1 replies 1 reposts 7 likes
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Aaron Huertas
@aaronhuertas.bsky.social
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It’s a form of “political hobbyism” for edgier leftists as opposed to the cohort of liberals who emulate punditry on polls / messaging
www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archiv...
1 replies 0 reposts 4 likes
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Aaron Huertas
@aaronhuertas.bsky.social
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I could easily defeat that Heritage Foundation guy in single combat.
4 replies 0 reposts 10 likes
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Aaron Huertas
@aaronhuertas.bsky.social
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Should have never sat the insurrectionists and / or immediately impeached them. If J6 doesn’t shake up the status quo norms appreciation society I don’t what does. Wild shit.
0 replies 0 reposts 5 likes
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Aaron Huertas
@aaronhuertas.bsky.social
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Taking my Bayesian priors out for an ice cream
0 replies 0 reposts 3 likes
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Aaron Huertas
@aaronhuertas.bsky.social
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For the Good of the Country, President Biden Must Go Super Saiyan
2 replies 2 reposts 6 likes
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Aaron Huertas
@aaronhuertas.bsky.social
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TO THE LUMBER MILL
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Aaron Huertas
@aaronhuertas.bsky.social
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Yeah for real. I tend to follow Pew and have always thought of it as birth year cohort Jan 1 to Dec 31.
0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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Aaron Huertas
@aaronhuertas.bsky.social
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Editors will give whoever the nominee is the same coal-raking, including concerns about electability even if they were up by 4.
0 replies 0 reposts 9 likes
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Aaron Huertas
@aaronhuertas.bsky.social
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1. Biden steps down. 2. No longer a candidate, baseline polarization against Biden decreases and his poll numbers go up. 3. Biden is now the strongest candidate to take on Trump.
1 replies 0 reposts 17 likes
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Aaron Huertas
@aaronhuertas.bsky.social
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yeah doing the election on hard mode is challenging, but the designers are introducing more RNG to keep gameplay fresh
1 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Aaron Huertas
@aaronhuertas.bsky.social
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FWIW, this is in response to the prospect of Biden stepping down and someone else -- not Harris -- getting the nomination. He says, "I wan this ticket to continue to be Biden / Harris."
Consistent with what he was saying for past several days, imo.
www.msnbc.com/andrea-mitch...
1 replies 0 reposts 7 likes
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Aaron Huertas
@aaronhuertas.bsky.social
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Tapping the sign: What if high levels of polarization and relatively weak organizing and media infrastructure is your problem and not whoever has a D next to their name at the top of the ballot? WHAT THEN???
0 replies 1 reposts 11 likes
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Aaron Huertas
@aaronhuertas.bsky.social
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Incredible to see no change in support levels pre- vs. post-debate paired with calls for a new candidate.
www.cnn.com/2024/07/02/p...
2 replies 1 reposts 7 likes
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Aaron Huertas
@aaronhuertas.bsky.social
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damn what's next telling senators Roe v. Wade is settled law
0 replies 0 reposts 4 likes
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Mr. Am I Being Detained
@gonebabygone.bsky.social
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This isn’t “hypocrisy,” he was lying about what he believes so they would confirm him
21 replies 120 reposts 769 likes
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Aaron Huertas
@aaronhuertas.bsky.social
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Trump: Rise up my patriots rise up! Trump supporters: I would totally rise up but my back is bothering me. I'll put some extra flags on my boat this weekend.
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Aaron Huertas
@aaronhuertas.bsky.social
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One of the absolute funniest things in the 2020 primary was watching terminally online Sanders supporters go from M4A, climate and labor policy appeals to gritting their teeth and kayfabing "Hey, he'll beat Trump! He's Mr. Electable!"
0 replies 0 reposts 2 likes
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Aaron Huertas
@aaronhuertas.bsky.social
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If they were strategically trying to tank his polls numbers I'd honestly respect it more.
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Aaron Huertas
@aaronhuertas.bsky.social
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Like it's good that your media outlets has impact and important people listen to it -- own it! News production is a political act! Choosing what to focus on is basic framing!
1 replies 0 reposts 4 likes
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Aaron Huertas
@aaronhuertas.bsky.social
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Truly the starkest example of Lo We Are But Neutral Observers and Commentators on the News (except when our work clearly has an impact, but only when that impact is good)
1 replies 0 reposts 6 likes
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Aaron Huertas
@aaronhuertas.bsky.social
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NYT news editors should assign some political reporters to cover why the NYT opinion editors haven't been able to bully Joe Biden off the ticket yet. Is their messaging off? Did they not reach out to key constituencies? Should they have commissioned some polls and focus groups first?
1 replies 0 reposts 14 likes
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Aaron Huertas
@aaronhuertas.bsky.social
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Political punditry has trained many news-attentive people to engage in media and messaging criticism rather than substance. And it's easier to do so because we all use language so feel qualified on some level to speculate. Often think of political scientist Eitan Hersh's term: "political hobbyism."
1 replies 1 reposts 13 likes
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Aaron Huertas
@aaronhuertas.bsky.social
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Special episode: Bluey Negotiates a Peace Settlement with the Cylons
1 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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Aaron Huertas
@aaronhuertas.bsky.social
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If you're pulling down six-figures-plus writing about how to do politics good and you're not even brainstorming some ideas or having fun with it, I dunno, man
0 replies 0 reposts 5 likes
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Aaron Huertas
@aaronhuertas.bsky.social
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Young carpenter asking older guys to weigh in on a job: "I'm sure some of you all taught Jesus himself how to 'do it right' but this is how I did it. Pointers welcome."
0 replies 0 reposts 4 likes
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Aaron Huertas
@aaronhuertas.bsky.social
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I don't think you can say anything credible on this short of a time frame that secures widespread democratic legitimacy. Or to put it another way, a party strong enough to do a switcharooni process four months out isn't running coinflips against Trump to begin with.
1 replies 0 reposts 4 likes
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Aaron Huertas
@aaronhuertas.bsky.social
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Worst version of this argument is saying "use a good process and not a bad one! tee hee!" and the best version I've seen is Klein doing deep dives on how the process USED to work. Nothing I've seen is forward looking or creative.
1 replies 0 reposts 4 likes
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Aaron Huertas
@aaronhuertas.bsky.social
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Scocca and Bouie standing athwart the West Wing reboot writer's room shouting "how?"
2 replies 4 reposts 54 likes