Alex Gude 's avatar

Alex Gude

@alexgude.com

93 followers 51 following 353 posts

Machine learning engineer in Silicon Valley! Formerly a particle physicist at CERN and alumni of Insight. He/Him @alex_gude@fediscience.org @alex_gude@twitter.com


Alex Gude 's avatar Alex Gude @alexgude.com
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Wake me up when you all stop panicking please! ✌️

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Reposted by Alex Gude

Harry Stevens's avatar Harry Stevens @harrystevens.bsky.social
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How accurate is the weather forecast in your city?

Niko Kommenda and I learned that NWS just began doing gridded assessments of forecast accuracy. We got the data and mapped of how many days into the future they get within 3°F of the observed high temp.

www.washingtonpost.com/climate-envi...

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Alex Gude 's avatar Alex Gude @alexgude.com
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😫

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Alex Gude 's avatar Alex Gude @alexgude.com
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Same... Lots of replies to his post as well grabbing some blocks.

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Stephen Judkins's avatar Stephen Judkins @stephenjudkins.bsky.social
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The fact that Biden has delivered on left-wing policy far better than any president in generations but is widely despised by left-wing voters reflects more poorly on left-wing institutions and voters than on Biden. This is not a movement showing political maturity, and I say that as a left-winger

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Reposted by Alex Gude

Maria Antoniak's avatar Maria Antoniak @mariaa.bsky.social
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"LLMs are just next-word predictors." What are the current best references to respond to this, either supporting or critiquing?

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Alex Gude 's avatar Alex Gude @alexgude.com
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At the time I thought it was weird trying to form hierarchies from incredibly independent professors. Now that I work in tech it's pretty similar: both professors and SWEs have a lot of job freedom and can say "Nah this sucks I'm out" if they don't like it. Need lots of "soft power" management.

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Alex Gude 's avatar Alex Gude @alexgude.com
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In high energy patticle physics, you delegate to post docs and students. And you form a management hierarchy above the professors as well consisting of committees, etc. No other way to build a billion dollar detector with 3,000 people.

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Alex Gude 's avatar Alex Gude @alexgude.com
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Did you hit it?

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Alex Gude 's avatar Alex Gude @alexgude.com
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_ Marionette turns off the TV_ "It launched 3 days ago; it's been flying in circles upside down since." "But with its nuclear motor it should stay up forever, right? We've got plenty of time to fix it." "But the coolant pumps weren't designed to run upside down..." Thunderbirds are go! 🚀

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Alex Gude 's avatar Alex Gude @alexgude.com
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Of course you could probably just like look up cars in a database. Our actual use case is more complicated in that there is no database, and you also have to do some work (well the LLM is) so you know it's the same thing you saw previously...

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Alex Gude 's avatar Alex Gude @alexgude.com
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It turns out people write a lot about cars, so LLMs have a lot of context based just on the naming. ChatGPT knows that a 2016 Honda Odyssey is a van. And we know that once you've categorized as a van, all others have the same type are also Vans. That's what we're doing at a very high level.

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Alex Gude 's avatar Alex Gude @alexgude.com
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I can't share tons of details but I can give you a toy example. This is of course greatly simplified but gets the point mostly right. Imagine you have a bunch of makes and models of cars. Did you want to categorize them into: Truck Van SUV Sedan And you've got several million of these.

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Alex Gude 's avatar Alex Gude @alexgude.com
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It's in production. Results are pre-computed and cached.

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Alex Gude 's avatar Alex Gude @alexgude.com
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Yes yes! All the "neural networks mean you don't have to do feature engineering" is actually *true* for these models. I just ask "What is this?" and give it an item and it works really well.

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Alex Gude 's avatar Alex Gude @alexgude.com
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On the subject of LLMs and their usefulness or lack there of: I just got one to solve a zero-shot, 4-way classification problem with a precision of 98%. Work involved: about 30 minutes of tweaking a prompt explain what belonged in each class.

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Alex Gude 's avatar Alex Gude @alexgude.com
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But are you sure we shouldn't have a committee that decides who can live in the Bay Area? Maybe we can issue little internal passports saying you're allowed here... (Who am I kidding, local zoning boards already kinda do this...)

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Alex Gude 's avatar Alex Gude @alexgude.com
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Yeah an interesting question, but I don't think who owns the copyright matters in this case. Specifically no one owns the copyright for AI works, and I'm certain that doesn't absolve anyone of liability.

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Alex Gude 's avatar Alex Gude @alexgude.com
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Yeah compared to Photoshop (at least classic, pre-2020 Photoshop) doesn't have a memorization problem, so it is different in that respect.

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Alex Gude 's avatar Alex Gude @alexgude.com
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I agree that we already have all the legal tools in place! And we should use them! But why would that be the responsibility of the companies and not the end user? Adobe doesn't currently have to make sure you're not drawing Mickey mouse with Photoshop. That's my responsibility as the end user.

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Ryan Moulton's avatar Ryan Moulton @moultano.bsky.social
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"AI is using all of our energy and water" is just an attempt to translate an aesthetic revulsion into a common unit of measure. It's "I don't like this" expressed in watt-gallons.

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