Brian McNoldy

southpaw @nycsouthpaw.bsky.social [ View ] Jun 28, 2024 at 13:00 UTC

The Democratic Party’s reaction to their candidate having a bad debate substantially outpaces the Republican Party’s reaction to their candidate being convicted of multiple felonies, held liable for rape, and owing judgments in the hundreds of millions for defamation and fraud.

72 replies 707 reposts 2564 likes

Brian McNoldy @bmcnoldy.bsky.social [ View ] Jun 28, 2024 at 13:44 UTC

Much like last year, the deep tropical Atlantic isn't waiting until August to wake up.
bmcnoldy.blogspot.com/2024/06/seco...
#94L #95L #Beryl #HurricaneSeason

0 replies 1 reposts 7 likes

Brian McNoldy @bmcnoldy.bsky.social [ View ] Jun 23, 2024 at 18:17 UTC

And I yank and throw away so many every week. If you don't want your yard to be a rainforest in Miami, it takes a LOT of weekly maintenance, pruning, removal, etc. But out in the wild, the more the merrier!

0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes

Brian McNoldy @bmcnoldy.bsky.social [ View ] Jun 23, 2024 at 18:08 UTC

More bloomers this weekend...
#orchids #Miami #Zone11a

1 replies 2 reposts 34 likes

Brian McNoldy @bmcnoldy.bsky.social [ View ] Jun 23, 2024 at 17:01 UTC

Hot dog.

0 replies 1 reposts 22 likes

Brian McNoldy @bmcnoldy.bsky.social [ View ] Jun 21, 2024 at 22:12 UTC

Is it winter yet??

1 replies 0 reposts 3 likes

Brian McNoldy @bmcnoldy.bsky.social [ View ] Jun 21, 2024 at 19:57 UTC

Not just formation, but existence. So if some hurricane was around for 8 days in 1995, it would make a contribution to the climatological presence of an active hurricane on each of those days (fractional days are accounted for too).

0 replies 0 reposts 2 likes

Brian McNoldy @bmcnoldy.bsky.social [ View ] Jun 21, 2024 at 16:31 UTC

I finally got around to updating this, using the final best track data from 2023. This is the average seasonal cycle of Atlantic tropical cyclone activity over the past 50 years (tropical storms in blue, hurricanes in orange, major hurricanes in green). #HurricaneSeason

1 replies 6 reposts 16 likes

Brian McNoldy @bmcnoldy.bsky.social [ View ] Jun 21, 2024 at 13:24 UTC

bmcnoldy.blogspot.com/2024/06/two-...

0 replies 1 reposts 10 likes

Brian McNoldy @bmcnoldy.bsky.social [ View ] Jun 20, 2024 at 16:11 UTC

What a nice little blurb they wrote up in Key Biscayne's "Islander News"!
www.islandernews.com/eedition/pag...

0 replies 0 reposts 3 likes

Brian McNoldy @bmcnoldy.bsky.social [ View ] Jun 20, 2024 at 11:58 UTC

Another great reminder that impacts from tropical cyclones extend FAR from the track forecast cone (cone of uncertainty). This is the 10th year that the Hurricane Threats and Impacts (HTI) graphics have been operational and they're such a great impact communication tool. #Alberto

0 replies 2 reposts 5 likes

Brian McNoldy @bmcnoldy.bsky.social [ View ] Jun 19, 2024 at 19:19 UTC

The United States was built by genocide of the native Americans and by slavery of Africans. It's not a history to be proud of. But ending slavery was obviously a positive step, and we celebrate the day it became official, 159 years ago today.

0 replies 1 reposts 15 likes

Brian McNoldy @bmcnoldy.bsky.social [ View ] Jun 19, 2024 at 16:23 UTC

The name #Alberto was first used in 1982, and every six years since, so this is the name's 8th appearance. Here are the tracks of the previous 7 Albertos. [2/2]

0 replies 0 reposts 8 likes

Brian McNoldy @bmcnoldy.bsky.social [ View ] Jun 19, 2024 at 16:22 UTC

Tropical Storm #Alberto has formed in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico, making it the latest first named storm since 2014. Over the past 50 years, the median date is June 15, with a trend toward earlier dates (for several reasons). [1/2]

1 replies 3 reposts 12 likes

Brian McNoldy @bmcnoldy.bsky.social [ View ] Jun 17, 2024 at 20:03 UTC

No, the early part of the season is typically "junky", regardless of what the heart of the season ends up looking like.

0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes

Brian McNoldy @bmcnoldy.bsky.social [ View ] Jun 17, 2024 at 19:51 UTC

If the Gulf of Mexico system reaches tropical storm status, it would take the first name on this year's list: Alberto.
bmcnoldy.blogspot.com/2024/06/seas...

1 replies 2 reposts 17 likes

Brian McNoldy @bmcnoldy.bsky.social [ View ] Jun 15, 2024 at 00:22 UTC

Absolutely stunning skies in Miami this eveing!

0 replies 6 reposts 50 likes

Brian McNoldy @bmcnoldy.bsky.social [ View ] Jun 14, 2024 at 17:25 UTC

And many thanks to the IT team... the web server had to be taken down for upgrades, so that's out of my control, but it wasn't down long!

0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes

Brian McNoldy @bmcnoldy.bsky.social [ View ] Jun 10, 2024 at 22:11 UTC

I'm not really a climate modeler to be able to crank up the SSTs in a region and see "what if". But this is certainly exceptional, and I think everyone would agree it's uncharted territory.

0 replies 0 reposts 2 likes

Brian McNoldy @bmcnoldy.bsky.social [ View ] Jun 10, 2024 at 15:23 UTC

On June 9, 2023, the sea surface temperature averaged over the North Atlantic was 3.6 standard deviations above the mean (based on the 1991-2020 climatology). On June 9, 2024, it's 4.1 standard deviations above the mean. A 1991-2020 climatology already looks irrelevant and outdated. 🤯

3 replies 21 reposts 60 likes

Brian McNoldy @bmcnoldy.bsky.social [ View ] Jun 10, 2024 at 10:19 UTC

In April 2022 I started an account on CounterSocial, and still have it. It was OK, and surged at various points in Twitter's floundering, but never gained traction.

0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes

Brian McNoldy @bmcnoldy.bsky.social [ View ] Jun 10, 2024 at 10:08 UTC

I have yet to hear of anyone having an easy/seamless experience time on Mastodon. I never tried it, partly because of the "challenging" experiences I heard about! This locks it in.

1 replies 0 reposts 1 likes

Brian McNoldy @bmcnoldy.bsky.social [ View ] Jun 07, 2024 at 20:05 UTC

The large-scale environment during the heart of #HurricaneSeason (Aug-Sep-Oct) still looks ominous in the June update of the NMME (multi-model ensemble). We see -SST anomalies in the ENSO regions, hefty +SST anomalies in the tropical Atlantic, and deep-tropics +rainfall anomaly.

1 replies 15 reposts 26 likes

Brian McNoldy @bmcnoldy.bsky.social [ View ] Jun 05, 2024 at 12:18 UTC

Since we won't see a tropical or subtropical storm form in the Atlantic today, 2024 will have the latest first named storm in a decade. In 2014, TS Arthur formed on July 1. When will Alberto form this year? #HurricaneSeason

0 replies 4 reposts 10 likes