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Daily Kos Elections

@dailykoselections.bsky.social

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Daily Kos Elections's avatar Daily Kos Elections @dailykoselections.bsky.social
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Morning Digest: Court blocks yet another discriminatory GOP map, this time in Mississippi

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Daily Kos Elections's avatar Daily Kos Elections @dailykoselections.bsky.social
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Morning Digest: Joe Arpaio's toxic legacy looms over the race for his old job

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Daily Kos Elections's avatar Daily Kos Elections @dailykoselections.bsky.social
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Morning Digest: Santos' ex-treasurer may be meddling in Democratic primary to aid at-risk Republican #AZ01

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Daily Kos Elections's avatar Daily Kos Elections @dailykoselections.bsky.social
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A new super PAC is spending close to $900,000 to sink Matt Gaetz in next month's #FL01 primary, an effort that includes ads linking him to a former friend who pleaded guilty to sex trafficking of a minor

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Daily Kos Elections's avatar Daily Kos Elections @dailykoselections.bsky.social
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Morning Digest: The nastiest GOP primary in America keeps getting nastier #AZ08

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Daily Kos Elections's avatar Daily Kos Elections @dailykoselections.bsky.social
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Morning Digest: How redistricting reform could upend Ohio politics

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Daily Kos Elections's avatar Daily Kos Elections @dailykoselections.bsky.social
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It took a little longer than usual to get a transcript up thanks to all the French vocab in this week's episode of The Downballot, but you won't wanna miss our comprehensive table-setter of France's upcoming elections with @taniel.bsky.social!

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Daily Kos Elections's avatar Daily Kos Elections @dailykoselections.bsky.social
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Thank you as always to our loyal listeners! We'll be taking next week off for Fourth of July, but we'll be back with a new episode in two week's time. Subscribe to The Downballot on your favorite podcast platforms right here -->

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Daily Kos Elections's avatar Daily Kos Elections @dailykoselections.bsky.social
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Co-hosts @davidnir.bsky.social & @dwbeard.bsky.social also give due attention to elections on this side of the Atlantic. They discuss why it's a mistake to conclude AIPAC's spending was the chief driver of Jamaal Bowman's fall, then delve into *three* GOP primaries that saw Trump's picks all lose

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Daily Kos Elections's avatar Daily Kos Elections @dailykoselections.bsky.social
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Taniel deciphers Emmanuel Macron's opaque rationale for calling snap elections despite his party's grim standing in the polls. He also explains why, for the first time ever, the firewall between the center-right and the far right has finally collapsed—and what could come next

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Daily Kos Elections's avatar Daily Kos Elections @dailykoselections.bsky.social
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America's oldest ally is about to hold momentous elections that could usher in France's first far-right government since Vichy, so we've brought @taniel.bsky.social from @bolts.bsky.social on to The Downballot podcast this week to break everything down for us

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Daily Kos Elections's avatar Daily Kos Elections @dailykoselections.bsky.social
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Morning Digest: Why a tiny primary could have big implications for November #NY17

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Daily Kos Elections's avatar Daily Kos Elections @dailykoselections.bsky.social
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Morning Digest: Three Trump picks just got blitzed

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Daily Kos Elections's avatar Daily Kos Elections @dailykoselections.bsky.social
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Polls have closed in Colorado and New York's downballot primaries, with Utah to follow at 9 ET/7 local time. We'll be liveblogging the key contests, plus the South Carolina runoffs, on this big night!

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Daily Kos Elections's avatar Daily Kos Elections @dailykoselections.bsky.social
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Morning Digest: How Boebert's district switch could still cost the GOP her seat #CO03

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Daily Kos Elections's avatar Daily Kos Elections @dailykoselections.bsky.social
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Tuesday is PACKED with primaries, and @jeffsinger.bsky.social previews what to watch. Will Trump's picks, including one who wants McConnell and Lindsey Graham executed, win? Who gets nods in battleground seats? And how does the most expensive House primary EVER go? www.dailykos.com/stories/2024...

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Daily Kos Elections's avatar Daily Kos Elections @dailykoselections.bsky.social
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Morning Digest: How Matt Gaetz is fighting off McCarthy's revenge tour #FL01

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Daily Kos Elections's avatar Daily Kos Elections @dailykoselections.bsky.social
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BTW, not exaggerating about Mark Burns even a little bit.
@jeffsinger.bsky.social provided a complete run-down on his violent rhetoric here --> www.dailykos.com/stories/2024...

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Daily Kos Elections's avatar Daily Kos Elections @dailykoselections.bsky.social
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The campaign of far-right pastor Mark Burns, a Trump endorsee who's called for Lindsey Graham & Mitch McConnell to be executed for treason, somehow secured a $750K bank loan without any collateral except for "future contributions" to his campaign #SC03

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Daily Kos Elections's avatar Daily Kos Elections @dailykoselections.bsky.social
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Morning Digest: Virginia's 2025 race for attorney general just got underway #VAAG

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Daily Kos Elections's avatar Daily Kos Elections @dailykoselections.bsky.social
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Oakland Mayor Sheng Thao learned she'll face a recall two days before the FBI raided her house.

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Daily Kos Elections's avatar Daily Kos Elections @dailykoselections.bsky.social
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It's been overshadowed by NOVA, but once red Henrico County's transformation into a source of Democratic strength is one reason that Democrats are now so strong in Virginia

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Daily Kos Elections's avatar Daily Kos Elections @dailykoselections.bsky.social
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New episodes of The Downballot come out every Thursday morning. You can subscribe on your favorite podcast platform right here

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Daily Kos Elections's avatar Daily Kos Elections @dailykoselections.bsky.social
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We have a complete transcript of this week's episode right here

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Daily Kos Elections's avatar Daily Kos Elections @dailykoselections.bsky.social
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Co-hosts @davidnir.bsky.social & @dwbeard.bsky.social also dive into:

#VA10, where a retiring congresswoman's endorsement outweighed massive spending;

• #VA07, where a Dem fundraising juggernaut will face a much tougher test in the general; and

#OK04, where a spooked GOP incumbent easily won

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Daily Kos Elections's avatar Daily Kos Elections @dailykoselections.bsky.social
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The entire Republican Party was out to get House Freedom Caucus chair Bob Good, and he very nearly defied them all. What does his ultra-narrow loss mean for the GOP? We're talking all about that—and recapping Tuesday's other top primaries—on The Downballot

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Daily Kos Elections's avatar Daily Kos Elections @dailykoselections.bsky.social
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Polls have closed for Virginia's downballot primaries and Georgia's runoffs, with Oklahoma to follow at 8 PM ET/7 PM local time. We'll be liveblogging the results!

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Daily Kos Elections's avatar Daily Kos Elections @dailykoselections.bsky.social
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Morning Digest: Freedom Caucus chair needs a miracle to survive Trump's wrath tonight

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Daily Kos Elections's avatar Daily Kos Elections @dailykoselections.bsky.social
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Unless he can pull off a true upset, Tuesday's primary is the end of the line for Freedom Caucus chair Bob Good. But the #VA05 GOP race isn't the only big one to watch

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Daily Kos Elections's avatar Daily Kos Elections @dailykoselections.bsky.social
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Morning Digest: Wisconsin GOP advances little-noticed measures to strip Democratic governor's power

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Daily Kos Elections's avatar Daily Kos Elections @dailykoselections.bsky.social
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Morning Digest: Arizona GOP seeks to end judicial elections after unpopular abortion ruling

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Stephen Wolf's avatar Stephen Wolf @stephenwolf.bsky.social
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Democrats can retake North Carolina’s Supreme Court in 2028 if they win 4 of 5 races by then: 1 Dem is up in 2024, another in 2026, & 3 Rs in 2028. But if the GOP extends current terms from 8 to 12 years, no GOP justices would face voters again until 2032, enabling more years of GOP gerrymandering

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Stephen Wolf's avatar Stephen Wolf @stephenwolf.bsky.social
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Gerrymandering gave the GOP the exact number of members needed to amend North Carolina's constitution.

One proposal would ensure GOP can gerrymander after the 2030 census by extending Supreme Court terms from 8 to 12 years, ending Dems' chance to flip the court in 2028
www.cprnc.org/blog/poll-re...

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Daily Kos Elections's avatar Daily Kos Elections @dailykoselections.bsky.social
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New episodes of The Downballot come out every Thursday morning. Click here to subscribe on all the major podcast platforms!

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Daily Kos Elections's avatar Daily Kos Elections @dailykoselections.bsky.social
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Do you prefer podcasts in transcript form? We've got one of those right here!

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Daily Kos Elections's avatar Daily Kos Elections @dailykoselections.bsky.social
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We also recap some wild GOP primaries in South Carolina and explain why Democrats should *not* challenge a successful ballot measure in North Dakota that would bar octogenarians from serving in Congress

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Daily Kos Elections's avatar Daily Kos Elections @dailykoselections.bsky.social
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Maysmith tells us about the top environmental issues that motivate voters—and why LCV is happy to highlight other topics if it'll help climate champions win. He also runs down LCV's key target races and explains how tackling climate change can be a winning issue even on red turf

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Daily Kos Elections's avatar Daily Kos Elections @dailykoselections.bsky.social
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The League of Conservation Voters is running one of the biggest operations to elect Democrats this year, clocking in at $120 million. Pete Maysmith joins us on The Downballot to explain how the LCV is putting all those resources to work

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Stephen Wolf's avatar Stephen Wolf @stephenwolf.bsky.social
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Arizona GOP has put a constitutional amendment on the ballot to end Supreme Court retention elections & let appointees serve until age 70.

GOP packed the court in 2016—this would retroactively cancel November's contests for 2 justices who just upheld an abortion ban www.dailykos.com/stories/2024...

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Daily Kos Elections's avatar Daily Kos Elections @dailykoselections.bsky.social
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Morning Digest: This Delaware Democrat is poised to make history—again—after opponent drops out #DEAL

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Daily Kos Elections's avatar Daily Kos Elections @dailykoselections.bsky.social
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State Sen. Sarah McBride is on a glide path to become the first openly trans person to ever serve in Congress now that her only serious foe has dropped out of #DEAL Democratic primary

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Daily Kos Elections's avatar Daily Kos Elections @dailykoselections.bsky.social
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Polls have closed in South Carolina to start what will be an eventful election night!

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Daily Kos Elections's avatar Daily Kos Elections @dailykoselections.bsky.social
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Morning Digest: Will this Trump hater turned Trump sycophant survive Tuesday's primary? #SC01

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Daily Kos Elections's avatar Daily Kos Elections @dailykoselections.bsky.social
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This map from @stephenwolf.bsky.social highlights the new #LA06. The old version was based almost entirely in the Baton Rouge media market. Now just over 40% is, with roughly similar, smaller chunks in 3 other markets. That makes TV advertising a lot more expensive!

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Daily Kos Elections's avatar Daily Kos Elections @dailykoselections.bsky.social
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Solution: Our updated spreadsheet, calculated by David Jarman, that shows how the new districts overlap with media markets and vice versa.

Find it here: bit.ly/mediamarkets

Here's LA as an example, which saw a major redraw

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Daily Kos Elections's avatar Daily Kos Elections @dailykoselections.bsky.social
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Broadcast TV ads are purchased by media market, but markets often cross district borders, so advertisers need to know how markets & districts interact Problem: AL, GA, LA, NC & NY all have new congressional maps this year

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