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Stephen Wolf@stephenwolf.bsky.social |
2563 followers 147 following 749 posts
Daily Kos Elections writer covering voting rights, redistricting, election reform, demographics, maps, & political science.
Twitter: @PoliticsWolf
Threads: www.threads.net/@electionswolf
Website: www.dailykos.com/blogs/elections
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Chris Geidner
@chrisgeidner.bsky.social
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Impeachment, criminal investigation, and court expansion — oh my! Congressional Democrats are pushing back, hard, against the Supreme Court's ethical lapses and extremism.
8 replies 70 reposts 242 likes
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Kevin M. Kruse
@kevinmkruse.bsky.social
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It's time to revisit the idea of expanding the Supreme Court, which means it's time to dismiss the misunderstandings about FDR's "Court-packing controversy."
kevinmkruse.substack.com/p/unpacking-...
18 replies 122 reposts 371 likes
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Stephen Wolf
@stephenwolf.bsky.social
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Utah's Supreme Court *finally* will release its ruling tomorrow in the case challenging Republican gerrymandering. Oral arguments were held one YEAR ago on July 11, 2023. This delay ensured the GOP's gerrymanders were used in 2024 even if the court rules for plaintiffs regarding future elections
0 replies 5 reposts 8 likes
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b-boy bouiebaisse
@jbouie.bsky.social
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this was one of my points in my conversation with ezra on his podcast: there is a large delta separating what people think american political parties are and what american political parties actually are
39 replies 115 reposts 776 likes
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Stephen Wolf
@stephenwolf.bsky.social
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Trump tried to put a citizenship question on the 2020 census, but his scheme was too incompetent to hold up in court. The plan was to intimidate immigrants into not responding & also let the GOP use that data to draw maps based only on adult citizens instead of the far more diverse total population
0 replies 0 reposts 4 likes
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Stephen Wolf
@stephenwolf.bsky.social
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A reminder that if Trump wins & purges the civil service to replace it with loyalists as planned, all sorts of govt data will become totally untrustworthy. The House GOP is already trying to rig the census to screw Democrats in redistricting after Trump's first-term attempt failed
7 replies 164 reposts 339 likes
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Stephen Wolf
@stephenwolf.bsky.social
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A reminder that if Trump wins & purges the civil service to replace it with loyalists as planned, all sorts of govt data will become totally untrustworthy. The House GOP is already trying to rig the census to screw Democrats in redistricting after Trump's first-term attempt failed
7 replies 164 reposts 339 likes
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Stephen Wolf
@stephenwolf.bsky.social
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AP: ‘This is break glass in case of emergency stuff': Analysts alarmed by threats to US data gathering
1 replies 49 reposts 114 likes
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Stephen Wolf
@stephenwolf.bsky.social
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A law that Florida Republicans passed last year has nearly killed off voter registration drives on college campuses. Litigation is ongoing.
Last decade, Florida Republicans prohibited early voting locations on campuses & had to settle a lawsuit over it: apnews.com/general-news...
0 replies 1 reposts 8 likes
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Kevin Elliott
@kjephd.bsky.social
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Some have been drawn comparisons to countries where center left parties have recently changed leaders and improved their standing, yet fail to mention that parties there 1) have clear processes for picking new leaders, 2) it happens a lot & ppl are used to it, & 3) the process always excludes voters
2 replies 2 reposts 19 likes
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Sarah Posner
@sarahposner.bsky.social
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In a normal campaign, this would have dominated the weekend’s news.
I wrote about @gregsargent.bsky.social’s scoop about the Christian nationalist GOP nominee for NC Gov calling for murder of his political enemies:
‘Some folks need killing’: www.msnbc.com/opinion/msnb...
38 replies 341 reposts 832 likes
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Taniel
@taniel.bsky.social
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JUST IN: Polls closed in France. Exit polls show surprise: —Left coalition (New Popular Front) projected first. (!) —Far-right (RN) has lost its bid to take power. Anti-RN front appears to have worked very well. —No bloc close to majority. Follow this 🧵 for results and more:
38 replies 523 reposts 1753 likes
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Laura Seay
@texasinafrica.bsky.social
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I maintain that Trump would never have become a viable candidate in 2015 if the national media hadn't treated him like a viable candidate. We have *so much* research on the ways media narratives make or break candidates.
4 replies 16 reposts 75 likes
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ryan cooper
@ryanlcooper.com
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report on the GOP freak running for NC gov: "he and his wife were cited for numerous violations at the child care center they operated from 2000 to 2007, including a charge that the center presented falsified certification documents to state inspectors." www.newsobserver.com/opinion/arti...
7 replies 63 reposts 212 likes
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Stephen Wolf
@stephenwolf.bsky.social
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Exactly. At least some of them came around in the following years, but the 2013-2014 CW left a lasting impression
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Stephen Wolf
@stephenwolf.bsky.social
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That terrible conventional wisdom was a major reason why I chose to specialize in redistricting. Republicans gerrymandered half the districts and Democrats just one tenth! They won congressional/legislative majorities with fewer votes than Dems in MI, NC, NH, NY (coalition with IDC), OH, PA, & WI
1 replies 1 reposts 3 likes
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Stephen Wolf
@stephenwolf.bsky.social
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Source data:
Six times for Senate, two of which coincided with Republicans presidents winning the Electoral College while losing the popular vote.
Once for House in 2012, denying Democrats unified control en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2012_Un...
2 replies 2 reposts 6 likes
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Avishay Ben-Sasson-Gordis
@avishaybsg.bsky.social
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The fact that only the president enjoys complete immunity, and that he also has the power of pardon is part of what is so terrifying about the ruling. It means that those beneath him are entirely at his good graces and arbitrary will. It's a power machine, not a check on his power.
4 replies 32 reposts 109 likes
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Brendan Nyhan
@brendannyhan.bsky.social
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What kind of illiberal lunacy is this? www.theguardian.com/politics/art...
Think of who you don't want in power. Now imagine them enforcing this law.
A society without misinformation is inherently unfree (and impossible).
1 replies 4 reposts 21 likes
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Stephen Wolf
@stephenwolf.bsky.social
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At best it lasted from 1965-2000. Even then we had widespread gerrymandering, Senate malapportionment, unequal voting access, Jim Crow ex-felon voting bans, etc. 7 of 12 elections since 2000 have seen Republicans win one or more of the presidency, Senate, or House despite fewer votes than Democrats
2 replies 10 reposts 30 likes
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Taniel
@taniel.bsky.social
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Explosive reporting in Le Monde confirms what was apparent all week: Macron resisted the emergence of anti-far-right front after round 1. His PM, Attal, forced it as a fait accompli, & pressured for drop outs to block RN. Even then, Macron made some phone calls to undercut it.
16 replies 112 reposts 291 likes
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Greg Sargent
@gregsargent.bsky.social
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NEWS --> Mark Robinson, the MAGA extremist GOP nominee for governor in North Carolina, appeared to endorse political violence against unnamed foes in a recent speech.
"Some folks need killing!" he shouted. "It's a matter of necessity!"
Video and story here:
newrepublic.com/article/1834...
110 replies 369 reposts 680 likes
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Philip Bump
@pbump.com
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A second American Revolution, this one aimed at unwinding democracy in favor of a monarchy. www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...
26 replies 184 reposts 531 likes
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Stephen Wolf
@stephenwolf.bsky.social
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The Wisconsin Supreme Court’s new liberal majority has reinstated the expanded use of mail ballot drop boxes. It reversed the prior right-wing majority’s 2022 ban on such drop boxes, which were expanded due to the pandemic in 2020, when Joe Biden narrowly won Wisconsin
0 replies 11 reposts 39 likes
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Stephen Wolf
@stephenwolf.bsky.social
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It’s peak Economist Brain
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Kevin Elliott
@kjephd.bsky.social
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If you've heard it's flatly irrational to vote and wonder if that's right, this short piece is for you. The math doesn't check out
2 replies 7 reposts 16 likes
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Don Moynihan
@donmoyn.bsky.social
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Why I Don't Vote (OK, I Do Vote, but I Would Like to Discourage You, NY Times Reader, For Doing So For Some Reason)
Via @bubbaprog.ilovecitr.us
40 replies 609 reposts 2072 likes
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Stephen Wolf
@stephenwolf.bsky.social
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Just naked contempt from this author for the concept of an actual right to vote. When people tell you who they are, believe them the first time
1 replies 8 reposts 39 likes
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Don Moynihan
@donmoyn.bsky.social
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In their confirmation hearings, the Republican majority swore under oath that the President was not above the law.
This week, they insisted that the President is not just above the law, but is entitled to absolute immunity for his actions.
Happy 4th!
donmoynihan.substack.com/p/strongman-...
8 replies 54 reposts 158 likes
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Stephen Wolf
@stephenwolf.bsky.social
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The New York Times found it appropriate to publish this drivel on Independence Day just one week after the Supreme Court ruled that Republican presidents are above the law.
13 replies 45 reposts 133 likes
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Stephen Wolf
@stephenwolf.bsky.social
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Ohio won’t vote on a minimum wage measure after supporters failed to get enough signatures in 44 of 88 counties—which burdens liberals but not conservatives. Trump won half the counties by 40 points or more. He won Ohio by just 8. The 7 Biden counties cast 42% of 2020 votes. The reddest 44 had 15%
0 replies 7 reposts 14 likes
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Taniel
@taniel.bsky.social
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NEW: You sent bolts many questions, asking how elections work in France & the UK.
Is there gerrymandering? disenfranchisement? what are these runoffs? What's the deal with proxy voting?!
We answered 10 in run-up to this week's big elections: boltsmag.org/how-voting-w...
0 replies 10 reposts 17 likes
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Josh Chafetz
@joshchafetz.bsky.social
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1/ I'm agnostic as to whether Biden should withdraw from the race. It's a genuinely tough question IMO. But I have clarity on one thing: He should absolutely not step down as president. If Harris becomes President, the Vice Presidency is empty. Under the 25th Amendment ...
17 replies 121 reposts 525 likes
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Stephen Wolf
@stephenwolf.bsky.social
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Mississippi news from Tuesday, not 1966:
1) Conservative white officials threatening journalists who exposed massive corruption www.nbcnews.com/investigatio...
2) A federal court overturned conservatives' legislative gerrymanders for discriminating against Black voters www.wlbt.com/2024/07/03/f...
1 replies 14 reposts 58 likes
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Daniel Gilmore
@gilmored85.bsky.social
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The reactionary centrism of the NYT is all in on helping to usher in fascism, which they will continue to frame through anodyne euphemisms
7 replies 35 reposts 175 likes
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Bruno J. Navarro
@brunojnavarro.bsky.social
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She won a Pulitzer for exposing how the country's poorest state spent federal welfare money. Now she might go to jail. "The rabbit's got the gun now," said a lawyer for former Mississippi Gov. Phil Bryant, who is trying to force reporter Anna Wolfe to reveal her sources.
15 replies 285 reposts 566 likes
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Miranda Yaver
@mirandayaver.bsky.social
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Trump committed these crimes as a private citizen, prior to becoming president. This is ridiculous.
7 replies 19 reposts 85 likes
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Stephen Wolf
@stephenwolf.bsky.social
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Delaware's Supreme Court has reinstated early voting and the permanent mail voting list, reversing a lower court ruling that sided with Republican plaintiffs who oppose efforts to expand voting access
0 replies 8 reposts 30 likes
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Kevin M. Kruse
@kevinmkruse.bsky.social
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The States Project is one of the best bang-for-your-buck options for your campaign donations. Even beyond it, though, state legislatures deserve your attention. Next time you're tempted to send money to whoever's going to lose to MTG, send it instead to a contested state leg seat.
18 replies 265 reposts 656 likes
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b-boy bouiebaisse
@jbouie.bsky.social
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i think we should see the Trump v. United States ruling as a group of Republican apparatchiks taking their opportunity to vindicate Nixon and write the unitary executive into the Constitution. www.nytimes.com/2024/07/02/o...
44 replies 307 reposts 1148 likes
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Adam Serwer
@adamserwer.bsky.social
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Nytimes politics desk is just overtly pro Trump at this point. bsky.app/profile/jaco...
24 replies 147 reposts 621 likes
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Popehat
@kenwhite.bsky.social
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There are two elements to the immunity decision that are particularly extreme in a way that many will miss: (1) motive is irrelevant and (2) immune acts are not just excluded from prosecution, they’re excluded from evidence. /1
50 replies 906 reposts 2442 likes
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Stephen Wolf
@stephenwolf.bsky.social
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Five of nine U.S. Supreme Court justices were confirmed by Senates where Republicans had won a majority of seats despite winning fewer votes nationwide than Democrats did.
Data here: www.dailykos.com/stories/2023...
0 replies 3 reposts 12 likes
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Seth D. Michaels
@sethdmichaels.bsky.social
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maybe seizing and arresting the Supreme Court majority for aiding and abetting an attempt to overthrow the U.S. government can be a "core constitutional duty" and an "official act," why not
48 replies 497 reposts 1887 likes
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Stephen Wolf
@stephenwolf.bsky.social
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Republicans repeatedly won fewer votes than Democrats for president and Senate but got to appoint a Supreme Court supermajority that just placed Republican presidents above the law. There's a name for this system of government, but "democracy" or "constitutional republic" isn't it
0 replies 7 reposts 19 likes
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Stephen Wolf
@stephenwolf.bsky.social
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Republicans repeatedly won fewer votes than Democrats for president and Senate but got to appoint a Supreme Court supermajority that just placed Republican presidents above the law. There's a name for this system of government, but "democracy" or "constitutional republic" isn't it
0 replies 7 reposts 19 likes
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Stephen Wolf
@stephenwolf.bsky.social
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5 of 6 GOP-appointed Supreme Court justices were confirmed by GOP-run Senates where the Dem minority had won more votes & represented more people than the GOP.
3 were also appointed by Trump, who lost the popular vote, & 2 more by Bush, who lost it for his 1st term www.dailykos.com/stories/2023...
2 replies 5 reposts 18 likes
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Adam Bonin
@adambonin.bsky.social
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As Justice Sotomayor explains, today's Supreme Court decision on Trump immunity transforms America from a land of "no more Kings" to one of "no, more Kings."
9 replies 246 reposts 599 likes
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Stephen Wolf
@stephenwolf.bsky.social
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This is completely antithetical to the bedrock principles of the Constitution and Declaration of Independence. This Supreme Court is making Republican presidents into kings who are above the law
0 replies 12 reposts 47 likes
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Seth Masket
@smotus.bsky.social
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YES THAT WORKED SO WELL AND DID NOT AT ALL THROW THE PARTY INTO A DIVISIVE NOMINATION CONTEST AND LOST ELECTION THAT WOULD HAUNT IT FOR THE NEXT HALF CENTURY
90 replies 389 reposts 1935 likes