Dave Weigel's avatar

Dave Weigel

@daveweigel.bsky.social

No offense, but the McConnell mythmaking has convinced a lot of people that a 52-48 R majority would have refused to seat a Dem justice for four years. I am very skeptical of this and did reporting around the time on it - there were enough Rs who were willing to confirm Garland if HRC won.

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Jonathan Bernstein's avatar Jonathan Bernstein @jonathanbernstein.bsky.social
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Dunno. I agree there would have been enough votes to confirm a Clinton nominee in a 52R-48D Senate...but not at all certain that McConnell could have been pushed to hold a vote.

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Marcelo Teson's avatar Marcelo Teson @mteson.bsky.social
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If HRC won but didn't win the Senate, would McConnell have held off for 4 years? I can imagine that there were enough R's willing to confirm him, but doesn't it just take McConnell to bring it up and shepherd it through? All he has to do is refuse.

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Hank G's avatar Hank G @neqone.bsky.social
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I used to think that. After the last 8 years I honestly don’t think so any longer.

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Roly Poly's avatar Roly Poly @rolypolie.bsky.social
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The GOP has not been interested in playing by the rules in the better part of a decade. Betting on their willingness to do so has led to failure every single time.

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Will Hardy's avatar Will Hardy @willhardy.bsky.social
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I think in this alternate universe Russ Feingold and Katie McGinty might end up winning fwiw

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JP Collins's avatar JP Collins @profjpc.bsky.social
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You would have needed 12 to overcome a filibuster—were there that many? (It seems more likely than finding 3 willing to nuke the filibuster to seat a Democratic appointee.)

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Riverdaleboy's avatar Riverdaleboy @riverdaleboy.bsky.social
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If you like your hat, I would hold onto it rather than hang it on that counterfactual

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Think. It. Through. 🙅‍♂️'s avatar Think. It. Through. 🙅‍♂️ @cfaller96.bsky.social
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Counterpoint- your skepticism is foolish in 2024, and Rs absolutely would have kept that seat open until there was a Republican president. It’s odd that you sorta concede that Rs would do it *now*, but somehow they were different people back then and “it wouldn’t be feasible.” You are wrong.

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Ryan's avatar Ryan @ryandstout.bsky.social
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The filibuster was still a thing for SCOTUS nominees back then, are you saying 12 out of 52 GOP Senators would have let Garland get to a vote?

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Chris Hayes's avatar Chris Hayes @chrislhayes.bsky.social
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Yes but I’m not convinced absent some big change we’ll ever seen a Republican senate confirm a Dem nominee for a seat of an R appointee.

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Dave Weigel's avatar Dave Weigel @daveweigel.bsky.social
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I'm not naive, and Rs are more committed now to blocking every Dem judge than they used to be - the days of an R senate waving in Stephen Breyer are over. But Rs kicking and screaming and refusing to confirm any justice for four years wouldn't have been feasible.

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Jaxspeak (Usdi Asgaya)'s avatar Jaxspeak (Usdi Asgaya) @jaxspeaks.bsky.social
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The bill would have to be brought to the senate floor and Mitch McConnel wouldnt do that.

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Eye c u's avatar Eye c u @bruja-ja-ja.bsky.social
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I’m sick of old mfs dictating everything in this country. Mitch has been in office longer than I’ve been alive, and I’m by no means a young lady!

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Doug Moffett 's avatar Doug Moffett @liberallibra.bsky.social
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Yeah, and that kind of wuss Dem thinking is pretty much why we are on the verge of a TOTAL FASCIST takeover of the United States.... If the RNP(REPUBLICAN NAZI PARTY) gets even a ONE vote Majority the concept of DEMOCRACY, will die in America....and that's their goal.

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