prop

Olúfẹ́mi O. Táíwò @olufemiotaiwo.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 17:31 UTC

"What the report finds is that Biden held on to 94% of the people who said they would support him before the debate. For Trump, 86% of people who said they would support him before the debate said they would do so after the debate."

news.northeastern.edu/2024/07/09/b...

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prop @jailrespecter.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 17:55 UTC

that's the version where rfk hasn't been eliminated, though

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prop @jailrespecter.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 17:54 UTC

it's 2.2 on the nationwide polls section of 538

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prop @jailrespecter.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 17:54 UTC

do you have a source for this

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prop @jailrespecter.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 17:52 UTC

the media catastrophizing so far does not have any real-world correlate, but it could create one in the long run

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prop @jailrespecter.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 17:51 UTC

it's more like 2 points, which has been the case before and then the gap closed several months later

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prop @jailrespecter.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 17:50 UTC

I certainly don't deny that, but it's only a minority of the discourse around porn on bsky

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prop @jailrespecter.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 15:45 UTC

yes, you see a lot of prot mission creep, especially with the use of the word 'christian' in nonwestern countries, but recognition that catholicism is the still-running engine at the heart of whatever people label 'western' isn't absent either

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prop @jailrespecter.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 15:44 UTC

this stuff is sort of weighing on my mind because i read a book recently, an enormously interesting and relevant academic book by a scholar i admire, but it suggested that catholicism is globally heavily stigmatized vis-à-vis american prot culture and i'm really not sure that's the whole story

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prop @jailrespecter.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 15:42 UTC

19th century was the golden age for lastname firstname POTUSes

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prop @jailrespecter.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 15:40 UTC

we've had a couple of lastname firstname presidents (nothing too innovative, but that's what lyndon and woodrow are), but i can't really imagine it happening now, and i'd expect someone with a traditional muslim name like barack to actively have an advantage

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prop @jailrespecter.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 15:37 UTC

yeah, i think that's everywhere, except where it's mormon insularity

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prop @jailrespecter.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 15:36 UTC

i'm joking about the christian nationalism and actively leaning into the stigma, but it's interesting that saints' names still have enormous cultural currency simply because they're the cosmopolitan option

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prop @jailrespecter.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 15:35 UTC

it's not intuitive to imagine someone with a lastname firstname as POTUS or a world-famous novelist, you automatically imagine them going for the 'miss americana' types of fame and not cosmopolitan cultural fame

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prop @jailrespecter.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 15:33 UTC

oh, yeah, i wouldn't let them have the word 'aristocratic' but it shows up anywhere in america that you have an insular elite

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prop @jailrespecter.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 15:33 UTC

it's so funny because these names are actively a stigma, you instantly know that someone named "taylor swift" is from a pretentious, non-urban american family with aspirations to waspdom (even though she's also german, italian, etc) and absolutely not british or urban well-connected american

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prop @jailrespecter.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 15:29 UTC

the closest is probably the greater soviet sphere of influence, not limited geographically, where you see a lot of lenins and marats and stuff

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prop @jailrespecter.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 15:26 UTC

doesn't really exist in other western countries, except a few ambiguous cases like guzmán which is really more of a first name all along, gómez addams is pure fiction

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prop @jailrespecter.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 15:24 UTC

yes but with more consistent spelling lol

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prop @jailrespecter.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 15:22 UTC

i think there's a bit of a masonic pride-in-one's-work element in the american version, the 'hunter' type blue-collar occupation names never really featured in the british version of it

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prop @jailrespecter.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 15:21 UTC

it's interesting how you can see the etiology of it so clearly, 1700s england had a massive craze among the gentry to give kids last names as first names, but then it died out and they reverted to saint names but it had already spread to the new world, where it never went away

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prop @jailrespecter.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 15:17 UTC

classic paradox of deontological lindyness

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prop @jailrespecter.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 15:16 UTC

i hate to use the word 'lindy' but saint names are the archetypical instance of lindyness. but you have to actually believe or it's pointless and will fall apart (see what i just posted about my brother and our atheist dad)

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prop @jailrespecter.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 15:15 UTC

it's because our dad went too far with an extremely continental-europe-coded name for him and he probably resented it a lot because all his male children have the anglo and/or irish names prop hates

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prop @jailrespecter.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 15:11 UTC

i have to admit that the call is coming from inside the house here, my brother named his kid mason

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prop @jailrespecter.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 15:09 UTC

this is the single issue that sends me spinning out into the upper atmosphere of blustering continental european trad guy

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prop @jailrespecter.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 15:08 UTC

"these are my daughters, maddox, sawyer and everly" "charles v should have invaded england and changed the national language to spanish or german as collective punishment for their crimes"

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prop @jailrespecter.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 15:03 UTC

christian nationalism but limited to making it illegal for protestant/irreligious white people to name their children things like "sailor" and "henley" instead of saints' names 👍

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prop @jailrespecter.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 14:43 UTC

depiction doesn't equal endorsement. portraying the bad thing in glowing heroic visual language doesn't equal endorsement. jacking off to the bad thing doesn't equal endorsement. endorsement does NOT exist

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prop @jailrespecter.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 14:40 UTC

see also all the reddit threads where some "SEX WORKER HERE!" idiot shows up to talk about how she's never felt more empowered than when she was escorting/onlyfansing and all the SWERFs need to 👏sit👏down👏and👏shut👏up👏. top voted comment

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prop @jailrespecter.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 14:39 UTC

and those are pretty uncommon outside high-end escorts/sugarbabies and 'softer' forms of pornography like onlyfans producers and naked streamers who don't actually have to touch another person, so they're often relying on those instead

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prop @jailrespecter.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 14:37 UTC

"depiction does NOT equal endorsement, jacking off to it does NOT equal endorsement because iT's jUsT a fAnTaSy"

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prop @jailrespecter.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 14:37 UTC

they're immune to statistics as well as auditing for consistency

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prop @jailrespecter.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 13:56 UTC

can't get the podcast listening public riled up by taking away their plato's cave puppets!

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prop @jailrespecter.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 13:53 UTC

the suicide rate for porn stars is at least six times higher than baseline, and that doesn't count ODs

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prop @jailrespecter.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 13:45 UTC

it says a lot about the nature of this website that "they want to ban porn" is neck and neck as a talking point with "they're fascists who are going to dismantle the constitutional structure of the country"

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prop @jailrespecter.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 13:39 UTC

i could watch a million shows about high republic jedi-cult and jedi-local-government interactions

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prop @jailrespecter.bsky.social [ View ] Jul 10, 2024 at 13:38 UTC

i like how despite the change in perspective the fundamental "it was all a breakdown in communication/failure of good-faith attempts at mediation and not coruscant's fault" didn't change

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