Jonathan Tonkin's avatar

Jonathan Tonkin

@jdtonkin.bsky.social

203 followers 237 following 63 posts

Dad | Associate Professor & Rutherford Discovery Fellow @UCNZ | #ecology, #biodiversity, #forecasting, #freshwater, #climatechange | surf obsessed | AE @ESAFrontiers | ref='https://tonkinlab.org'>tonkinlab.orga> | Subscribe for free to predirections.substack.com


Jonathan Tonkin's avatar Jonathan Tonkin @jdtonkin.bsky.social
[ View ]

"Adopt the pace of nature: her secret is patience." — Ralph Waldo Emerson

0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes


Reposted by Jonathan Tonkin

Alexander Verbeek's avatar Alexander Verbeek @alexverbeek.bsky.social
[ View ]

He looked at me as if waiting for supporting words, but I couldn't find any. Claus somehow interpreted my silence as an encouragement to continue; he suddenly opened up about his experiences, uncertainties, and fears that formed lasting invisible scars.

theplanet.substack.com/p/some-pilgr...

2 replies 3 reposts 3 likes


Reposted by Jonathan Tonkin

Katharine Hayhoe's avatar Katharine Hayhoe @katharinehayhoe.com
[ View ]

This is what's going on over on X. Friends don't let friends stay there. Tell them how good it is here! (or on Threads! or even on LinkedIn!)

13 replies 35 reposts 179 likes


Jonathan Tonkin's avatar Jonathan Tonkin @jdtonkin.bsky.social
[ View ]

These are cool Heather!

1 replies 0 reposts 1 likes


Jonathan Tonkin's avatar Jonathan Tonkin @jdtonkin.bsky.social
[ View ]

"Look deep into nature, and then you will understand everything better." — Albert Einstein

0 replies 0 reposts 2 likes


Reposted by Jonathan Tonkin

IPBES's avatar IPBES @ipbes.bsky.social
[ View ]

Why does biodiversity matter? 🤔🌏🧪

‌Anne Larigauderie, @ipbes.bsky.social Exec. Sec. interviewed by Business Insider Japan on the importance of our work after the announcement that IPBES will receive the 2024 Blue Planet Prize.

‌Read: www.af-info.or.jp/en/af_magazi...

0 replies 13 reposts 11 likes


Reposted by Jonathan Tonkin

Andy Reisinger's avatar Andy Reisinger @andyreisinger.bsky.social
[ View ]

What does the @IPCC_CH AR6 say about GHG emission metrics (GWP, GTP, GWP* etc)? This was covered in an in-session workshop at the June #SB58 subsidiary bodies meeting of the @UNFCCC. A nerdy thread on the findings from WGIII from a mitigation perspective🧵1/26 (re-post from twitter, sorry)

1 replies 11 reposts 15 likes


Reposted by Jonathan Tonkin

Mike Dickison's avatar Mike Dickison @adzebill.bsky.social
[ View ]

If anyone in Ōtautahi Christchurch is interested in Wikipedia and becoming a volunteer editor, we're having a meetup on Sunday morning in Tūranga cafe (which also has amazing cheese scones).
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wikiped...

2 replies 6 reposts 9 likes


Jonathan Tonkin's avatar Jonathan Tonkin @jdtonkin.bsky.social
[ View ]

What can we do other than stop climate change? 1. Increase access to green spaces. 2. Protect local biodiversity. 3. Increase people’s capability and motivation to engage with nature through education. 4. Minimise the risk of encounters of harmful species in green spaces.

0 replies 0 reposts 2 likes


Jonathan Tonkin's avatar Jonathan Tonkin @jdtonkin.bsky.social
[ View ]

These changes can lead to feedback loops, whereby people lose motivation to interact with nature as they progressively lose contact with nature.

1 replies 0 reposts 2 likes


Jonathan Tonkin's avatar Jonathan Tonkin @jdtonkin.bsky.social
[ View ]

These reduced experiences can come from restricted distributions of species, but also changes in the timing of species’ activities, such as wildflowers flowering or migration of animals. And people may be less motivated to interact with nature when local weather patterns are becoming more extreme.

1 replies 0 reposts 1 likes


Jonathan Tonkin's avatar Jonathan Tonkin @jdtonkin.bsky.social
[ View ]

Climate change is reducing people’s direct experiences with nature. It has the potential to lead to this extinction of experience. We need to understand these impacts as the extinction of experience can have negative impacts on both humans and the environment.

1 replies 0 reposts 1 likes


Jonathan Tonkin's avatar Jonathan Tonkin @jdtonkin.bsky.social
[ View ]

A new extinction is emerging with climate change: the extinction of experience or the progressive loss of interactions people have with nature. This is particularly evident in children.
1/n
www.nature.com/articles/s41...

1 replies 1 reposts 1 likes


Jonathan Tonkin's avatar Jonathan Tonkin @jdtonkin.bsky.social
[ View ]

If we want public transport to be taken seriously in NZ, buses just can’t be 20 minutes late. People lose trust and choose to get back in their cars.

0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes


Jonathan Tonkin's avatar Jonathan Tonkin @jdtonkin.bsky.social
[ View ]

Totally eh. That's a cool pic though, Naomi!

0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes


Jonathan Tonkin's avatar Jonathan Tonkin @jdtonkin.bsky.social
[ View ]

Amazing pics! Special ecosystems aren't they!?

0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes


Jonathan Tonkin's avatar Jonathan Tonkin @jdtonkin.bsky.social
[ View ]

Flying over the South Island's braided rivers is so special. I'll never get sick of it.

0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes


Jonathan Tonkin's avatar Jonathan Tonkin @jdtonkin.bsky.social
[ View ]

This one struck a chord relative to my other posts here at least. If you're interested in biodiversity, climate change, and water resource management, check out my newsletter here and subscribe: predirections.substack.com

0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes


Jonathan Tonkin's avatar Jonathan Tonkin @jdtonkin.bsky.social
[ View ]

Seriously, you can’t tell me that braided rivers are not the coolest things! Tasman River, New Zealand.

4 replies 4 reposts 45 likes


Jonathan Tonkin's avatar Jonathan Tonkin @jdtonkin.bsky.social
[ View ]

My latest post is out: On hope, apathy and scaremongering. A bit more of a personal message here, but I'm keen to get your thoughts on this. How do we balance these things when trying to get the message across with impact?
predirections.substack.com/p/on-hope-ap...

0 replies 1 reposts 0 likes


Jonathan Tonkin's avatar Jonathan Tonkin @jdtonkin.bsky.social
[ View ]

Waiau River, New Zealand. Current channel vs. historical. That’s a lot of function and biodiversity that’s been gobbled up by centre-pivot irrigators.

0 replies 6 reposts 13 likes


Reposted by Jonathan Tonkin

Te Pūnaha Matatini's avatar Te Pūnaha Matatini @tepunahamatatini.bsky.social
[ View ]

We've got an internship available for a University of Auckland student to use data science and computational modelling to explore the effect of initiatives that give young people the opportunity to experience science, technology, engineering and mathematics → bit.ly/3L4hjga

0 replies 1 reposts 1 likes


Jonathan Tonkin's avatar Jonathan Tonkin @jdtonkin.bsky.social
[ View ]

My latest post is out: On hope, apathy and scaremongering. A bit more of a personal message here, but I'm keen to get your thoughts on this. How do we balance these things when trying to get the message across with impact?
predirections.substack.com/p/on-hope-ap...

0 replies 1 reposts 0 likes


Jonathan Tonkin's avatar Jonathan Tonkin @jdtonkin.bsky.social
[ View ]

"Natural historians, however, are a dying breed. It’s hard to fund basic natural history because it doesn’t often result in the headline grabbing news items that funders and universities are interested in. But for forecasting, such information is all too regularly a critical gap."

0 replies 1 reposts 1 likes


Jonathan Tonkin's avatar Jonathan Tonkin @jdtonkin.bsky.social
[ View ]

Peak Covid signals coming through strong via Garmin’s body battery measurements the past few days!

0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes


Jonathan Tonkin's avatar Jonathan Tonkin @jdtonkin.bsky.social
[ View ]

Massive effort! Congrats.

0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes


Reposted by Jonathan Tonkin

James Orr's avatar James Orr @jamesaorr.bsky.social
[ View ]

I’m really excited to share our new synthesis of 2,396 (!) multiple-stressor experiments conducted in freshwater ecosystems that’s just been published in Ecology Letters: doi.org/10.1111/ele....

2 replies 6 reposts 6 likes


Jonathan Tonkin's avatar Jonathan Tonkin @jdtonkin.bsky.social
[ View ]

"Natural historians, however, are a dying breed. It’s hard to fund basic natural history because it doesn’t often result in the headline grabbing news items that funders and universities are interested in. But for forecasting, such information is all too regularly a critical gap."

0 replies 1 reposts 1 likes


Jonathan Tonkin's avatar Jonathan Tonkin @jdtonkin.bsky.social
[ View ]

Super proud supervisor moment. Gabrielle Koerich won best student presentation at the recent Ecological Forecasting Initiative conference in Helsinki for her work on modelling bryophyte distributions in Antarctica.

0 replies 0 reposts 2 likes


Jonathan Tonkin's avatar Jonathan Tonkin @jdtonkin.bsky.social
[ View ]

My newsletter is now ten posts old. I think I can sustain this pace: one article every 1-2 weeks.
Biodiversity-climate nexus, with a touch of water resource management: predictions, redirections, adaptations.
If you're interested, go check in out. It's free.
predirections.substack.com

0 replies 2 reposts 3 likes


Jonathan Tonkin's avatar Jonathan Tonkin @jdtonkin.bsky.social
[ View ]

I have a combo of jet lag and Covid from my travels! Boo!

2 replies 0 reposts 0 likes


Jonathan Tonkin's avatar Jonathan Tonkin @jdtonkin.bsky.social
[ View ]

Can ecological forecasts help us in our fight to bend the curve of biodiversity loss?

I argue that forecasting is fundamental in our quest to stem biodiversity loss, providing actionable information. But many challenges persist.

predirections.substack.com/p/can-ecolog...

0 replies 1 reposts 1 likes


Jonathan Tonkin's avatar Jonathan Tonkin @jdtonkin.bsky.social
[ View ]

Thanks! I hear you. Rule 5 emphasise that the level of intervention will be context-dependent. In such cases, you'd need to be more proactive in your intervention by helping it get ahead in the presence of invasive species.

0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes


Reposted by Jonathan Tonkin

Annie Leymarie's avatar Annie Leymarie @annieleymarie.bsky.social
[ View ]

Rule No 5 seems pretty key: "Use natural regeneration whenever possible Leveraging natural processes can be more effective and sustainable than planting new trees and can lead to much greater carbon capture and biodiversity gains. And, in fact, it can be substantially cheaper."

1 replies 12 reposts 26 likes


Jonathan Tonkin's avatar Jonathan Tonkin @jdtonkin.bsky.social
[ View ]

Can ecological forecasts help us in our fight to bend the curve of biodiversity loss?

I argue that forecasting is fundamental in our quest to stem biodiversity loss, providing actionable information. But many challenges persist.

predirections.substack.com/p/can-ecolog...

0 replies 1 reposts 1 likes


Jonathan Tonkin's avatar Jonathan Tonkin @jdtonkin.bsky.social
[ View ]

My latest post considers rules for reforestation. It summarises a great paper from 2021 that introduced these rules to optimise carbon sequestration, biodiversity recovery and livelihood benefits.
predirections.substack.com/p/rules-for-...

1 replies 6 reposts 8 likes


Jonathan Tonkin's avatar Jonathan Tonkin @jdtonkin.bsky.social
[ View ]

My latest post considers rules for reforestation. It summarises a great paper from 2021 that introduced these rules to optimise carbon sequestration, biodiversity recovery and livelihood benefits.
predirections.substack.com/p/rules-for-...

1 replies 6 reposts 8 likes


Jonathan Tonkin's avatar Jonathan Tonkin @jdtonkin.bsky.social
[ View ]

Super looking new synthesis centre open in Cape Town for climate solutions synthesis research. I love the look of this centre. They’ve opened a new call. Projects come with a postdoc for the two year project tenure.

ascendclimate.org

0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes


Jonathan Tonkin's avatar Jonathan Tonkin @jdtonkin.bsky.social
[ View ]

Visited the wonderful Hinewai Reserve in the Banks Peninsula yesterday. Love the way tissue droppers are dealt with!

0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes


Jonathan Tonkin's avatar Jonathan Tonkin @jdtonkin.bsky.social
[ View ]

On science and activism: can we be truly objective as scientists?

I reflect on a recent paper that has gone viral on twitter about distinguishing science from activism.

I’d love to hear your thoughts. Go check out the newsletter and subscribe if you want to see more.

#science #activism #research

0 replies 1 reposts 0 likes


Reposted by Jonathan Tonkin

Jonathan Tonkin's avatar Jonathan Tonkin @jdtonkin.bsky.social
[ View ]

On science and activism: can we be truly objective as scientists?

I reflect on a recent paper that has gone viral on twitter about distinguishing science from activism.

I’d love to hear your thoughts. Go check out the newsletter and subscribe if you want to see more.

#science #activism #research

0 replies 1 reposts 0 likes


Jonathan Tonkin's avatar Jonathan Tonkin @jdtonkin.bsky.social
[ View ]

I hit peak professor! 😂😂😂

1 replies 0 reposts 5 likes


Reposted by Jonathan Tonkin