Jeff Duda's avatar

Jeff Duda

@jeffdudaphdco.bsky.social

121 followers 66 following 930 posts

Research meteorologist. Owner/manager of Stormtrack. Animal lover. Runner. Hiker. Other things.

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Jeff Duda's avatar Jeff Duda @jeffdudaphdco.bsky.social
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"Over the Edge" "The Edge of the World" "Flat Earther's Delight"

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Jeff Duda's avatar Jeff Duda @jeffdudaphdco.bsky.social
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What you say is true. We shall see about the eventual presidential vote.

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Jeff Duda's avatar Jeff Duda @jeffdudaphdco.bsky.social
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Commish is wrong about everything and should never be allowed to write about CFB again!

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Todd Murphy's avatar Todd Murphy @toddamurphy.bsky.social
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65(!) tornado warnings (and counting) issued by NWS Shreveport today. Far eclipsing their previous single day record, but now eclipsing the monthly record, all in one day.

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Jeff Duda's avatar Jeff Duda @jeffdudaphdco.bsky.social
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I'm not so much concerned about the House and Senate races. In fact, I'm pinning my hopes on the Dems taking the house and keeping the Senate to slow Trump from getting much of what he wants done. But my comment was strictly about the Prez race. And I don't think policy is gonna matter much.

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Jeff Duda's avatar Jeff Duda @jeffdudaphdco.bsky.social
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And Trump is also increasingly likely to win, in large part due to this shortcoming. Two things true at same time etc etc etc

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Todd Murphy's avatar Todd Murphy @toddamurphy.bsky.social
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Fun stat - NWS Shreveport previous daily record for tornado warnings was 36 on 12/27/2015. They’re over 40 today. Quite the day in the ArkLaTex.

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Jeff Duda's avatar Jeff Duda @jeffdudaphdco.bsky.social
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That the GEFS ensemble max stays above 100 F for the remainder of the period beyond Friday...😬🥵

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Jeff Duda's avatar Jeff Duda @jeffdudaphdco.bsky.social
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Ok, now you're just fucking with us. Cardboard recycling? Fuckin' CARDBOARD RECYCLING?!

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Jeff Duda's avatar Jeff Duda @jeffdudaphdco.bsky.social
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That would be pretty funny to see people start stacking garbage bags on top of that thing.

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Jeff Duda's avatar Jeff Duda @jeffdudaphdco.bsky.social
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You can't talk to me that way! Get you shit straight before arguing such ridiculous angles.

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Jeff Duda's avatar Jeff Duda @jeffdudaphdco.bsky.social
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Your second statement is more profound than your first!

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Jeff Duda's avatar Jeff Duda @jeffdudaphdco.bsky.social
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"Pomeroy, Ia. was not visited by a funnel shaped cloud" 🤔

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LillianOrlando's avatar LillianOrlando @lillianorlando.bsky.social
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As a side note, this is John McEntee, Trump's Director of White House Personnel and the primary architect of Project 2025. On Tik Tok he said he gives counterfeit bills to homeless people so they will be arrested when they go to spend them.

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Jeff Duda's avatar Jeff Duda @jeffdudaphdco.bsky.social
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If you have the hourly data, calculate conditional on reaching 90 by, say, 11 or noon LT.

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PCFclub's avatar PCFclub @pcfclub.bsky.social
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For the people who don’t have time, here’s your Readers Digest version. You’re welcome.

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Jeff Duda's avatar Jeff Duda @jeffdudaphdco.bsky.social
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Time to send a ship made out of unobtainium and that looks like a metal penis down there to speed it back up!

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Jeff Duda's avatar Jeff Duda @jeffdudaphdco.bsky.social
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There were still audible booms at 12:59 last night for me.

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Brian McNoldy's avatar Brian McNoldy @bmcnoldy.bsky.social
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From the beginning of #Beryl through Friday morning, NHC's track forecasts have been extremely good, far below their 5-year average error. Intensity forecasts have been biased low; the errors have been above their 5-year average. In short, an easy-to-track overachieving storm.

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Jeff Duda's avatar Jeff Duda @jeffdudaphdco.bsky.social
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HP bricked my printer by refusing to allow the printer to recognize the HP-manufactured ink cartridge I put in it (also the same type of cartridge I had been using for years). That was early 2022. Done. Haven't owned a printer since. Pointless when you can print documents at a local library.

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Jeff Duda's avatar Jeff Duda @jeffdudaphdco.bsky.social
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This should be the norm every year. Get it over with in 60 s and be dine with it.

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Jeff Duda's avatar Jeff Duda @jeffdudaphdco.bsky.social
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I miss a ton here that others tell me is being discussed over there. The pull of the attention seeking just seems to be too much to judge an asshole troll ike EM. They'll never leave there and it's sad.

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Jeff Duda's avatar Jeff Duda @jeffdudaphdco.bsky.social
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Lotta mets still actively posting on X and I don't get it.

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Rachel H's avatar Rachel H @rachelcraves.bsky.social
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When two of your internet friends are mad at each other

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Dan Murphy's avatar Dan Murphy @bungdan.bsky.social
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Presidential candidate who the far-right members of the Supreme Court just placed above the law tells voters how he will exercise his new powers.

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Jeff Duda's avatar Jeff Duda @jeffdudaphdco.bsky.social
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It always seems to be hot and humid and the sun always seems to set at the same time.

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Jeff Duda's avatar Jeff Duda @jeffdudaphdco.bsky.social
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Another way to describe this is that the "mean" (which is always implicitly conditional on there being a storm) becomes increasingly conditional as members drop off.

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Jeff Duda's avatar Jeff Duda @jeffdudaphdco.bsky.social
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It humors me to recall that a lot of these people are fat, old f--ks who probably couldn't march more than a few miles before becoming too exhausted to be able to hold up a gun. You don't tend to see a lot of MAGAites out for a run or doing American Ninja Warrior, e.g.

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Jeff Duda's avatar Jeff Duda @jeffdudaphdco.bsky.social
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If the narrative shifts to "why that's bad news for Kamala Harris," that's bad news for Biden.

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Jeff Duda's avatar Jeff Duda @jeffdudaphdco.bsky.social
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Depends on the degree of skew. But also, at that point, trying to use any measure of central tendency as a metric becomes less representative of the range of possible scenarios.

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