Jeff Lazarus's avatar

Jeff Lazarus

@jlazarus.bsky.social

People who think Biden can step aside smoothly need to read up on game theoretic coordination problems, divisive primaries, and the 1968 elections just as a starter pack.

9 replies 34 reposts 131 likes


Steven White's avatar Steven White @notstevenwhite.bsky.social
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This all depends on what probability you assign Biden beating Trump. If you think he has a 40-50% chance, sure. If you think he's at risk of dropping down to much lower odds, then even with all those problems it would be worth it as a certain point.

0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes


Russ's avatar Russ @massivruss.bsky.social
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Humphrey was a stronger candidate than Harris would be. (Each is a wonderful American who would be a very good president. But ya gotta win.) Game set match.

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Jonathan Bernstein's avatar Jonathan Bernstein @jonathanbernstein.bsky.social
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Not gonna happen but....I think the possibilities would be (1) Harris after a lot of pain and chaos, or (2) Harris by acclamation very quickly. With the latter somewhat more likely.

3 replies 0 reposts 3 likes


First Wordle Problems 's avatar First Wordle Problems @fwordleproblems.bsky.social
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I've literally had people say "Biden could totally step aside! Look at 1968!" and I'm just thinking "I do not think you are making the point you think you are."

1 replies 0 reposts 10 likes


's avatar @stevestarman.bsky.social
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Hoping this "disaster" ends up just being a campaign "wake up call". Today in NC was the feisty Biden I was hoping for last night.

0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes


Mike Peterson's avatar Mike Peterson @csotd.bsky.social
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I really doubt George Wallace is going to mount a credible run and I hope to hell Sirhan Sirhan stays out of it. 1968 is in no possible way comparable.

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Sean's avatar Sean @publichealth.bsky.social
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oh boy. the memories...

0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes


Peter Stinson's avatar Peter Stinson @change1strategy.bsky.social
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"starter pack" A true blueskyer

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Greg Bester 's avatar Greg Bester @gregbester.bsky.social
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Like changing a flight crew mid flight.

0 replies 0 reposts 2 likes