The goodish news - Reform has only 4 seats, the same as the Greens, so the exit polls were badly wrong.
The really bad news - Reform has more than 4 million votes, more than Lib Dem on 3.5 and not far behind Tories on 6.7 million and Labour on 9.6.
Es wäre ja auch erstaunlich, wenn die ganzen Leute, die von einer triumphalen Rückkehr in alte Zeiten geträumt haben, nun alle bekehrt oder verschwunden wären
I’m most worried about the age profile of the reform vote which, at least from what I’ve seen, is a bit younger than you might expect. It isn’t surprising-the natural consequence of the collapse in Tory support in the under 60s is a rise in young people voting for the far right.
I saw somewhere that RN in France is in charge of (how many) municipalities, and I thought “what’s it like to live in a town where the muni government is RN?” It made me uneasy. Would that be like a small US town circa 1920 run by members of the Klan?? We’re a bit sheltered in these liberal cities.
Would be nice if they were thinking how to win over Lib Dem types, or form an alliance, but somehow Starmer ….yikes. Also, the Lib Dem people I know are quite antiauthoritarian.
I wonder what a Reform vote share looks like if the structural issues Tory neglect has fostered aren't there. I don't think Starmer can fix them soon but I refuse to believe we've lurched to the right (and stupid) that much.
How many councils are Reform in charge of? Now that the fireworks are over, how many activists will they mobilize to keep those 4 muppets in their little Westminster niche? They all get sick of each other, making less actual difference to anything than the Greens or LDs.