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JWexTheSpa

@jwsidders.bsky.social

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Redistribution ✊️ Nationalism 🤬🤮 Spurs 🤢😱 Labour 🥴 Mostly losing; not giving up! London-born, SW-based, 20 happy Midlands years. España en mi corazón


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Alastair Meeks 's avatar Alastair Meeks @alastairmeeks.bsky.social
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Seems like a big W for Britain to me: they're not prepared to pay much tax despite being objectively wealthy, they're freeing up housing space for everyone else and they're demonstrating their loyalty to Britain is highly contingent on being pandered to. I wish Australia joy of them.

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JWexTheSpa's avatar JWexTheSpa @jwsidders.bsky.social
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The current UK government terrifies the actual, public school establishment that has controlled the UK forever because it comes from a place it doesn’t understand and cannot control.

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JWexTheSpa's avatar JWexTheSpa @jwsidders.bsky.social
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Here’s hoping. Sadly, they still have the November US election to cling to.

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JWexTheSpa's avatar JWexTheSpa @jwsidders.bsky.social
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Any sensible reading of the French election result must surely lead to the conclusion that it wasn’t just the left that stopped the far-right, it was the centre too.

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Andy Fraser's avatar Andy Fraser @andyfraser.bsky.social
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The easiest lowest effort way to defeat fascism is just by showing up and putting an X in the right box. The other alternatives are much much harder - that’s why the far right puts so much effort into demoralising the opposition and suppressing the vote. They’re freaking terrified of democracy.

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JWexTheSpa's avatar JWexTheSpa @jwsidders.bsky.social
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I am 60 years old. I have never identified so much with a UK government. For the first time ever, people like me, from backgrounds like mine, are in charge. It feels so good. To say I am invested in its success is an understatement. Let’s show the world the Oiks can deliver!!!

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JWexTheSpa's avatar JWexTheSpa @jwsidders.bsky.social
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Clearly, very clearly, the right wing UK commentariat was hoping for a far-right win in France to throw at the new Labour government as a warning of what was to come. This explains the bitterness of the reaction you’re seeing. Oh well.

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JWexTheSpa's avatar JWexTheSpa @jwsidders.bsky.social
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A huge weight has been lifted. Yes, there is a lot to do. Yes, the new UK government will get a lot wrong. Yes, it will piss me off regularly. Yes, the UK itself will remain beset by problems. But, at last, decent people are in charge. No grifters, culture warriors or charlatans. That feels so good!

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Alastair Meeks 's avatar Alastair Meeks @alastairmeeks.bsky.social
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I am unusually interested in Opinium’s poll tonight. There are precisely two bits of recent data that suggest things might be moving: Opinium’s last poll and JL Partners’ last poll. From Opinium’s hints, we know this one shows some big shift. Are they starting to align with most other pollsters?

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JWexTheSpa's avatar JWexTheSpa @jwsidders.bsky.social
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Another corker from the Times …

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JWexTheSpa's avatar JWexTheSpa @jwsidders.bsky.social
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Brilliant Times copium today. It seems Keir Starmer was closely involved in Angela Rayner’s decision to undermine Keir Starmer over Diane Abbott.

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JWexTheSpa's avatar JWexTheSpa @jwsidders.bsky.social
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I love how every single one f these top Spanish business and banking executives who posed with Milei will now be bitterly regretting it. Should people with such abysmal judgement hold such positions of power and responsibility? 🤔

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BrianinFrance's avatar BrianinFrance @brianinfrance.bsky.social
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‘It would be immoral, we were told, to pass debt on to the next generation. Handing them a country that simply doesn’t work, by contrast, is apparently fine.’ In fact, the Tories will be passing on a country that simply doesn’t work and is deeply in debt.

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Éamann Mac Donnchada's avatar Éamann Mac Donnchada @almagroschool.bsky.social
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yep. the first law of Spanish politics again confirmed; Pedro Sánchez always wins

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JWexTheSpa's avatar JWexTheSpa @jwsidders.bsky.social
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Those senior execs that had their photo taken with Milei the other day. They’re involved too.

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JWexTheSpa's avatar JWexTheSpa @jwsidders.bsky.social
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Vote PP get Abascal and Milei. That’s the messaging for PSOE sorted for the next three years.

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JWexTheSpa's avatar JWexTheSpa @jwsidders.bsky.social
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Javier Milei is a gift to Pedro Sánchez. He will use it well.

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JWexTheSpa's avatar JWexTheSpa @jwsidders.bsky.social
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Sunak’s profound lack of curiosity and self-knowledge means he does not realise this.

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POLITICO Europe's avatar POLITICO Europe @politico.eu
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For the first time in decades, Catalan nationalist parties failed to secure a majority of seats in the regional parliament in yesterday’s election. Here are the five top takeaways from the results.

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JWexTheSpa's avatar JWexTheSpa @jwsidders.bsky.social
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Looks like PSC+ERC+Communs = 68 seats. That’s enough to form a left-of-centre government. If ERC wants it to happen. It would mean accepting what most Catalans who voted today made clear: forget independence, it’s time to move on within Spain.

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JWexTheSpa's avatar JWexTheSpa @jwsidders.bsky.social
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PSC will get over 40 seats in the new Catalan Parliament. In December 2017 - the last election in Catalonia before Pedro Sánchez became Spanish PM - they got 17 seats.

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Éamann Mac Donnchada's avatar Éamann Mac Donnchada @almagroschool.bsky.social
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"the independence movement and the amnesty have killed the independence movement" bang on !

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JWexTheSpa's avatar JWexTheSpa @jwsidders.bsky.social
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Sánchez will get absolutely no credit at all for what he has achieved in the rest of Spain. He will be attacked as relentlessly as ever. But he has done something extraordinary.

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JWexTheSpa's avatar JWexTheSpa @jwsidders.bsky.social
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Hard to overstate just how big a deal the loss of the separatist majority is in Catalonia. It is massive. Less than seven years ago they were declaring independence from Spain. Pedro Sánchez killed their momentum, then reversed it, by rejecting confrontation.

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Éamann Mac Donnchada's avatar Éamann Mac Donnchada @almagroschool.bsky.social
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the independence process that started in 2012 is finally dead and buried, that looks certain. And Sánchez has been both its assassin and undertaker. Remember the first rule of Spanish politics: Pedro Sánchez always wins.

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JWexTheSpa's avatar JWexTheSpa @jwsidders.bsky.social
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Ha guanyat Pedro Sánchez i su procés

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JWexTheSpa's avatar JWexTheSpa @jwsidders.bsky.social
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These numbers show the pro-indy bias in the voting system. Much easier for separatist parties to win seats so PSC eight points clear in vote % but only six ahead on seats.

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Éamann Mac Donnchada's avatar Éamann Mac Donnchada @almagroschool.bsky.social
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Junts, ERC and CUP still on 58 seats, the main nationalist parties 10 short of an overall majority, and still short if they take 3 from the fascist allianca.

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JWexTheSpa's avatar JWexTheSpa @jwsidders.bsky.social
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That would be huge. A total vindication of the Sánchez approach. Not that he’ll get any credit for it in the rest of Spain.

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JWexTheSpa's avatar JWexTheSpa @jwsidders.bsky.social
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What percentage of the vote do we need to be pretty certain of the final result?

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JWexTheSpa's avatar JWexTheSpa @jwsidders.bsky.social
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I’m hoping the differential turnout between Barcelona and Tarragona and Lleida and Girona means the polls are wrong.

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JWexTheSpa's avatar JWexTheSpa @jwsidders.bsky.social
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We don’t yet know the result of today’s elections in Catalonia but it does look like the big losers are going to be ERC. However, they will probably also decide who governs. And that will mean making a call on whether independence takes precedence over everything else.

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JWexTheSpa's avatar JWexTheSpa @jwsidders.bsky.social
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I will buy this. Borders absolutely fascinate me. Lost ones especially.

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JWexTheSpa's avatar JWexTheSpa @jwsidders.bsky.social
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People this deluded should not be allowed anywhere near heavy machinery, children or animals, let alone government. If this is what they sincerely believe, they are a genuine danger to UK national security. From the @shippersunbound.bsky.social politics briefing this morning …

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JWexTheSpa's avatar JWexTheSpa @jwsidders.bsky.social
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I would not write off the SNP. Look at Catalonia. It has been abysmally governed by a succession of nationalist governments but the parties concerned keep on getting 45%+ of the vote. Why? Because the nationalism matters more than the competence. It will be a similar story in Scotland.

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JWexTheSpa's avatar JWexTheSpa @jwsidders.bsky.social
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This is an abysmal piece. I expect crap reporting on Spain from most UK media but the FT should be doing better than articles that could have been written by an apparatchik working for PP.
www.ft.com/content/9adc...

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JWexTheSpa's avatar JWexTheSpa @jwsidders.bsky.social
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With one exception - East Midlands. Watch that one closely.

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JWexTheSpa's avatar JWexTheSpa @jwsidders.bsky.social
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The Spanish nationalist right’s lawfare attack on Pedro Sánchez will turbocharge the Catalan separatist narrative of a deep state, centred on the judiciary, determined to keep Francoism alive. It’ll also galvanise the left in support of Sánchez. The Spanish nationalist right is thick as shit!

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