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NeoTiamat
@neotiamat99.bsky.social
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Fair!
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NeoTiamat@neotiamat99.bsky.social |
46 followers 21 following 1048 posts
Russian-speaking Ukrainian-American Diplomatic Historian of late Imperial Russia Published Author, Alt-AC (Secondary Education)
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NeoTiamat
@neotiamat99.bsky.social
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Fair!
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NeoTiamat
@neotiamat99.bsky.social
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Though overall, yeah, agreed with you. Nothing is impossible, but this is what I tell myself to keep calm and keep the doomerism at bay.
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NeoTiamat
@neotiamat99.bsky.social
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An electoral college victory is more plausible, but still a hard lift -- in 2016 Trump lost the pop vote by 3m while squeaking out an inside straight of an EC win, so he's still got to scratch together at least 4m more votes, plus get either pretty lucky or be very well-organized (which...uh...)
2 replies 0 reposts 2 likes
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NeoTiamat
@neotiamat99.bsky.social
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This is what I keep telling myself. Trump lost 2020 by 7m votes. Since then: - Dobbs - Biden is an incumbent with a good economy - Trump's become a convicted felon How is Trump supposed to *gain* 7m votes against those headwinds? Hardcore MAGA isn't nearly enough.
1 replies 1 reposts 6 likes
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NeoTiamat
@neotiamat99.bsky.social
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[is currently about halfway through the book] You had a rather excessive amount of fun with the vernacular, I can see. [goes back to reading]
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NeoTiamat
@neotiamat99.bsky.social
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On the one hand, queercoding the villains is bad politics and we should stop doing that. On the other hand, it often ends up with really cool and awesome (villainous) queer characters.
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NeoTiamat
@neotiamat99.bsky.social
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(Legit question from a non-lawyer: who *do* lawyers think the brightest minds on SCOTUS are? Because while I'm a politics watcher and can make a reasonable guess at their politics, I've no idea how their jurisprudence stacks up)
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NeoTiamat
@neotiamat99.bsky.social
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It really does feel like a good chunk of the public sphere is having a panic attack.
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James Bennett
@ubernostrum.bsky.social
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Embrace @sjshancoxli.bsky.social Thought!
“The New Colossus” is an American gospel.
0 replies 8 reposts 24 likes
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NeoTiamat
@neotiamat99.bsky.social
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NeoTiamat
@neotiamat99.bsky.social
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The NYT's ratfucking efforts are definitely getting more and more obvious. At this point I'm kinda curious how far they'll go.
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Iron Spike
@ironspike.bsky.social
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Didn’t even need to click through to guess the author’s race an gender. Do you what you want, fucker. But too many people got savaged by dogs, blasted with fire hoses, and hung from trees to get me into the voting booth for me to ever opt out.
30 replies 135 reposts 699 likes
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NeoTiamat
@neotiamat99.bsky.social
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I feel like I'm seeing the genesis of the next T. Kingfisher horror novel before my very eyes.
2 replies 0 reposts 7 likes
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NeoTiamat
@neotiamat99.bsky.social
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And like, this entire thing is a NYT ratfuck because Sulzberger is upset at not getting an interview. Do we really, truthfully expect the NYT to be *nicer* to Harris?
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NeoTiamat
@neotiamat99.bsky.social
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I'm going to politely but firmly disagree -- Harris would lose out on the incumbency advantage, it'd escalate the 'Dems in Disarray' media feeding frenzy, and frankly, we do not live in a land where an African-American woman from California is more electable than an old white dude.
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Faine Greenwood
@faineg.bsky.social
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It also makes me feel insane that the rat fuck around Biden’s age and mental capacity is being uncritically spread around by Democrats when Trump is *incredibly obviously* grotesquely mentally incapacitated, in a way that is genuinely terrifying.
39 replies 291 reposts 1061 likes
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NeoTiamat
@neotiamat99.bsky.social
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I am losing a certain amount of respect for everyone even tolerating this entire idiocy. >_> Like, I like Harris and hope she becomes Prez someday but I'm staring at the idea that just subbing her in will *help* and going.... "wat".
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post malone ergo propter malone
@proptermalone.bsky.social
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sticking with Biden is the obvious correct choice until and unless Biden decides otherwise, and anyone who suggests otherwise is either dishonest, an idiot, or a handmaiden of fascism.
15 replies 32 reposts 192 likes
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NeoTiamat
@neotiamat99.bsky.social
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Perhaps its cope, but the thing I keep telling myself is that Trump lost last time by 7m votes, and since then: 1) Dobbs 2) 34 felony convictions 3) Biden's gained an incumbency advantage I can't see anything outweighing that.
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NeoTiamat
@neotiamat99.bsky.social
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Also, personality cults like Trump are not known for being easily transferrable. We've seen repeatedly that 'Trumpism without Trump' is not particularly popular or successful.
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NeoTiamat
@neotiamat99.bsky.social
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It seems like we've decided to have a freakout... just cuz? (Freakout over SCOTUS is a separate story--that's a lot more legit)
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Iron Spike
@ironspike.bsky.social
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Respectfully: If you're on Bluesky right now screaming that Pride Month will be abolished, Trump will be declared king, America is forever ruined: Log off. You are entitled to your feelings, and it's better to let them out than not. But *Do Not Do Death Magic On The Emotional Contagion App.*
17 replies 272 reposts 1171 likes
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NeoTiamat
@neotiamat99.bsky.social
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There's a certain morbid hilarity to Roberts et al penning a decision that allows Joe Biden to legally and legitimately kill them. Like, this is the act of people with immense faith in their enemies' adherence to norms and values.
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NeoTiamat
@neotiamat99.bsky.social
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SCOTUS has long benefitted from a veneer of bipartisanship, and that's been burnt to the ground now.
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NeoTiamat
@neotiamat99.bsky.social
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There is no nice way to put it, but we do not live in an America where an African-American woman is more electable than an old white man, even setting aside all of their other characteristics. I wish we did! We absolutely do not.
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NeoTiamat
@neotiamat99.bsky.social
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I teach a six-week unit on WWII and one of the major take-aways is that the Allies, and especially the US, had more people, more money, and consequently, *more R&D*, and that while it took a while to spin that all up, once it was spinning the war was basically over.
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NeoTiamat
@neotiamat99.bsky.social
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[sigh] I may need to take back what I said about meaning well. >_>
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NeoTiamat
@neotiamat99.bsky.social
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I don't think anyone really knows what the US could do if pushed far enough -- our last real, back-to-the-wall existential war was WWII, and that ended with us dropping a small sun on our foes.
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NeoTiamat
@neotiamat99.bsky.social
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I very genuinely do not think that the Trumpists have the competence, the legitimacy, or the muscle to pull off their authoritarian plans. ...I also *really* do not want to put this to the test, since even a failed attempt would be a horror show.
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NeoTiamat
@neotiamat99.bsky.social
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That's about where I am. The Trumpists can sneak a lot of kleptocracy under the radar, but I really don't think they have the power or legitimacy to pull off an open, authoritarian coup. ...even a failed attempt would be a nightmare, however, so like, let's not press our luck.
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NeoTiamat
@neotiamat99.bsky.social
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In the list of people who meant well but had very bad effects, he's pretty close to the top.
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NeoTiamat
@neotiamat99.bsky.social
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Hmm. Kinda? Or rather... I believe young people care about Palestine. But I do not believe anyone going 'Genocide Joe' is a good-faith actor, partially because so many were virulently opposed pre-Gaza, partially because Biden is legit better on I/P than Israel, Hamas, or Trump.
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NeoTiamat
@neotiamat99.bsky.social
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Thing is, a sitting president basically never gets a contested primary because the incumbency advantages are so powerful. A 'real primary' would be a sign of extreme weakness, and probably prelude to a crushing general election loss. And like... it's been that way for decades. Not a new thing!
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NeoTiamat
@neotiamat99.bsky.social
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Becoming immune to editors is almost always the worst thing that can happen to a writer
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NeoTiamat
@neotiamat99.bsky.social
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The way I think of it is that I don't always agree with Bouie but I do always take him seriously.
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NeoTiamat
@neotiamat99.bsky.social
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It's not been a simple or straight line progression, but the last two centuries have seen people become freer and richer pretty consistently. My life is vastly better than my grandfather's, and unimaginably so than my great-great-grandfather's.
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Dr. M.A. Davis
@mikedavis.bsky.social
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Here is a thread from a historian about how things could be worse - in no particular chronological order. 🧵
2 replies 8 reposts 11 likes
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NeoTiamat
@neotiamat99.bsky.social
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I recall a study done that found that Chinese billionaires had an average lifespan a decade shorter than the average Chinese person. I think about that a lot.
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NeoTiamat
@neotiamat99.bsky.social
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I used to wonder this about McConnell et al. They play games to weaken the system, but the system is also the source of their power. If things really do break, the blue areas have more people, more money, and I suspect the support of the military. It's sawing off the branch you're sitting on.
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NeoTiamat
@neotiamat99.bsky.social
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I always take [blocked poster] as a sign of quality Bsking on my part. I realize it is not actually possible to block every idiot on Bsky, but a man's got to have dreams.
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NeoTiamat
@neotiamat99.bsky.social
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He's turning into Nate Silver. First, write about how pundits going off vibes is foolish, you need rigorous expert analysis. Then, decide it's way more fun to be a pundit going off vibes.
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NeoTiamat
@neotiamat99.bsky.social
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I always wonder, how much is that my tastes / analysis changed, and how much did people go batty? Like, I used to have absolute immense respect for Nate Silver. Then... uh...
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NeoTiamat
@neotiamat99.bsky.social
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I would watch the hell out of a Batman Beyond adaptation. Like, how is Batman + Blade Runner not a winning formula?
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NeoTiamat
@neotiamat99.bsky.social
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Turns out that the Greater Boston Area has *extremely* distinctive speech patterns!
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NeoTiamat
@neotiamat99.bsky.social
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Soooo many memories of bugging my parents to drive all the way out there so I could watch jugglers.
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K. Chen
@tznkai.bsky.social
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A posting legend riding off into the sunset.
twitter.com/heyaimsarah/...
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☀️ Starshine
@starshine.bsky.social
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Nova eboracum temporo delenda est
7 replies 14 reposts 74 likes
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NeoTiamat
@neotiamat99.bsky.social
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Hmm. Fair enough! I don't know that I really disagree with anything you've said, even if I might frame it differently. Legitimate question: in your eyes, what does the US do *better* than peer governments? Free speech comes to mind, what else?
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James Bennett
@ubernostrum.bsky.social
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Our pundit class has never fully recovered from the 2020 South Carolina primary, which showed clearly that it's Black church ladies, not failson columnists and podcasters, who wield the power in the Democratic Party.
1 replies 33 reposts 120 likes
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NeoTiamat
@neotiamat99.bsky.social
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I think one can make a colorable argument for the US being unusually messed up at a structural level (mostly due to a nonfunctional congress), although the federal structure makes up for a lot of flaws. But on the level of outcomes, the UK has seen the return of *rickets*, so.... uh.... yeah.....
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