Alex O's avatar

Alex O

@prepostroff.bsky.social

35 followers 282 following 220 posts


Alex O's avatar Alex O @prepostroff.bsky.social
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Why do so many prominent journalists and internet pundits who I am used to agreeing with on just about everything seem to be totally in denial about Biden needing to go? Like the NYT pisses me off too but being in opposition to them is not how I decide what all of my opinions are?

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Alex O's avatar Alex O @prepostroff.bsky.social
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It seems like for people who recognize that Biden’s debate performance was a disaster, but also want to be annoyed at the NYT ed board and “elites”, zeroing in on the exact position of “not Biden and also not Harris” was the best bet for maximum smug points

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Alex O's avatar Alex O @prepostroff.bsky.social
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it's giving drumpf

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Alex O's avatar Alex O @prepostroff.bsky.social
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The test is simple- does the presidents name have a “D” or an “R” after it

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Alex O's avatar Alex O @prepostroff.bsky.social
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Can Biden start with the 6 scotus majority?

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Alex O's avatar Alex O @prepostroff.bsky.social
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It feels like this is being positioned as the argument that most respects the Black electorate, but it seems to assume they’re a monolith in a reductive way. It’s hard for me to imagine the social/media bubbles that persuaded some Black men to switch to Trump is also where this clip has gone viral.

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Alex O's avatar Alex O @prepostroff.bsky.social
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Why would this instance of his racism hit those voters differently than any of the past instances? And why would it downplay whatever their motivations have been to change their support?

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Alex O's avatar Alex O @prepostroff.bsky.social
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I’m sorry, so this is the argument we’re gonna go with now? That actually that debate was good for Biden because Trump proved himself to be racist? People are twisting themselves into knots to avoid agreeing with the NYT ed board

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Alex O's avatar Alex O @prepostroff.bsky.social
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I just feel like the elite 180 can be both annoying and too late, and also a correct reflection of the situation that meets what voters have been feeling for years

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Alex O's avatar Alex O @prepostroff.bsky.social
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It’s a real shame the NYT did all those op eds and got the whole electorate to agree with them.

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Reposted by Alex O

Michael 's avatar Michael @fleerultra.bsky.social
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swing voters and undecided voters basically by definition think about and engage with politics differently than anyone on this site, anyone who writes for the ny times, and the vast majority of the times’ subscribers. otherwise they wouldn’t be undecided/swing voters.

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Alex O's avatar Alex O @prepostroff.bsky.social
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As a 24 year old trying to find a career I became very excited about politics circa Bernie 2015. I think the currently irreconcilable disconnect between policy positions, messaging outcomes, and voter opinion, has never been dealt with, and we are fucked until we get some sort of handle on it all…

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Alex O's avatar Alex O @prepostroff.bsky.social
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I find his arguments persuasive, I don’t think it will happen. I also think it would have to be Harris if it did happen. But I ALSO remain confused by the insistence we can be sure we know what the biggest risks are here one way or another. I just think everyone is very bad at predicting things!

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Alex O's avatar Alex O @prepostroff.bsky.social
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Okay! I mean I just can only interpret that as a call to shut the fuck up, do some voter outreach, vote, and pray. But I can understand why anyone with a larger platform than me would be wondering if there might be better solutions when the downside risk is as serious as Trump.

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Alex O's avatar Alex O @prepostroff.bsky.social
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I have been bewildered by the cocky insistence from people I normally agree with that there’s NO value in discussing a Biden replacement, that it’s purely a harmful fantasy. Im sorry- many of us are concerned and disturbed! Real voters, not just the NYT and “Dem elites.” We are terrified!

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Alex O's avatar Alex O @prepostroff.bsky.social
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Apparently this kind of talk is “needless panic” and we should “eat shit because we can’t eat anything else”

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Alex O's avatar Alex O @prepostroff.bsky.social
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Fireworks went off in my head reading it like I’d won the lotto

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Alex O's avatar Alex O @prepostroff.bsky.social
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Yes this has been the dynamic of the parties my entire life! It’s asymmetrical warfare in a number of different ways! I don’t see why contempt for dem elites being pathetic also means we can’t seriously reckon with Biden’s inability to construct a cogent argument with words.

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Alex O's avatar Alex O @prepostroff.bsky.social
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I genuinely don’t understand this frustration and contempt for the panic. There are real democratic voters who are terrified of a trump presidency who are reacting to Bidens performance, it’s not some manufactured media narrative. People are scared! It’s a human response from the actual electorate!

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Alex O's avatar Alex O @prepostroff.bsky.social
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I think Harris would be a stronger candidate, and it seems like the one thing the left and center wings of the party agree about right now is Bidens age issues. I realize it’s unlikely, but the existential Trump threat is exceptional and deserves an exceptional approach. Why sleepwalk into the fire?

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Alex O's avatar Alex O @prepostroff.bsky.social
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Every article like this is like- are you a savvy cultural critic making a startling observation about how things aren’t what they used to be? Or are you just old? Like sorry you don’t have any special interests that give you a subculture to belong to. May I introduce you to a 15 year old?

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Alex O's avatar Alex O @prepostroff.bsky.social
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I think you could show it to a 3 year old and a 90 year old and even with no context they’d be swept up in its magic

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Alex O's avatar Alex O @prepostroff.bsky.social
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i realize this is just a form of wishful thinking but at this point it feels like these particular protests might as well be funded by Exxon

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Alex O's avatar Alex O @prepostroff.bsky.social
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Went to check out this guys profile and it’s just excruciating man. Already humiliating to form an entire political ideology around girls not liking you in high school, but to be so OBVIOUS about it is really brutal

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Alex O's avatar Alex O @prepostroff.bsky.social
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The experience of being a fan of a thing on the internet is a bizarre mix of deep instant connection with total strangers but also a frequent feeling of “how can THAT ASSHOLE also love the same podcast as me??”

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Alex O's avatar Alex O @prepostroff.bsky.social
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I feel like movie studios owning theaters was the thing they taught us in school as “see how vertical monopolies used to work? So crazy! Glad we got rid of that!”

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Alex O's avatar Alex O @prepostroff.bsky.social
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That’s how you build a coalition baby!!!!!

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Alex O's avatar Alex O @prepostroff.bsky.social
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Nevermind they made their way to “AI” in the most apple way possible lmao

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Alex O's avatar Alex O @prepostroff.bsky.social
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The use of "machine learning" vs "AI" in this presentation so far has been FASCINATING, tbd if it continues...

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Alex O's avatar Alex O @prepostroff.bsky.social
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As someone who graduated high school in the middle of Obama’s first term- I think my specific generation ended up with a lot of naive optimism. But then in reaction to that, and in reaction to Trump, the next generation that came of age with Trump absorbed a lot of naive pessimism.

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Alex O's avatar Alex O @prepostroff.bsky.social
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I doubt anyone reading this will care, but this has always struck me as a misunderstanding of how LLMs work and what they're actually good at. If you really wanted it to evaluate the count of letters in given text, you can do that by asking it to write itself code to do it accurately:

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Alex O's avatar Alex O @prepostroff.bsky.social
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And unfortunately for all of us, it was clear months ago that the answer CANNOT be “help kill more Palestinian civilians”

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Alex O's avatar Alex O @prepostroff.bsky.social
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Me, watching Owen stare with intensity and longing at themself in the mirror wearing a dress,- "Idk maybe this is about toxic fandom? Or SNICK?"

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Alex O's avatar Alex O @prepostroff.bsky.social
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Whats kind of crazy about all this is even by current AI standards, this is really bad! Like I think if you try any of these examples going around on ChatGPT you'd get much more reasonable answers...

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Alex O's avatar Alex O @prepostroff.bsky.social
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Genuine question I've had through all of this that I havent seen a ton of engagement with - is there nuance to this when it comes to like, answering opinion polls vs actually voting? Like, don't election year polls that show Muslims in Michigan being upset with Biden have an impact on policy?

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Alex O's avatar Alex O @prepostroff.bsky.social
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My first job in documentary film a decade ago was an independent doc about voter suppression funded by a single liberal billionaire who was convinced it was the best way he could help. Every cent would have been better spent on either actual get out the vote efforts or just real journalism orgs…

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Alex O's avatar Alex O @prepostroff.bsky.social
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more than he knows about cinema i can guarantee

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Alex O's avatar Alex O @prepostroff.bsky.social
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NON TOXIC Peter cmon this is standard cooking advice 🙄

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Alex O's avatar Alex O @prepostroff.bsky.social
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I think he’s actually been pretty savvy with his selection of marks so far tbh

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Alex O's avatar Alex O @prepostroff.bsky.social
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But surely the brain worm man's opinions that I agree with are the good ones?

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Alex O's avatar Alex O @prepostroff.bsky.social
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God he wants to indiscriminately slaughter Muslims soooooooooo badly it is like all consuming for him

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Reposted by Alex O

Peter's avatar Peter @notalawyer.bsky.social
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i think it’s frustrating that voters aren’t very rational actors. but the Democrats’ strategy can’t be pounding the table and demanding more rationality. that’s just not how politics work

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Alex O's avatar Alex O @prepostroff.bsky.social
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Well this is confusing bc everyone seems to be convinced that the Gaza protests and Bidens polling are directly related, but I’m happy to entertain a world where it’s not that simple, it usually isn’t.

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Alex O's avatar Alex O @prepostroff.bsky.social
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Maybe on social media, maybe in the moment, but I think even here we all underestimate the existence of persuadable lurkers, to our own peril. And I don’t think minimizing people’s reasonable discomfort and anger about our contributions to the horrors in Gaza helps anything.

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Alex O's avatar Alex O @prepostroff.bsky.social
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Ok so- are we just going to complain about them, they complain about Biden, and we all cry about it until the fascist wins? Everyone could use an iota more empathy and respect for the people they think are idiots and crybabies

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Alex O's avatar Alex O @prepostroff.bsky.social
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I mean yes, there's clearly a constituency that is very disturbed by Biden's comfort funding a genocidal campaign that has lasted not a couple months – *half a year*. And I agree they're not being pragmatic! But are we just going to whine and call them idiots for six months until Trump wins?

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Alex O's avatar Alex O @prepostroff.bsky.social
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it’s almost a prisoner’s dilemma type problem where the withheld-vote-messaging is only effective as a tactic if there is a real belief that there will be follow through- like the efficacy of the persuadable group saying they won’t vote has some relationship to the people who still end up not voting

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