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Teucrian
@teucrian.bsky.social
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In other words poll responders are using the poll to indicate their preference on campaign strategy rather than what they will actually do.
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Teucrian@teucrian.bsky.social |
42 followers 180 following 562 posts
HS History Teacher in Texas.
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Teucrian
@teucrian.bsky.social
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In other words poll responders are using the poll to indicate their preference on campaign strategy rather than what they will actually do.
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Teucrian
@teucrian.bsky.social
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There may be some subset of people who think that Biden dropping out of the race is a bad idea and so they are thumbs down on all other candidates to indicate that Biden should stay in. And some people want Biden to drop out, so they are no on him. Both groups will be yes on senate Dems.
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Teucrian
@teucrian.bsky.social
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I am in the same boat generally but one thought I’ve had is it’s possible that our received political science wisdom about the end of split ticket voting and “polarization” reflected a smaller electorate and an America where more people vote like 2020 could be wildly more volatile.
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Teucrian
@teucrian.bsky.social
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I just don’t think it serves us for voters to spend all their time trying to play a game of the campaign trail and strategize on how to get swing voters instead of advocating for their actual personal priorities. It’s just not our job and we are bad at it.
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Teucrian
@teucrian.bsky.social
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I’m not sure about this. In my focus group most undecideds favored the path of unleashing the powers of the sacred amulet in order to purify the land and our souls. These heartland voters don’t trust the urn spirit and find his endless riddles alienating.
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Teucrian
@teucrian.bsky.social
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Teucrian
@teucrian.bsky.social
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One thing that makes A Head in the Polls work is that it starts off skewering the parties for being too similar and obsessed with technocratic nothings, then offers up robot Nixon as an exciting new alternative to boring old politics and he is a million times worse.
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Teucrian
@teucrian.bsky.social
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How will the New York Times cover it when Biden takes a cue from Suleiman the Magnificent on how to maintain office despite advanced age and has Kamala Harris ritually strangled with a bowstring?
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Teucrian
@teucrian.bsky.social
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My new theory of politics is that loving Tom Petty was the last universal, unifying value held by Americans and we have been totally fucked ever since he died.
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Teucrian
@teucrian.bsky.social
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I think that Doggett views himself as an inheritor of a tradition of liberal democrats representing the Austin area in the house tracing back through JJ Pickle to LBJ as the originator. So the reference might be more of a personal quirk than strategically aimed at an audience.
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Teucrian
@teucrian.bsky.social
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Yeah I’m on the same page of this situation requiring more vigorous action. I think the sense that Democrats are only capable of playing a prevent defense is what’s really agitating so much of the base.
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Teucrian
@teucrian.bsky.social
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I think that Republican presidential candidates have, for a long time, benefitted from a sense among wealthy educated voters that they won’t do too much with power. This is reflected in their rhetoric but obviously belied by their behavior. Appeals to the Coolidge cult types.
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Teucrian
@teucrian.bsky.social
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Lyndon Johnson’s 1964 campaign was partially based on the notion that he would not use nuclear weapons and that Goldwater might. This is weirdly minor but Al Gore tried to distinguish himself from Clinton in 92 primary by being against line item veto, a hot issue at the time.
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Teucrian
@teucrian.bsky.social
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It’s so easy for high level decision makers in education to become enamored with “technology”. The salesmen for this stuff know exactly how to strike directly at their insecurities and flatter their pretensions. But it often has less value than the most basic shit imaginable.
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Teucrian
@teucrian.bsky.social
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Listen back in the old days national politicians had to get in trouble for taking weird photos or misspelling words or accurately describing their legislative record. We didn’t have the technology yet to produce 21st century scandals.
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Teucrian
@teucrian.bsky.social
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I’m glad I don’t teach government right now. Incredibly complicated balance to strike between not instilling students with cynicism that will not serve them and not lying to them.
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Teucrian
@teucrian.bsky.social
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The utopia of Oz was ruined by woke Toto cruelly and shortsightedly interrogating their national mythology.
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executive editor, barbell quarterly
@swolecialism.bsky.social
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look i'll be clear, I will be voting, and encouraging everyone I know to do the same, against donald trump and the end of democracy in this country in november. I do not care if that means i'm voting for a man who is literally dead.
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Teucrian
@teucrian.bsky.social
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I also wonder if there’s some nostalgia for us elder millennials who just want things to be the 1990s and for elections to be between Kang and Kodos again.
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Teucrian
@teucrian.bsky.social
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There is something comforting in allowing politics to be boring. Governments have to make quite complex decisions that are inherently very boring. There’s something to just letting technocrats get to work. But this inevitably also restricts the electorate which isn’t amazing.
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Teucrian
@teucrian.bsky.social
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Trump said three things dumber than the famous Ford mistake in his first response and he is widely considered to have won the debate and been praised for his relative restraint.
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Teucrian
@teucrian.bsky.social
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Go back and watch the disaster debate for Gerald Ford where he makes the Soviet domination “gaffe” and it is stark just how far our expectations for these events have fallen. Debates were always a dumb spectacle but they have diminished in substance over time.
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Teucrian
@teucrian.bsky.social
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I think the observations around Trump and Biden being the most cogent, clear, and engaged while talking about their golf games were pretty apt.
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Teucrian
@teucrian.bsky.social
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My immediate thought was “Well that’s not saying much because Star Wars just came out.” Then I checked the actual date of release and disintegrated into dust.
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Teucrian
@teucrian.bsky.social
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Like almost all discussion in elections it’s hard to figure out what people mean because everything is couched in three layers of “Well I’m a committed partisan but here’s my detailed analysis of what other people will think:” It’s deeply confusing.
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Teucrian
@teucrian.bsky.social
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I totally get where you’re coming from and I wish there was a way to discuss what the ethical choice would have been in historical elections here without being perceived as an exercise in shaming. I think it’s interesting and valuable to do on its own merits without the intent of influencing 2024.
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Teucrian
@teucrian.bsky.social
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What is the correct way for social studies teachers to handle our current circumstances? I think introducing students to civic participation in a way that is preemptively awash in cynicism does not serve them. But it would be a lie to give a schoolhouse rock account of the Supreme Court.
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Teucrian
@teucrian.bsky.social
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The contrarian machine is reversing polarity as we speak. Biden is going to start getting support from unlikely quarters now that taking that position pits you against the NYT editorial board.
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Teucrian
@teucrian.bsky.social
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I do not know what would happen if Biden stepped aside. I would, on a personal level, admire the commitment and sacrifice it took. I guess on balance Kamala would probably be a better president during a crisis in 2027. But I don’t know what will win. Staying in is as unprecedented as dropping out.
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Teucrian
@teucrian.bsky.social
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Would such a move be appealing to less committed voters. The people who are selecting mostly based on personality rather than ideology or partisan commitment might well be turned off by the move. After all, to the extent Trump has had political success it’s by following the exact opposite template!
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Teucrian
@teucrian.bsky.social
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Joe Biden stepping down would be a demonstration of loyalty to a larger cause that sidelines personal ambition. It would be enormously appealing to other people who feel loyalty to that larger partisan cause and especially feel they have made sacrifices to do so. However. . .
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Teucrian
@teucrian.bsky.social
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To be clear- I think the claim that the debate was a strong determining factor in 1960 does not hold up to scrutiny. I’m not certain there’s an election in the last 100 years that is clearly attributable to campaign rhetoric of any type as the primary cause for its outcome.
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Teucrian
@teucrian.bsky.social
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I think if Biden loses the debate will be seen as a major cause of why in a politics just so story kind of like 1960. In reality no one has a complete accounting for why past elections turned out the way they did. We sure as fuck don’t know what will happen in this one.
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Teucrian
@teucrian.bsky.social
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We have no control over campaign strategy. And if there’s any part of politics that’s a real world consequence free hobby it’s endless discussion and analysis of it. Really wish there was a way to make our discourse about outcomes and systems instead of personalities and choices.
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Teucrian
@teucrian.bsky.social
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I think it kind of sucks that so much of engaging with politics in this country is ideologically committed voters trying to imagine what non-ideologically committed voters might want, then extrapolating putatively ideal campaign strategy out of that.
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Teucrian
@teucrian.bsky.social
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Designing this curriculum was too much of a hack job for Amplify and that really speaks volumes.
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Teucrian
@teucrian.bsky.social
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The profession lost a ton of talented people from that experience. I hope she’s doing better now.
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Teucrian
@teucrian.bsky.social
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Teaching high school on Zoom was hella depressing.
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Teucrian
@teucrian.bsky.social
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Kids pay attention to the things teachers care do and care about. An animated caring teacher has an effect on students in a way that is not replicable by a state curriculum or a poster on the wall.
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Teucrian
@teucrian.bsky.social
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For multiple years I have had a poster on my wall celebrating my attendance of a concert by fictional jazz musician Marcus “The Worm” Hicks that has gone entirely unremarked upon. I doubt Moses would fare any better with the kids.
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Teucrian
@teucrian.bsky.social
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Public school teachers do not always or even often have a boss right outside their classroom telling them exactly what to teach. Almost all of the micromanagement that occurs for teachers is about classroom management, not content. It can happen of course and it sucks when it does. But it’s rare.
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Teucrian
@teucrian.bsky.social
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It is much more difficult for high level administrators to control what is taught in the classroom than it appears from the outside. A lot of this standards creation is impotent rage and signaling to the base.
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Teucrian
@teucrian.bsky.social
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One reason why Clipped is, if not good exactly, fascinating to watch is because it transports us into a past where actions could still conceivably have consequences. It feels like a million years ago but also Chris Paul is there.
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Teucrian
@teucrian.bsky.social
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Absolutely no one should take this as a compliment but I suspect Mr. Royalist Weeb has more self-awareness than our political press.
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Teucrian
@teucrian.bsky.social
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This was a really good read thank you for posting!
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Teucrian
@teucrian.bsky.social
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Insane price tag to complete the Villanova monopoly.
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Teucrian
@teucrian.bsky.social
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Blackguards breathing a total sigh of relief right now.
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Teucrian
@teucrian.bsky.social
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What if a baseball player was really really tall? Wouldn’t that be something?
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Teucrian
@teucrian.bsky.social
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And if Americans are evaluating their economic position relative to disfavored others then it makes sense that low unemployment could actually worsen their perception of the economy.
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Teucrian
@teucrian.bsky.social
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I think this is one reason why the rhetoric of us having a nation of laws, not men, tends to appeal across partisan divides. It’s just that liberals are referencing the structures and institutions we create and conservatives are referencing some kind of natural law.
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