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@waltfrench.bsky.social
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False precision?
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waltfrench.bsky.social@waltfrench.bsky.social |
22 followers 41 following 267 posts
Retired from investing; not retired from scientific-type software exploration. Also enjoying being Grandpa
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@waltfrench.bsky.social
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False precision?
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@waltfrench.bsky.social
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Say “Tay,” as in Swift You’re welcome
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@waltfrench.bsky.social
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This was interesting in that while I remember some scenes vividly from the 2016 debate—eg, Trump looming menacingly over Clinton—I feel I must’ve watched the 2020 one but can’t recall ANYTHING about it Going into them, I think I had similar levels of interest & emotions Why did 2020 vanish?
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@waltfrench.bsky.social
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Just read of a study where scientists extracted hormones from people suffering from Long COVID and injected them into mice, which then evidenced the same symptoms of pain , fog etc I want YOU tested and a shot of what you got
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@waltfrench.bsky.social
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I did a quick SWAG on the U.S. EIA’s estimate of 1.7X10¹² barrels of proven oil reserves worldwide, and got 731 Gt CO₂ Got 396Gt from our proven 7.2X10¹² mcf of natgas 1127Gt CO₂ total So we’ll hit near 2° if we burn what we KNOW we have & discover/develop NO more Is this about right?
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@waltfrench.bsky.social
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This Week in Virology #1121 has a very clear, accessible, and not at all vitriolic takedown of the MANY falsehoods in Dr Chan’s “opinion” piece: m.youtube.com/watch?v=rZ1F...
I’ve followed TWiV’s science news since early 2020 as an audio-only podcast—works great at 1½ speed for my Saturday 5K jog
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@waltfrench.bsky.social
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Well, if not 100% that, it definitely shows me much, much less crap “opinion” and has fewer pointless posturing
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@waltfrench.bsky.social
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Seems eminently doable—all you need to hit your target is to keep it up I am also about midway thru MY 2024 plan—a bit more ambitious but… In April I found a place that does DEXA scans for $49 and shifted my target from X pounds to “Y% body fat optimal for my age” Making sure not to lose muscle
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@waltfrench.bsky.social
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I guess Old Time Religion is all “smite my enemies” and I am not happy to see it replacing “love thy neighbor” and the introspection that comes with it
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@waltfrench.bsky.social
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My pinned tweet (yes, on 𝕏) notes DJT, in 2013, trying to gin up Men’s Rights Agita over a widow having a life, vs jumping onto her husband’s funeral pyre I would’ve thought we’d have wised up after 10 years of rich, powerful Elites haranguing us how we’re being exploited by Somebody Else But no😥
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@waltfrench.bsky.social
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“Non-inferior” sounds like an awfully low bar—even damning by faint praise—until we look at the many, albeit modest downsides of each shot: finding when they’re available, queuing, needle anxiety, soreness/reax. And clinics’ logistics of one SKU vs two. This looks like a solid win🏆for public health
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@waltfrench.bsky.social
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Anne Applebaum on Substack—history of OUR LIFETIMES is dynamic, not to be taken for granted, the change WE make
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@waltfrench.bsky.social
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My little Miata has a handbrake lever right next to the shifter so I don’t need to heel-and-toe the brake+throttle pedals or be ultra-skillful w engaging the clutch Maybe ALL stick-shifts do?
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@waltfrench.bsky.social
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Love to see the carbon budget numbers on this “titanium” card update
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@waltfrench.bsky.social
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Activity is all well & good but imo* what really counts for optimizing one’s lean/fat mix, is ① net calorie (intake-minus-burned) management and ② challenging your key muscles (none more than the ❤️) regularly
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@waltfrench.bsky.social
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Thomas properly feels ENTITLED to take all those millions because people suggested in his confirmation hearing that his character was not up to the job :rolleyes: 🙄
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@waltfrench.bsky.social
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Life is DEFINED by what we choose to deal with Many of us suffer from obstacles not of our creation, for which we simply don’t have the tools to overcome ALL of us can potentially find challenges that reflect our own personal weaknesses and that we can grow and tackle
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Pookleblinky
@pookleblinky.bsky.social
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It says something about techbros that they created a machine that does nothing but endlessly bullshit and gaslight and spew biases and instantly thought "wow this thing is so intelligent, just like me."
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@waltfrench.bsky.social
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Why you can’t be a well-rounded human being in 2024 if you’re not idly scanning on BlueSky
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@waltfrench.bsky.social
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You DO raise a good Q—why the NYT acceded to, or even encouraged a format so different from a traditional OpEd (Tho maybe more common among scientists sharing notes?) I suspect that all parties felt her points wouldn’t seem to need explication—explication that wouldn’t be forthcoming—with bullets
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@waltfrench.bsky.social
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My big Q is why Dr Chan trashes her own scientific cred by twisting the COMPLETE absence of ANY evidence of anything like SARS-Cov-2 at WIV into “It remains unclear whether the Wuhan institute possessed a precursor of the pandemic virus” That’s hand-waving propaganda, not evidence-based science
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@waltfrench.bsky.social
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I don’t get it: the MAGA promise has failed multiple times and—EXACTLY like in Festinger et al’s When Prophecy Fails (en.wikipedia.org/wiki/When_Pr... )—the Faithful ignore The Prophet not just having feet of clay but wallowing chest-deep in shit and REPEATEDLY redouble their fervent proselytizing
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@waltfrench.bsky.social
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Yes, our normal (pre-cybernetic) use of the word “intelligent” (-ence) insisted on “good judgement,” “sound thought” and “rationality/reasoning” all of which are conspicuous by their absence in AI parroting
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@waltfrench.bsky.social
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It took many years and tanker loads of blood before Germany was disabused of its Übermensch fantasies
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@waltfrench.bsky.social
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I listened to Ken Burns’s Brandeis commencement speech (pretty good), and his reiteration of Lincoln’s 1838 speech—ahem, well before our Civil War—that America will never be defeated by a foreign power, only from within Those institutions aren’t ours, they ARE US. We change slowly
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@waltfrench.bsky.social
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In what sense are “Dems” responsible for the FCC budget being cut by Congress? Especially when it was always MAGA Party reps who opposed it, harp on federal giveaways and control the House where budgets originate?
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@waltfrench.bsky.social
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He should have David Duke lead the think tanks for this—getting the hard-core Racist Right in on the deal would be a real win-win-win!
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Adam Kotsko
@adamkotsko.bsky.social
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I'm bored with this already. I want Trump to face a fresh humiliation.
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@waltfrench.bsky.social
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Took me 2X to see you wrote “NOT transitioning has massive risks & costs” We’re allowed to use all as for emphasis here, no?
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@waltfrench.bsky.social
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Great idea but non-trivial to do right: when I’ve talked about White Guy Privileges I have, it’s been taken as bragging about how good I have it. Even by some who know I really want more opportunity for people who DON’T get lots of WGP
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@waltfrench.bsky.social
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Sure, MDs should have the same moral standards as the drug-dealing gang guy on the street corner. All in the name of a more perfect union
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@waltfrench.bsky.social
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What proposals for judicial reform has Trump originated since 2015, beyond his promise to personally direct persecution of his enemies? Of before, when he advocated capital punishment w/o evidence of criminality?
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@waltfrench.bsky.social
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And IF we have more than a doomscrolling-class attention span, the consistent effort to ① focus on the subject area, ② find the meeting schedule, ③ get to, and ④ stay mentally engaged with the actual meeting… probably only costs much less energy/time than 400 posts, for 230:1 effectiveness
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@waltfrench.bsky.social
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🎶What a difference, 5/6 of a day makes🎵…20 little hours🎶🎶
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@waltfrench.bsky.social
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Yes, maybe even I labeled it otherwise, too But the benefit of emphasizing all the relevant info—and yes, designers must know what points they mean to convey—so the viewer groks the story, hasn’t changed AFAICT
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@waltfrench.bsky.social
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Operating losses were only $12mm/qtr; they have liquid assets to bleed that hard for maybe 5 yrs HOWEVER! I assess approximately 0.0% probability the Board will wind up the co & pay out each $48 shareholder the approx $2/share they have in cash. Maybe the fun will begin when the lockup ends
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@waltfrench.bsky.social
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Right OPERATING loss was a mere $12.1 million—only $16 loss for every $1 collected Deferred expenses of the SPV acquisition and if you want to ask details you probably don’t want to know It’s a meme stock, friend
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@waltfrench.bsky.social
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“Trump Media (DJT) reported a loss of $327.6 million during the first three months of the year” on REVENUE of just $770,500 Yes, lots of one-time costs. Operating losses “only” 15X revenues This is a co currently valued at $6.6BILLION ☞8500 times as much☜ as it collected from ALL sources in Q1
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@waltfrench.bsky.social
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Hello…uhh, Bleeps(?) ! Who has any insight around this speculation: has Apple previously discussed custom silicon for internal use, versus hardware to go in customer products?
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@waltfrench.bsky.social
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Just bc I feel contrarian right now: The Ponzi* operators of crypto schemes take your “hard-earned” $$$ and happily recycle them into consumption/investment in “real world” activity same as me buying index funds from other investors * paper—illusory—gains; 90% of cash is extracted; No Exit For All
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@waltfrench.bsky.social
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I, OTOH, doing a cool risk/benefit analysis, 🚴daily to my office, better to stave off decrepitude w exercise vs risk of going suddenly—2 friends killed while cycling in Oakland I’ve had a good life; kids are grown; nobody’s life will fall apart when I DO go I expect I’ll be real about driving
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@waltfrench.bsky.social
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Just the way that you approached me suggests you’ll do fine And otherwise maybe I’m not as representative as my wife who’s always aware of her vulnerabilities and wants to know she’s in warm, caring hands/arms …
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@waltfrench.bsky.social
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Does it also have Hope?
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@waltfrench.bsky.social
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As a 76yo who likes his little stick-shift convertible I guess I’m next to be told Bear in mind it’s NOT just the car…it’ll be issues about freedom, social activity, whether to move to assisted living etc etc and of course mortality Make sure your elder feels as much in charge as they need
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@waltfrench.bsky.social
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Finally, ⑤ tho not an issue here, EVERY public official owes the public proof they are not using their position of trust to unfairly enrich themselves A simple rule does this: EVERY securities trade must be published 5 days beforehand, so other Americans are alerted to potentially privileged info
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@waltfrench.bsky.social
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④ What is outrageous here, is that his actions repeatedly give cause for the public to doubt his impartiality that his office demands I believe Chief Justice Roberts owes us HIS apology for failing to set standards consistent with that minimal expectation of any court …
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@waltfrench.bsky.social
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③ At least since before his 2006 confirmation, we have known he has very conservative positions. IMO he is fully entitled to his beliefs and to manage his personal affairs in line with them (self-defeating as they may be) …
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@waltfrench.bsky.social
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② Since his trade date, BUD shares are UP approximately 22%, while TAP shares have FALLEN 10% His move apparently cost him ⅓ of it This is not investment advice but people, DO NOT TRADE on stupid memes unless you have inside info, in which case ABSOLUTELY DO NOT TRADE on it …
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@waltfrench.bsky.social
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I am not trying to excuse Justice Alito’s despicable behavior. But… ① His sale of less than $15,000 BUD shares—less than 0.0007% of all the shares—could NOT have hurt Anheuser-Bush. …
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@waltfrench.bsky.social
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He needn’t be. He only needs believe that the public will object least to the idea that he could possibly be Oh, both gullible and obtuse about how outraged he says Mrs A was, that he wouldn’t ever hear it directly from her
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