John Burn-Murdoch's avatar

John Burn-Murdoch

@jburnmurdoch.bsky.social

NEW: analysis of millions of books published over the centuries suggests western society is shifting away from a culture of progress, and towards one of caution, worry and risk-aversion. I think this is one of the most important challenges facing us today.

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Ellin Stein's avatar Ellin Stein @ellinst.bsky.social
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Maybe given the mounting evidence of Climates Gone Wild this is not such an unreasonable reaction.

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Graham Taylor's avatar Graham Taylor @lordgenome.bsky.social
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It would be great if progress could enhance our habitat rather than convert it into a giant, polluted shopping mall. But humanity can’t regulate its consumption on a planetary basis. So if it has to be a choice between “nasty, brutish and short” or “progress” to extinction, then I’m with shorty.

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Om's avatar Om @om64.bsky.social
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Huh, wonder what started happening around the first third of the 1900s.

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FriereFan69's avatar FriereFan69 @frierefan69.bsky.social
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Generally a big fan of your work John but I cannot see the sense in drawing these conclusions from these data. Is it not more likely that people are making accurate appraisals of their prospects and the prospects of society in general?

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Emmanuel's avatar Emmanuel @emmanuelmpeg.bsky.social
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For “analysis”, am I to presume “I asked ChatGPT to plot a graph”?

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Caezar's avatar Caezar @caezar.io
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It would help a lot to understand whether this is more or less a reflection of situations such as the AIDS crisis, global warming, and ocean plastics. If it’s mostly that, then maybe we just need to solve problems that we created with endless optimism and insufficient planning.

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Good ol’ Pastor John's avatar Good ol’ Pastor John @unlikelyj.bsky.social
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Can you post a link please

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Pyrito Hedron's avatar Pyrito Hedron @pyritohedron.bsky.social
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It's cool one can do this with these data. It's not a convincing argument overall (shouldn't people worry about nuclear weapons?). Sample selection seems like a problem for this methodology applied to recent years. Unfortunately, the book format may not drive debates like it did even 25 years ago.

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Chris Drew's avatar Chris Drew @mesnilman.bsky.social
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Cc @edrew.bsky.social

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John Burn-Murdoch's avatar John Burn-Murdoch @jburnmurdoch.bsky.social
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My column this week explores how language and culture have historically played under-rated roles in human progress, and what that means for our present and future ft.com/content/e577...

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Lamentably Awake's avatar Lamentably Awake @lamentablyawake.bsky.social
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Could the cause for that cultural change be the aftermath of two world wars, the invention of nukes and increasing awareness of climate catastrophe? In which case couldn't increased caution be a good thing?

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's avatar @jockhigh.bsky.social
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Another superb analysis. Thank you.

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jess m. ☁️'s avatar jess m. ☁️ @jam-etc.bsky.social
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everything always seems to nosedive around the 70s......

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Protective Hen's avatar Protective Hen @protectivehen.bsky.social
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I wonder to what extent these social/emotional trends might be an unconscious reaction to the very real existential challenge of climate change. People respond to talk of CC by entering denial, but the provoked anxiety emerges/leaks as fear/defensiveness that can be manipulated by authoritarians.

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fahrenheit: four fifty fun's avatar fahrenheit: four fifty fun @moonagedaydream.bsky.social
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how does one analyze millions of books?

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's avatar @pershing48.bsky.social
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Absolutely perfect, I have zero questions or qualms about this methodology

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Dayv!'s avatar Dayv! @dayv.wtf
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You can wank in private, you don't have to be like this.

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