Reposted by Jonn Elledge
hmmm
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this may be above my paygrade I'm already baffled
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If Labour are doing really well (1997, 2024), fewer people vote Labour, because a lot of them are doing it to get the Tories out. If Labour are doing badly (2010, 2017), they get sympathy votes drifting back.
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Okay, so this thing where whatever the polling industry does, it seems, they never quite get Labour's voteshare right:
Is it possible there's a sort of Heisenberg's Uncertainty Principle thing? The very act of measuring Labour's vote share moves the polls?
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on in an hour
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do you worry she might vote differently to you? I've always assumed Henry Scampi to be a LibDem :/
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"What there is, though, is a vibe, of being in a club, chatting to someone you’ve only just met, convinced through chemical assistance that you are having the most profound meeting of minds that anyone has ever had in the entire history of the world."
jonn.substack.com/p/a-close-re...
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Are you American? We have very different rules about political funding here, with much tighter spending limits. It's pretty unusual for candidates to fund stuff, it all comes from the central party.
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Reposted by Jonn Elledge
I think by saying it's the last day you can justify it you're underselling a talent for finding a way to justify things.
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YOU CAN'T MAKE THIS UNHAPPEN BY JUST IGNORING IT, GUYS. IT'S STILL THERE, WAITING FOR YOU
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"staffers griping that they have not been paid for six weeks because of the lack of funds" feels like the right ending for this government, dramatically speaking
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This will almost certainly be the last day I can ever justify doing this, so:
A close reading of the lyrics to D:Ream’s ‘Things Can Only Get Better’
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well for a start, he's actually listed two parties there
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So, I think when my editor asked me to do a long list of Tory policy screw ups since 2010, he was expecting something funny?
The reality was... not particularly funny.
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Reposted by Jonn Elledge
Stop what you are doing and watch this.
youtu.be/7cbm1EUfIaE?...
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yeah I ... don't think it's gonna happen
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Why if the Tories won the election? Spent lunchtime recording this deeply traumatic episode of Oh God, What Now?
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"In almost every realm of government activity, this lot have made life worse. The policies referred to in every sentence in this article have damaged untold thousands of lives. The party has created the broken Britain it claimed its mission was to repair."
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So... which senior Tories are most likely to lose their seats and give us the Portillo moment we all crave?
jonn.substack.com/p/the-portil...
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I had actually missed that - christ. But there are many omissions alas. I already ran about 20% over my word count
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Reposted by Jonn Elledge
I feel the UK dropping from 1st to 17th in the ILGA Rainbow Europe rankings is a bit of an omission in this...
rainbowmap.ilga-europe.org
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Reposted by Jonn Elledge
Featuring more of the work I’ve been supporting NatCen with, looking at the trends and demographics that underlie the electoral shifts we are seeing - take a look!
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She's almost certain to hang on though. It would be incredible if she didn't but I don't see it
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Reposted by Jonn Elledge
I don’t like first past the post and in general prefer minority governments or coalitions. But I think it would be very bad for everyone if Sunak’s Conservative party didn’t get a notably worse result than Major’s, because the cynical and lazy approach of the last two years would appear validated.
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Also this week: some gaffes, a map and a chart; and, away from the election, some notes on the axolotl.
jonn.substack.com/p/the-portil...
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So... which senior Tories are most likely to lose their seats and give us the Portillo moment we all crave?
jonn.substack.com/p/the-portil...
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yes
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"In almost every realm of government activity, this lot have made life worse. The policies referred to in every sentence in this article have damaged untold thousands of lives. The party has created the broken Britain it claimed its mission was to repair."
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So, I think when my editor asked me to do a long list of Tory policy screw ups since 2010, he was expecting something funny?
The reality was... not particularly funny.
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classic tom
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one of the many disservice the Tory press has done to its party and to itself is convincing each other that, just because the public think the left are weirdos, that means they haven't noticed how fucking weird the right are.
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Reposted by Jonn Elledge
“Starmer didn’t cause that election and start the intra Tory wars…”
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Reposted by Jonn Elledge
This very much describes my social life in the eighties, at Sheffield Poly.
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srsly tho
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"I thought the woo about how 'we need buildings to have subserviant relationships with rivers for our mental health' was a nice touch." This week's Nimby Watch concerns a nimby campaign leaflet which feels suspiciously similar to, er, Nimby Watch.
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Reposted by Jonn Elledge
don’t get sad if someone doesn't text you back. people only check their phones all day every day until they fall asleep or die.
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"I thought the woo about how 'we need buildings to have subserviant relationships with rivers for our mental health' was a nice touch." This week's Nimby Watch concerns a nimby campaign leaflet which feels suspiciously similar to, er, Nimby Watch.
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Reposted by Jonn Elledge
If you’re wondering if Ed Davey’s antics pay off in terms of positive media coverage for the Lib Dems, Sky News just cut away from a discussion of England’s Euros prep to show Ed bungee-jumping.
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Reposted by Jonn Elledge
Things I've spontaneously said to animals.
Mailing list: buttondown.email/rosemarymosco
Patreon: www.patreon.com/birdandmoon
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"All Mail splashes are capped up, like a WhatsApp from your nan."
ICYMI, Saturday's column
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Reposted by Jonn Elledge
i have a new thing to say when people ask me how bluesky is
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no no I definitely meant the Labour party
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