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GOLIKEHELLMACHINE@golikehellmachine.com |
they outsourced outreach and mobilization to charlie kirk, RNC has very few field offices in any state, their ad buys are both anemic and late, state parties are in complete disorder, trump’s rallies are way below attendance from even 2020 and the RNC purged the few experienced pros they had
9 replies 6 reposts 102 likes
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Aaron van Dorn
@aaronvandorn.bsky.social
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And the later they get the more each ad is going to cost.
0 replies 0 reposts 3 likes
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The Next Day
@incompetusrex.bsky.social
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Trump flags and lawn signs are at historic lows.
4 replies 0 reposts 22 likes
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Alex Cruikshanks
@alexsaysstuff.bsky.social
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And Dems have been, on average, overperforming in special elections.
0 replies 0 reposts 5 likes
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@jdtechie.bsky.social
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Yeah, a lot was made of Trump getting a huge influx of cash after his conviction but if he isn't spending it then that's another factor against him. Also, that influx included one $50M donation from some RW weirdo, and his per-person pledges are down. The only area where he seems ahead is polling.
1 replies 0 reposts 3 likes
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Acallidryas
@acallidryas.bsky.social
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One thing that gets forgotten anytime the field ops are mentioned, though, is how entirely MAGA has captured the Evangelical Church. There are a lot of volunteers there, in every community, and they are often hearing at least once a month about the need to elect Trump. Can't underestimate that.
0 replies 0 reposts 3 likes
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Paul
@left-semi-join.bsky.social
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Much appreciated, thank you. I also do appreciate that Trump's campaign is siphoning campaign funds for legal fees, better that than putting them to use. Any other things you're keeping in mind about the race?
3 replies 0 reposts 16 likes
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The Silvered Spherical Ideal Median Voter
@swolecialism.bsky.social
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it's not even clear the campaign has a lead lawyer, which is something you *need*
3 replies 1 reposts 20 likes
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Left Below
@below-left.bsky.social
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In this regard this election is an amazing poli-sci experiment in controlling for every factor against one candidate except for "bad vibes"
1 replies 0 reposts 31 likes
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Zomgshiny
@zomgshiny.bsky.social
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This all feels like it should be a BLOWOUT to a Biden win... But alot if this 'Replace Biden' talk feels so manufactured and out of the blue. I wonder if it's because outside of the Debate, most people aren't paying attention to the election yet?
0 replies 0 reposts 4 likes