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David Darmofal@daviddarmofal.bsky.social |
685 followers 385 following 2497 posts
Political scientist. Political behavior + methods. Spatial analysis. Opinions expressed are my own.
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David Darmofal
@daviddarmofal.bsky.social
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If anything Bluesky has become worse than Twitter. It’s become a bubble of academics virtue-signaling to each other & ignoring empirical research.
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Thomas Zeitzoff
@zeitzoff.bsky.social
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This increasing trend of violent rhetoric in U.S. politics is really really bad (www.yahoo.com/news/tom-cot...).
And as I show in my book (see figure* below) it takes off after Trump’s election in 2016.
*Data is drawn from NYTimes stories from 1850-2019 mentioning violent rhetoric.
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Phil Lewis
@phillewis.bsky.social
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The man who set himself on fire outside the Manhattan courthouse where Trump’s hush money trial was underway has died
17 replies 36 reposts 106 likes
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David Darmofal
@daviddarmofal.bsky.social
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Our university's new statue of Robert G. Anderson, Henrie Monteith Treadwell, and James L. Solomon Jr., who integrated our campus on September 11, 1963.
www.postandcourier.com/columbia/edu...
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David Darmofal
@daviddarmofal.bsky.social
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One thing I'll never understand is why liberals like Joseph Ratzinger (later Benedict XVI) turned away from their liberalism in the face of the illiberal left of 1968 & became illiberal conservatives. They should have stayed & fought all the more for liberalism against illiberalism.
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David Darmofal
@daviddarmofal.bsky.social
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"some leftist political activists do not actually strive for social justice & equality but rather use political activism to endorse or exercise violence against others to satisfy their own ego-focused needs."
link.springer.com/article/10.1...
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David Darmofal
@daviddarmofal.bsky.social
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Some of y’all in academia live in white liberal bubbles and it shows on social media.
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Dan Hopkins
@dhopkins1776.bsky.social
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Congrats to Mike Bailey on the new book "Polling at a Crossroads: Rethinking Modern Survey Research", which I'm super excited to read.
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Matt Grossmann
@mattgrossmann.bsky.social
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The TikTok forced sale will apparently be attached to the foreign aid bill, with Senate & WH buy in. One of the only non-funding bipartisan policy changes this congress, with the large deal demonstrating continued foreign policy establishment exceptionalism.
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David Darmofal
@daviddarmofal.bsky.social
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In the U.S., more Catholics live in the South now than in any other region of the country.
www.ncronline.org/opinion/ncr-...
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Boris Heersink
@borisheersink.bsky.social
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I do not pretend to understand the underlying economics of all of this but the hardcover version of the book is now available for less than $7 on Amazon. So... unless you want me to pay you to buy it, this is about as cheap as it gets.
a.co/d/fZKgjJe
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b-boy bouiebaisse
@jbouie.bsky.social
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spend your friday thinking about the political economy of the south
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Julia Azari
@juliaazari.bsky.social
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The latest Marquette Law School Poll was released on Wednesday with (sort of) new news about Wisconsin voters. I wrote about what it says about our politics. goodpoliticsbadpolitics.substack.com/p/presidents...
3 replies 8 reposts 16 likes
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David Darmofal
@daviddarmofal.bsky.social
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Baccini & Weymouth’s 2021 APSR article is a really good study of how deindustrialization leads to differing responses by white and Black voters.
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John Holbein
@johnholbein1.bsky.social
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Hey you!
Check out this cool new paper.
"War Causes Religiosity"
The authors scraped web images of hundreds of thousands of gravestones of deceased U.S. Americans.
People who were randomly drafted into war are at least 20% more likely to have religious gravestones
osf.io/preprints/so...
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David Darmofal
@daviddarmofal.bsky.social
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No doubt about it.
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David Darmofal
@daviddarmofal.bsky.social
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It's 100% at the University of South Carolina, where Larry used to teach.
sc.edu/about/office...
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United Farm Workers
@ufw.bsky.social
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You can't have beer without hops. Trinidad is hanging ropes in a WA hop fields to prepare for the season. The vines will start growing up these ropes next month. #WeFeedYou
1 replies 14 reposts 74 likes
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David Darmofal
@daviddarmofal.bsky.social
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So true!
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David Darmofal
@daviddarmofal.bsky.social
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The same goes for White Rural Rage. I've seen so many academics on social media who aren't experts on political geography praising that book that misrepresents the political geography literature.
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David Darmofal
@daviddarmofal.bsky.social
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I'm no fan of Pamela Paul. But I'm going to be the academic who finally sticks their neck out & says it because it needs to be said: consult the empirical literature folks. There's a great lit on the effects of random dorm roommate assignment on behaviors & life trajectories. Read the empirical lit.
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David Darmofal
@daviddarmofal.bsky.social
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Darn it, I deleted the wrong post!
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David Darmofal
@daviddarmofal.bsky.social
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Thank you so much, Charles! It was a fun project in which Chuck, Indridi, and I were each able to bring our own strengths as scholars to the project. A real example of a synergistic project. Now we just need to get more legislatures to randomize their seating assignments! :)
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David Darmofal
@daviddarmofal.bsky.social
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While consult empirical literatures when academics can just virtue-signal instead?
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David Darmofal
@daviddarmofal.bsky.social
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Chuck Finocchiaro, Indridi Indridason, and I discuss some of the literature on randomization in our PSRM article on random seating assignment in Iceland's parliament.
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
2/2
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David Darmofal
@daviddarmofal.bsky.social
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I'm really concerned about what's happening to academia.
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David Darmofal
@daviddarmofal.bsky.social
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Rather than dunking on articles about randomizing roommates, scholars should instead read the empirical literature. Here's one of many articles on this:
academic.oup.com/qje/article/...
1/
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David Darmofal
@daviddarmofal.bsky.social
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Really.
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David Darmofal
@daviddarmofal.bsky.social
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At this risk of spoiling everyone's fun at dunking on Pamela Paul's latest column, I do want to point out that Bruce Sacerdote and other scholars have done empirical research on the positive effects of randomization of dorm roommates. I really wish we could have more empirical conversations on here.
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David Darmofal
@daviddarmofal.bsky.social
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I always think of Trump's margin in MI in 2016...
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David Darmofal
@daviddarmofal.bsky.social
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It's interesting that we here in South Carolina have avoided some of the worst excesses of some other Southern states. Not on all issues. But on many. I'm not sure why. One theory I've heard is that Black Democratic lawmakers have more influence here than in other Southern states.
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David Darmofal
@daviddarmofal.bsky.social
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Congratulations to our student, Michael Greene, who presented his research project, "Overlooked partisans: How to measure rurality, and who are the rural Democrats?" at Discover USC:
sc.edu/uofsc/posts/...
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David Darmofal
@daviddarmofal.bsky.social
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Biden should be on the ballot. Alabama gets it — Why don't Ohio Republicans?
www.dispatch.com/story/opinio...
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David Darmofal
@daviddarmofal.bsky.social
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My biggest wish is that they’d focus on a more representative set of institutions. By defining higher ed effectively as only the Ivy League schools or a few other “elite” schools, they’re covering outlier cases.
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David Darmofal
@daviddarmofal.bsky.social
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The media messed this up big time.
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David Darmofal
@daviddarmofal.bsky.social
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Just when Democrats were finally seeing the light on nuclear energy, the New York Times opinion section chose to publish an anti-nuclear screed today by a writer hostile to nuclear energy.
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David Darmofal
@daviddarmofal.bsky.social
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If you want a good example of the levels of partisan polarization in the electorate, Republicans have a more favorable opinion of O.J. Simpson than they have of President Biden.
d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/ec...
1 replies 6 reposts 19 likes
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Unofficial AP News (World) Bot
@apnews-world-rss.bsky.social
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Pentagon leaders press Congress for Ukraine funding, saying battlefield situation is dire
2 replies 22 reposts 54 likes
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Omar Wasow
@owasow.bsky.social
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Thoughts from a variety of scholars (including me) on possible directions and implications of current protests: wapo.st/3TZLr0j
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Mark Copelovitch
@mcopelov.bsky.social
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Absolutely do not like the subtle implied “he’s not a real American” thing here. Don’t do this.
2 replies 3 reposts 39 likes
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David Darmofal
@daviddarmofal.bsky.social
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On both these issues, Biden has accepted the Republican frame instead of defining the issues himself. That’s a failure of leadership. I know the VP would frame immigration differently than Biden has and I expect she would on trade too as a daughter of CA who knows how important trade is.
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David Darmofal
@daviddarmofal.bsky.social
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Among the issues on which Biden is really wrong and I expect a Harris presidency would be much better are immigration and trade.
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David Darmofal
@daviddarmofal.bsky.social
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Nixon said we’re all Keynesians now. I guess we’re all protectionists now.
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David Darmofal
@daviddarmofal.bsky.social
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No worries!
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David Darmofal
@daviddarmofal.bsky.social
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In 2020, the Biden-Harris ticket got about 3.5 million votes in Ohio & Alabama. If Ohio & Alabama Republicans artificially deny them those votes, they could artificially help Trump try to claim a popular vote victory. This is rising authoritarianism in Ohio & Alabama.
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David Darmofal
@daviddarmofal.bsky.social
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I said small d democratic.
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David Darmofal
@daviddarmofal.bsky.social
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In 2020, the Biden-Harris ticket got about 3.5 million votes in Ohio & Alabama. If Ohio & Alabama Republicans artificially deny them those votes, they could artificially help Trump try to claim a popular vote victory. This is rising authoritarianism in Ohio & Alabama.
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David Darmofal
@daviddarmofal.bsky.social
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This is another example of Ohio's deep democratic decline. Ohio Rs passed legislation in 2020 to get Trump & Biden on the ballot but are refusing to do so now. This is probably about helping Moreno win & artificially helping Trump to win the popular vote.
www.dispatch.com/story/news/p...
1 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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David Darmofal
@daviddarmofal.bsky.social
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Re: that poll, there's no way Trump would be better at CPR than Biden. Trump would see the person and just walk by.
0 replies 0 reposts 2 likes