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Elizabeth Spiers
@espiers.bsky.social
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Yep!!
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Elizabeth Spiers@espiers.bsky.social |
10248 followers 1279 following 1386 posts
NYT opinion writer, Slate Money co-host, Dem messaging consultant, NYU prof, former EIC The New York Observer, Dealbreaker founder and Gawker founding editor. Brooklyn via Bama. Rednexican. Striver with no chill. Newsletter: buttondown.email/spiers
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Elizabeth Spiers
@espiers.bsky.social
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Yep!!
0 replies 0 reposts 3 likes
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Elizabeth Spiers
@espiers.bsky.social
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That guy’s supporters are not a demo in a targeted universe
1 replies 0 reposts 13 likes
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Elizabeth Spiers
@espiers.bsky.social
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That they like a guy who has no consistent ideological placement, has embraced many conspiracy theories, was horrible and abusive to his ex wife, had literal brain worms that he admits have affected his judgment, and now it turns out, has been accused of sexual assault and maybe barbecued a dog
2 replies 0 reposts 15 likes
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Elizabeth Spiers
@espiers.bsky.social
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But there are a LOT of real swing voters (maybe 1/3rd of them) who like RFK and if you want to understand why you can’t just appeal to them on the basis of policy keep in mind …
1 replies 0 reposts 11 likes
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Elizabeth Spiers
@espiers.bsky.social
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And OF those independents who are true swing voters - meaning they have switched parties or just now lean more heavily toward the opposition party - that’s a tiny portion of independents and even tinier vis a vis the whole electorate
1 replies 0 reposts 14 likes
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Elizabeth Spiers
@espiers.bsky.social
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And then I have to explain that independent voters are not de facto swing voters and most of them vote consistently in a very partisan fashion over several cycles; they just don’t like the party labels because they don’t like the party
2 replies 0 reposts 34 likes
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Elizabeth Spiers
@espiers.bsky.social
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I keep saying that swing voters are hard to target because there aren’t that many of them and an unsurprising number of armchair analyst men who’ve never worked in politics or even volunteered for a candidate they like are, like, no, dummy independent voters are a huge demo
4 replies 1 reposts 43 likes
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Bethany Albertson
@albertsonb2.bsky.social
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Either the Democrats will run Biden, or he'll say he can't continue the campaign and Democrats will run Harris. Either is newsworthy, but neither is nearly as radical as running a pro-insurrection convicted felon with legal immunity he's eager to use.
9 replies 191 reposts 700 likes
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Elizabeth Spiers
@espiers.bsky.social
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If you wanna unfollow me for being a jump to conclusions ass, I understand
1 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Elizabeth Spiers
@espiers.bsky.social
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Ah ok, just realized I conflated what you were saying with another thread suggesting there was some directive from the top. I’m sorry. Just frustrated with some of the takes. I’ll delete the QT dunk
2 replies 0 reposts 2 likes
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Elizabeth Spiers
@espiers.bsky.social
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Yes but that could be anything the opinion writer thinks, which could be, replace Biden. I was asked to write about it before and I wrote a column about what I thought it was important for them to articulate (tho I didn’t write the hed and didn’t like it) www.nytimes.com/2024/06/25/o...
1 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Elizabeth Spiers
@espiers.bsky.social
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I was asked if I wanted to write about Alex Baldwin’s manslaughter lawsuit, for example, and I said lololol no, but thank you for thinking of me.
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Elizabeth Spiers
@espiers.bsky.social
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If she did not want to write about it she would have said no, but more likely that she pitched it
2 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Elizabeth Spiers
@espiers.bsky.social
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You literally said she was told to write about it and that’s not true. When my editors ask me to write about a topic and I don’t have a real opinion I can and do say no. And full time writers have even more latitude to write what they want.
3 replies 0 reposts 2 likes
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Elizabeth Spiers
@espiers.bsky.social
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The downside of this is when you see someone with an opinion you don’t like or think is bad, that really is your opinion. But it’s true that we don’t get to write whatever we want.
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Jeffrey Vagle
@jvagle.me
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This Far Side cartoon, but with jurists and politicians discovering that constitutional principles and norms can be just as fragile.
0 replies 13 reposts 39 likes
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Elizabeth Spiers
@espiers.bsky.social
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He literally stayed in Jared’s bedroom when he visited them in NJ. If you want to know what Trump would do, it’s whatever Bibi already wants to do
1 replies 1 reposts 7 likes
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Elizabeth Spiers
@espiers.bsky.social
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I mean some people didn’t listen to what Trump said in the last term about Gaza. I did and also worked for Jared Kushner when I was at the NYO and he was still a putative Democrat. They were completely aligned with Bibi, which is unsurprising because Netanyahu is friends with the Kushners
1 replies 2 reposts 5 likes
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Elizabeth Spiers
@espiers.bsky.social
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Wishful thinking
0 replies 0 reposts 2 likes
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Elizabeth Spiers
@espiers.bsky.social
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Tried to do that here but did not anticipate aspects of the debate like, candidates fighting over who has the best golf score www.nytimes.com/2024/06/25/o...
0 replies 0 reposts 3 likes
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Elizabeth Spiers
@espiers.bsky.social
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Society needs that emoji
0 replies 0 reposts 4 likes
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Elizabeth Spiers
@espiers.bsky.social
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Because let’s be honest: Rs will totally ratfuck (term of art in politics) this bureaucratically if it happens
1 replies 0 reposts 10 likes
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Elizabeth Spiers
@espiers.bsky.social
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This is my late grandfather—a decorated member of the 82nd airborne and 1st gen Mexican immigrant. We have the same nose, eyebrows that stop at the arch, and resting “smile”. Can’t help but think he wouldn’t be safe in a Trump admin
1 replies 6 reposts 38 likes
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Elizabeth Spiers
@espiers.bsky.social
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I’m more worried about rollout, technicalities—new candidate (and let’s assume it’s someone with name ID) getting on all of the ballots, fundraising money transferred so that a new candidate can use it without violating campaign finance rules and so on
2 replies 0 reposts 8 likes
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Elizabeth Spiers
@espiers.bsky.social
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(And I oppose Biden’s position on Gaza but think it’s better than Trump’s, which is basically, what’s wrong with genocide? All the best people did a genocide!)
3 replies 1 reposts 20 likes
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Elizabeth Spiers
@espiers.bsky.social
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I think it depends on your timeline. I lean slightly Biden stay because I think there are a lot of replacement hurdles that have little to do with the candidate (Biden or anyone else.) But so far there’s only one guy confidently yelling at me that no one wants that because Gaza
2 replies 0 reposts 24 likes
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Elizabeth Spiers
@espiers.bsky.social
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The Cut has kind of branded itself a purveyor of a certain kind of provocative essay that you sort of can’t avoid reading but this one is very straightforward and just… really good: www.thecut.com/article/mary...
1 replies 5 reposts 21 likes
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Brendan Nyhan
@brendannyhan.bsky.social
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Category error watch. People keep assuming legal proceduralism will apply in an authoritarian state.
28 replies 107 reposts 577 likes
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Elizabeth Spiers
@espiers.bsky.social
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Maybe, but too early to tell. And Rs will try to knock any replacement off the ballot in key states — and might succeed, in which case even the best candidate possible can’t win. It’s not just a matter of political will; it’s also a matter of logistics
0 replies 0 reposts 3 likes
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Elizabeth Spiers
@espiers.bsky.social
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In this country at least, people who destroy their coalitions don’t get elected because they don’t have the numbers
1 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Gautam Hans
@gshans.bsky.social
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You'll have to read the WaPo piece for this entirely accurate take from @paulgowder.bsky.social that this lawsuit is racist garbage. www.washingtonpost.com/education/20...
1 replies 27 reposts 54 likes
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Adam Serwer
@adamserwer.bsky.social
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I do not regret analogizing these people to the men who took photos of themselves at lynchings www.mediamatters.org/project-2025...
56 replies 479 reposts 2420 likes
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Elizabeth Spiers
@espiers.bsky.social
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And those countries are relevant to US political cycles how?
1 replies 0 reposts 2 likes
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Elizabeth Spiers
@espiers.bsky.social
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What? I don’t hate Bernie.
1 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Elizabeth Spiers
@espiers.bsky.social
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*ideal. My kingdom for an edit button on Bluesky. It’s the only better feature of Threads
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Elizabeth Spiers
@espiers.bsky.social
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*right
1 replies 0 reposts 3 likes
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Elizabeth Spiers
@espiers.bsky.social
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I also think people underestimate how much people in red and purple states who vote or lean D think their idea candidate looks like their preferred local politicians.
2 replies 0 reposts 2 likes
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Elizabeth Spiers
@espiers.bsky.social
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Clyburn didn’t talk Boomer Black voters into voting for Biden. And I think Bernie had a shot with them until he kept railing against corporate Dems and it doesn’t matter if he was write if the average voter didn’t know wtf he was talking about
3 replies 0 reposts 4 likes
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Elizabeth Spiers
@espiers.bsky.social
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They’re all charlatans
1 replies 0 reposts 13 likes
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Elizabeth Spiers
@espiers.bsky.social
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Fwiw I’m fine with him yelling at Netanyahu
2 replies 3 reposts 69 likes
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Elizabeth Spiers
@espiers.bsky.social
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And it’s funny, but I also wonder what they must think if they were expecting chaos and what they find is $25 cocktails and influencers taking selfies
2 replies 0 reposts 26 likes
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Elizabeth Spiers
@espiers.bsky.social
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And we’re like, a block from a Prada store and in front of a trendy cafe with French style sidewalk seating that makes me feel old and uncool and is expensive
1 replies 0 reposts 13 likes
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Elizabeth Spiers
@espiers.bsky.social
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And I know from where I grew up that a lot of people who live on a steady diet of Fox come to NYC for the first time are absolutely conceived someone might mug them bc they understand NYC to be a crime ridden hellhole
2 replies 0 reposts 18 likes
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Elizabeth Spiers
@espiers.bsky.social
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And then I notice that all of the people with her are also carrying giant Stanley cups. And look, it is hot and humid today. Everybody needs to hydrate. But also two or three of them have their backpacks facing the front
8 replies 0 reposts 15 likes
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Elizabeth Spiers
@espiers.bsky.social
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Group o’ tourists just walked by me in Soho and a woman was wearing what I thought was a baby carrier and I look for the baby (since I had one I’m a sucker for babies) and as she gets closer I realize it’s a small backpack she’s wearing backwards and in it she has one of those giant Stanley cups
2 replies 1 reposts 27 likes
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Elizabeth Spiers
@espiers.bsky.social
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SCOTUS has taken a wrecking ball to it in the past few weeks even before you get to Trump as a threat
1 replies 1 reposts 34 likes
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Elizabeth Spiers
@espiers.bsky.social
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Sir, it is not just fine *as we speak* www.bangordailynews.com/2024/07/02/o...
8 replies 4 reposts 66 likes
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Elizabeth Spiers
@espiers.bsky.social
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I would love a parliamentary process. And term limits for SCOTUS and universal healthcare and … 😭
0 replies 0 reposts 8 likes
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Elizabeth Spiers
@espiers.bsky.social
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I think it’s just highly engaged Dem syndrome where if you’re surrounded by other highly engaged people and in an electoral space you mistakenly think they’re like a regular voter. (Also true of some media people so not suggesting there’s only one type of person who has this problem )
1 replies 0 reposts 12 likes
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Elizabeth Spiers
@espiers.bsky.social
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One his top three movies ever is Boyz in the Hood and on like date three I pointed out that the kids are often raking leaves on a lawn with no trees. And I love Boyz in the Hood! I just can’t help myself!
0 replies 0 reposts 6 likes