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The Fig Economy@figgityfigs.bsky.social |
1883 followers 518 following 16527 posts
Father of five, earnest as shit. He/him.
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The Fig Economy
@figgityfigs.bsky.social
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Does that matter? Individually no, collectively maybe? Does this also create perverse incentives for the press to drive damage narratives against candidates they don’t like? Yes! And like, I don’t know what to do about it?
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The Fig Economy
@figgityfigs.bsky.social
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Yeah, I definitely don’t mean to single him out as uniquely determinative, just an example of somebody who’s saying stuff he’s gonna find it hard to walk back if Biden remains the nominee.
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The Fig Economy
@figgityfigs.bsky.social
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Even if it was true what happens then? Like what’s on the next page? All of that majority accepts that it’s Harris right? *goose chasing* Right motherfucker?
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The Fig Economy
@figgityfigs.bsky.social
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Listen the times completely fucked us in 2016 but this time they totally know what’s best for us.
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The Silvered Spherical Ideal Median Voter
@swolecialism.bsky.social
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i swear to god. people will spend eight goddamn years complaining about how friendly the new york times is to donald trump and then just... keep accepting their framing. apparently forever. it's a provincial newspaper run by a sixth generation failson. have some self respect
10 replies 67 reposts 384 likes
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The Fig Economy
@figgityfigs.bsky.social
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This is one of those places where I wonder if his rhetoric depresses his potential turnout as supporters decline to turn out since it’s rigged anyway.
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The Fig Economy
@figgityfigs.bsky.social
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Other way around I think, 50% of respondents who didn’t vote in 2020 chose Trump.
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The Fig Economy
@figgityfigs.bsky.social
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Yuuuuuuuuup.
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The Fig Economy
@figgityfigs.bsky.social
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Right, I get the “high propensity voters have switched” thing, it just kind of seems like there’s an implicit “therefore low propensity voters have switched the other way, probably even more”
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The Fig Economy
@figgityfigs.bsky.social
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The argument I guess is that turnout benefit has totally switched, but I don’t know that that 100% follows from dems starting to do better in midterms and specials.
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The Fig Economy
@figgityfigs.bsky.social
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Yeah, why have special elections gone how they have, and why would the people that have made them go as they have somehow be ok with letting Trump win?
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The Fig Economy
@figgityfigs.bsky.social
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Plus just…the baseline is the last election because it was between the same two guys. What’s the argument for the electorate having changed so enormously in this way? It goes so against my perceived experience that I need an explanation.
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The Fig Economy
@figgityfigs.bsky.social
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Like this isn’t “just throw it in the average” territory, this is “SHOW YOUR WORK” territory.
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The Fig Economy
@figgityfigs.bsky.social
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I do occasionally just to yell at them.
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The Fig Economy
@figgityfigs.bsky.social
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Man I genuinely cannot picture an electorate materializing that looks anything like this. I just don’t get it.
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The Fig Economy
@figgityfigs.bsky.social
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I opened up by saying I understand different people’s positions on this and the debate makes sense!
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The Fig Economy
@figgityfigs.bsky.social
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That’s different from baldly asserting he can’t perform acceptably because he is incapable! Worry is one thing. I’m worried! All the time! What you said was *certainty*,
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The Fig Economy
@figgityfigs.bsky.social
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We are vegetarians, so we’ll be having eggs but they are otherwise pets.
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The Fig Economy
@figgityfigs.bsky.social
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He needs to do events and look vital! What about the ones he did? Well he used a teleprompter so those don’t count.
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The Fig Economy
@figgityfigs.bsky.social
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Yeah, that’s why the goalposts shift each time, because the real ask, that people can’t bring themselves to say outright, is for Biden to be something he can’t be.
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The Fig Economy
@figgityfigs.bsky.social
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If Biden winds up staying in, will Max shut up about all this and get behind him because Trump is such a threat? I would like to believe so but I genuinely don’t know.
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The Fig Economy
@figgityfigs.bsky.social
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There’s room for debate about the question of how to move forward, but what Max is doing isn’t that. He has not reasoned himself into the opinion that Biden is not capable (or what? Of everything), and no matter what he does the goalposts will shift so it wasn’t good enough.
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The Fig Economy
@figgityfigs.bsky.social
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I've got five kids, so I signed up for scrubbing poop off all sorts of stuff.
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The Fig Economy
@figgityfigs.bsky.social
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Vegetarians, so definitely not the first.
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The Fig Economy
@figgityfigs.bsky.social
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My wife has been working on me for years and years, and she has finally worn me down, and that is why I am headed to pick up some live chickens on my way home from work.
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The Fig Economy
@figgityfigs.bsky.social
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Was gonna make a grim joke about Assassinations Georg, but then I guess I went ahead and did it.
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The Fig Economy
@figgityfigs.bsky.social
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So that's kind of what I'm wondering about. If you do that for everybody and compare to how long they actually live after the presidency, what do you see? Is it true that the presidency ages you, like as in taking years off your life?
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The Fig Economy
@figgityfigs.bsky.social
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Oh for their cohort for sure. Absolutely. I just wondered if solely compared to other presidents, if ones who became ex-presidents earlier in life lived longer compared to their expectancy than ones who became ex-presidents later.
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The Fig Economy
@figgityfigs.bsky.social
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Or that Haley, had she won the nomination, would be cruising to a double digit victory, rather than trying to hold together a shattered caucus as Trump, from the outside, took a sledgehammer to its supports.
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The Fig Economy
@figgityfigs.bsky.social
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To be more clear, I think it's kind of a fascinating question and I read Amar's paper on it a while back and I'm pretty convinced that the 1947 Act is not constitutional, but I genuinely don't know what would happen then.
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The Fig Economy
@figgityfigs.bsky.social
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To be clear, I am being 100% serious.
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The Fig Economy
@figgityfigs.bsky.social
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I think recent SCOTUS decisions have actually pretty conclusively settled this question. If the Speaker is a Republican, then the 1947 PSA is constitutional.
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The Fig Economy
@figgityfigs.bsky.social
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This is true, I just wonder whether there's a relationship between the number of expected years left at the age they leave office and the average number of years they actually live. Probably not enough data points to say anything.
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The Fig Economy
@figgityfigs.bsky.social
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Right, it ages you and probably more so the older you happen to be. I wonder if you run the numbers whether that bears out.
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Christopher Moore
@theauthorguy.bsky.social
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I'm pleased to see people are opening to the idea of Kamala Harris at the top of the ticket. We're riding with Biden as long as he wants to run, but I'll be happy to support VP Harris if she's our nominee. (Spare my your "she's a cop" responses. Logically she's the only choice if Joe steps down.)
3 replies 5 reposts 59 likes
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The Fig Economy
@figgityfigs.bsky.social
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I get it. I processed yours as more a worry based in uncertainty about what others might believe rather than an assertion of what others believe.
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The Fig Economy
@figgityfigs.bsky.social
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I don't think you're doing that, just that it's something I've seen a ton of people doing that I wish they'd all stop.
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The Fig Economy
@figgityfigs.bsky.social
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Yeah, this is where I'm at. I think in the back of my head maybe switching things up can calm this down (maybe not, I don't know), but I bristle at everybody projecting their second-order reasons for believing what they believe onto unnamed others.
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The Fig Economy
@figgityfigs.bsky.social
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Dana Bash: Are Putin's terms acceptable to you, keeping the territory in Ukraine? Trump: No, they're not acceptable. No, they're not acceptable.
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The Fig Economy
@figgityfigs.bsky.social
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Obviously this is what I want to be the case, so there's some cope, but this does not look like a situation where there's a whole lot of toss up undecided voters, and I think most non-Trump voters ultimately come home to the only viable non-Trump option.
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The Fig Economy
@figgityfigs.bsky.social
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To me seeing a small but pure Biden drop, no switching, is a pretty decent sign. It looks like Trump is at a ceiling and nobody who already wasn't going to vote for him is switching to him, and a lot of the rest could be discouragement or nonresponse.
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The Fig Economy
@figgityfigs.bsky.social
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I heard there was a response but the OP was deleted, do you have a link?
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The Fig Economy
@figgityfigs.bsky.social
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I feel like this makes more sense than a hoax.
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The Fig Economy
@figgityfigs.bsky.social
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This is good information! I don't know how all of this works and this seems much more likely than somebody clicking through the "YOU WILL BE PROSECUTED IF YOU FILE A FALSE STATEMENT OF CANDIDACY" screen for a joke.
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The Fig Economy
@figgityfigs.bsky.social
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Beverly MA is a company called Bulldog Compliance which appears to be some sort of Republican campaign shop.
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The Fig Economy
@figgityfigs.bsky.social
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Maybe. I mean if so somebody's going to jail for doing it as a joke, lol
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The Fig Economy
@figgityfigs.bsky.social
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I mean if it is, dude's going to jail for a joke.
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The Fig Economy
@figgityfigs.bsky.social
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This is the real FEC website. I tried changing the number at the end of the URL and got different filing documents, poking around to see if there were other filed documents with other vice presidents (could that be done? I don't know how these things are done). I didn't see any but I only poked.
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The Fig Economy
@figgityfigs.bsky.social
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Yeah, I did not come to this quickly or with pleasure.
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The Fig Economy
@figgityfigs.bsky.social
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This is glib, obv. But the real sure part is how the GOP is the modern incarnation of the confederacy and we’re sitting here arguing with each other instead of focusing on firing them into the sun.
2 replies 2 reposts 31 likes