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Kevin Collins@kwcollins.bsky.social |
1446 followers 392 following 3681 posts
Co-founder, Survey 160. Loves survey and voter participation. Researcher. Democrat. YIMBY. Husband and Dad. Opinion haver and measurer. Outdoors and cooking enthusiast. He/Him
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Kevin Collins
@kwcollins.bsky.social
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The great thing about America today is that you don’t get punished, much less executed, for failing to support the policy initiatives of political leaders. Maybe Musk has been spending too much time hanging out with the leadership of the Chinese Communist Party
0 replies 0 reposts 3 likes
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Melissa Ryan
@melissaryan.bsky.social
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It's a shame to see so many people who claim to be pro-democracy rapidly get on board with forcing out a candidate who has now won two primaries and one general election. But that's clearly the direction we're headed.
1 replies 2 reposts 16 likes
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Kevin Collins
@kwcollins.bsky.social
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Donald Trump is now arguing that former presidents should enjoy lifelong immunity from criminal prosecution even for crimes committed after leaving office
1 replies 3 reposts 5 likes
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Kevin Collins
@kwcollins.bsky.social
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Weird* how he didn’t call for such punishment for those who violently stormed the seat of American government to try to stop the Constitutionally mandated transfer of power after a free and fair election *weird, but not surprising
6 replies 14 reposts 59 likes
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Kevin Collins
@kwcollins.bsky.social
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If you have ever sworn an oath to support and defend the Constitution, you should be thinking carefully about what that oath requires now. I cannot see how support for those openly threatening the constitutional system squares with solemn obligation
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Kevin Collins
@kwcollins.bsky.social
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This — Project 2025, the Supreme Court’s legalistic usurpation of power, and Trump’s current rhetoric on the campaign trail — can only be understood as an attack on our Constitutional government itself, less violent means than those used in Jan 6 but no less threatening to our democratic republic
1 replies 17 reposts 30 likes
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Kevin Collins
@kwcollins.bsky.social
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Alternatively, treat such titles using same style book rules as drag names.
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Kevin Collins
@kwcollins.bsky.social
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Dennis said it best: “Strange women lying in ponds distributing swords is no basis for a system of government. Supreme executive power derives from a mandate from the masses, not from some farcical aquatic ceremony.”
1 replies 1 reposts 4 likes
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Kevin Collins
@kwcollins.bsky.social
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All monarchies are inherently illegitimate and as such monarchical titles should be ignored by civilized society
1 replies 0 reposts 5 likes
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Kevin Collins
@kwcollins.bsky.social
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You asked and honest question, and that’s my honest answer. I don’t have any suggestions for you
1 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Kevin Collins
@kwcollins.bsky.social
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Which direction is the error? Clearly I haven’t been following that closely
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Link is coconut-pilled. 🥥 🌴
@knilirabaj.bsky.social
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6 replies 78 reposts 136 likes
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Kevin Collins
@kwcollins.bsky.social
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Has anyone put out a report on polling accuracy in the UK elections yet ?
1 replies 1 reposts 3 likes
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Kevin Collins
@kwcollins.bsky.social
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No.
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Kevin Collins
@kwcollins.bsky.social
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Let’s just make this a national policy.
0 replies 1 reposts 8 likes
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Don Moynihan
@donmoyn.bsky.social
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Lmao they just changed the title of the piece from “Why I don’t vote” to “Why I won’t vote” rather than tell readers that the guy actually does vote
52 replies 357 reposts 1389 likes
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Don Moynihan
@donmoyn.bsky.social
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Why I Don't Vote (OK, I Do Vote, but I Would Like to Discourage You, NY Times Reader, For Doing So For Some Reason)
Via @bubbaprog.ilovecitr.us
40 replies 608 reposts 2058 likes
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Kevin Collins
@kwcollins.bsky.social
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I mean, you could get brain worms that way
1 replies 0 reposts 7 likes
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Kevin Collins
@kwcollins.bsky.social
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Thank you, that was helpful context that wasn’t in the original tweet that’s been circulating
0 replies 0 reposts 3 likes
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Kevin Collins
@kwcollins.bsky.social
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Yes, exactly my point
1 replies 0 reposts 9 likes
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Kevin Collins
@kwcollins.bsky.social
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People who don’t want to undermine their future credibility care. Trump has done enough awful things that are substantiated not to run with what amounts as best I can tell — perhaps you have more information — on a sole allegation without supporting evidence
1 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Kevin Collins
@kwcollins.bsky.social
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After the pee tape allegations these need a lot of substantiation before anyone will want run with this allegation
7 replies 0 reposts 7 likes
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Kevin Collins
@kwcollins.bsky.social
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Volunteer to knock doors and write postcards. Organize a small dollar fundraiser, or I suppose a large dollar one if that’s your speed. Volunteer for voter registration tabling
1 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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Kevin Collins
@kwcollins.bsky.social
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I mean, same
1 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Kevin Collins
@kwcollins.bsky.social
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A little pre holiday fun … even if I have quibbles with some of the response options
1 replies 0 reposts 3 likes
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Pollcat, AKA Scott Keeter
@pollcat.bsky.social
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This week we released a new version of our short course “Public Opinion Polling Basics.” In six short lessons, I discuss why we have polls, how polls work, the challenges facing polls, what to look for in a poll, and more. A new lesson focuses on election polling. www.pewresearch.org/course/publi...
1 replies 11 reposts 10 likes
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Kevin Collins
@kwcollins.bsky.social
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The answer to political anxiety is political organizing.
17 replies 184 reposts 739 likes
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Kevin Collins
@kwcollins.bsky.social
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This seems unfair to comparative politics scholars who were warning about Trump in comparative context for a very, very long time
1 replies 0 reposts 7 likes
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Nathaniel Rakich
@baseballot.bsky.social
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I've no doubt that the debate really is hurting Biden, but it's also worth bearing this in mind—written a month ago about Trump's felony conviction.
1 replies 14 reposts 73 likes
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Dan Murphy
@bungdan.bsky.social
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Presidential candidate who the far-right members of the Supreme Court just placed above the law tells voters how he will exercise his new powers.
29 replies 230 reposts 572 likes
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Kevin Collins
@kwcollins.bsky.social
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This wolf comes as a wolf -- A. Scalia
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Kevin Collins
@kwcollins.bsky.social
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This is what Trump argued. The SCOTUS decision went broader though.
1 replies 0 reposts 10 likes
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Kevin Collins
@kwcollins.bsky.social
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You are correct that a lot of people are not paying attention to how this actually works.
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Kevin Collins
@kwcollins.bsky.social
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But really the thing to take away from this is Gen X, you're the problem.
0 replies 0 reposts 2 likes
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Kevin Collins
@kwcollins.bsky.social
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"May you live in interesting times", said sincerely
0 replies 0 reposts 4 likes
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Kevin Collins
@kwcollins.bsky.social
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Continuing my obsession with the age crosstabs, in the Times latest Boomers (well, 65+) are more supportive of Biden than any other group in the reg voters universe, but narrowed to likely voters, Boomers and Zs (well, under 30) support at equal rates
1 replies 0 reposts 2 likes
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Don Moynihan
@donmoyn.bsky.social
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"We are in the process of the second American Revolution, which will remain bloodless if the North allows it to be" Jefferson Davis, 1861
9 replies 46 reposts 190 likes
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Kevin Collins
@kwcollins.bsky.social
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How is "very rambunctious youth" a response to allegations about his behavior during his mid forties?
1 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Kevin Collins
@kwcollins.bsky.social
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Case in point: the long timeline of Hillary Clinton's approval polling. Favorability dropped when she became a candidate for senate, rebounded when she was SecState and not a candidate, dropped when she ran for President. news.gallup.com/poll/224330/...
0 replies 0 reposts 6 likes
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Kevin Collins
@kwcollins.bsky.social
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Polling is very good for many things. Comparing hypothetical candidate matchups to actual candidate matchups is not one of them, for the straightforward reason that when someone turns from a hypothetical candidate to an actual candidate, attacks start and their favorability drops.
1 replies 7 reposts 27 likes
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Kevin Collins
@kwcollins.bsky.social
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I bet that still works in distance from Amtrak stations.
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Kevin Collins
@kwcollins.bsky.social
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Doesn't that metaphor fall a part a bit when considering that the most loyal brand consumers are also high engagement?
1 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Kevin Collins
@kwcollins.bsky.social
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The Supreme Court, here, as in the 14A disqualification case, is straight up ignoring the plain text of the Constitution in order to help their political ally regain power. While I understand why this won't happen with this Congress, impeachment and removal is the only appropriate remedy.
0 replies 1 reposts 6 likes
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Nate Schenkkan
@nateschenkkan.bsky.social
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It’s demoralizing & demobilizing to speculate about extreme scenarios, even if they are plausible in a long enough timeline. Focus instead on what you can do to prevent them: building coalitions (including with those who you disagree with on other issues) & acting in solidarity
0 replies 14 reposts 37 likes
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Nate Schenkkan
@nateschenkkan.bsky.social
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Stuff takes time. Pick your example—Hungary, Turkey, Russia, wherever—they are all quite distinct and didn’t get that way in a vacuum or overnight. Focus on the next thing rather than the hypothetical drawn from a different context.
4 replies 7 reposts 48 likes
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Nate Schenkkan
@nateschenkkan.bsky.social
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I think it is wise and productive for people to take seriously the idea we are in a constitutional crisis in America. I don’t think it is wise or productive to assume what happens next is like what happens in semi consolidated or consolidated authoritarian systems.
4 replies 23 reposts 105 likes
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Pwnallthethings
@pwnallthethings.bsky.social
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wE caNt rEvIeW tHe pResiDenTs oBvioUs mOtiVes wHeN hE sAys tHeY arE sEcrEt aftEr sAyiNg iT oUt lOud oN teLeVisiOn
1 replies 2 reposts 42 likes
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Quinta Jurecic
@qjurecic.bsky.social
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if your instinct is "calm down, surely this is an exaggeration," allow me to assure you that it's really not
7 replies 164 reposts 485 likes
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Dr. Samantha Hancox-Li
@sjshancoxli.bsky.social
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really cannot emphasize enough how plainly all this proves that the first priority of the next Democratic administration needs to be democracy reform --filibuster --electoral college --court reform --dc and pr statehood --new voting rights act --gerrymandering
58 replies 272 reposts 1071 likes
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Brendan Nyhan
@brendannyhan.bsky.social
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Official act. Immune.
57 replies 690 reposts 2002 likes