Just attending a 3-day workshop on the danger of abrupt ocean circulation changes. Discussions are quite worrying. E.g. in 35 to 45 % of high quality models, convection in the open North Atlantic collapses in the 2030s due to #globalheating. -> Major climate disruption. Not good.
The map shows the temperature change that would be expected, between the average of the 20 years before the event versus the average over the 20 years after the event. What that would exactly mean for weather, especially weather extremes, is hard to fathom. But it would very likely be ugly.
Are there already new timelines, that project these percentages for the next three or four decades? Or in other words: In what decade does the convection stop with 75% certainty?
Do you think that a collapse of north atlantic warm water circulation could finally convince everyone that climate change is a problem? And would it be too late?
The changing of the gulf stream before and actually with the political, fascistic ongoing trouble in europe, I thought so often to move to Nigeria or New Zealand.
But I am afraid that in the end there will be only shaded glasshouses in a desert.
Some one explain this to me like I’m dumb (because I probably am) but am I to understand that within the next 20 years or so the oceans circulatory rotation will completely change due to global warming and adversely affect the weather such as severe storms and severe droughts?