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Stas Kolenikov@statstas.bsky.social |
189 followers 111 following 315 posts
Social data scientist
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Stephen Schwartz
@atomicanalyst.bsky.social
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Today in 1956, President Dwight D. Eisenhower signed the consequential Federal Aid Highway Act, which created the 41,000-mile interstate highway system and was justified and promoted partly on the basis that it would enable the swift evacuation of US cities in the event of a Soviet nuclear attack.
5 replies 16 reposts 27 likes
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Jacob T. Levy
@jacobtlevy.bsky.social
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In Paul's honor:
3 replies 42 reposts 190 likes
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Stas Kolenikov
@statstas.bsky.social
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American politicians are babies. 13K on 1M contract? Come on. The standard Russian “roll back” is 20% of the contract value.
0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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💉💉💉Kumara📎Republic↙️↙️↙️
@kumararepublic.bsky.social
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Fascism on both sides of the pond inspired each other. American industrialists including Fred Koch, Henry Ford, Alfred Sloan & James Mooney of GM, and Thomas Watson Sr were known to actively do business with the 3rd Reich. European Fascist leaders took cues from Manifest Destiny & US eugenicists.
0 replies 1 reposts 2 likes
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Seth Cotlar
@sethcotlar.bsky.social
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A) you should listen to this excellent conversation. B) I want to do a wee thread (might expand it into something bigger) on one theme that emerges here--whether or not it matters if we use the word "fascist" to describe Trump. I'm going to make an argument for why we SHOULD use the word.
4 replies 25 reposts 70 likes
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b-boy bouiebaisse
@jbouie.bsky.social
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trump wants to make your kids as sick as possible www.pbs.org/newshour/sho...
31 replies 118 reposts 457 likes
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Stas Kolenikov
@statstas.bsky.social
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Don’t Jacksonville my Chicago
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Thomas Zimmer
@thomaszimmer.bsky.social
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Everyone, left and right, is worried about the future of American “democracy.” I wrote about this a while ago: What to make of the fact that Republicans are also concerned about threats to democracy, and why that’s actually not reassuring at all: 1/
2 replies 22 reposts 64 likes
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Thomas Zimmer
@thomaszimmer.bsky.social
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What they worry about is losing *their* democracy: A restricted version of democracy that leaves entrenched hierarchies of race, gender, and religion largely intact. They are committed to defending their white Christian patriarchal democracy against multiracial pluralism. 8/
1 replies 8 reposts 24 likes
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Philip Bump
@pbump.com
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If you are convinced that nefarious professors are brainwashing kids to become liberals, sure, you might think that putting the Ten Commandments in classrooms will push the other way. www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...
3 replies 10 reposts 44 likes
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Stas Kolenikov
@statstas.bsky.social
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Our piano teacher went to do her dental work to her home town of Sevastopol, contested Crimea. Better $2K there than $30K in the U.S.
1 replies 0 reposts 7 likes
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Thomas Zimmer
@thomaszimmer.bsky.social
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That’s one of the key arguments in the book: that Trump combines elements of the ethno-nationalist (Buchanan), the billionaire populist (Perot) - and adds the mafia patriarch of John Gotti, who plays a big part in the book also.
1 replies 2 reposts 13 likes
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Jacob T. Levy
@jacobtlevy.bsky.social
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This review of John Ganz' history of the 90s reminds me that I once had the thought, and never did anything with it, "Trump 2016 is what happens if Ross Perot 1992 and Pat Buchanan 1992 were somehow the same guy."
www.nytimes.com/2024/06/12/b...
7 replies 34 reposts 137 likes
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Stas Kolenikov
@statstas.bsky.social
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Both sides do that. Wait. Five sides do that (add Russia and Israel and Iran). Wait, seventeen sides do that.
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Stas Kolenikov
@statstas.bsky.social
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RepAOC going live on IG looks… old to them??
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Stas Kolenikov
@statstas.bsky.social
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Makes me nostalgic of the time the Republican Speaker of the House was moving the Evidence Based Policy Making Act
0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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Barred and Boujee aka Madiba Dennie
@audrelawdamercy.bsky.social
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Today's the anniversary of Loving v. Virginia, which has me thinking again about Clarence Thomas's deeply sus concurring opinion in Dobbs
Paragraph below taken from The Originalism Trap, out now tinyurl.com/originalismtrap
4 replies 58 reposts 175 likes
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Andrew Mercer
@awmercer.bsky.social
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The issue as I see it is that you could never know if a study done using simulated research subjects generalizes to human subjects without doing the human study to compare. At which point why bother doing the AI study in the first place?
3 replies 12 reposts 44 likes
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Phil Lewis
@phillewis.bsky.social
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BREAKING: The Oklahoma Supreme Court has dismissed the Tulsa Race Massacre case, in what was likely the final opportunity for survivors to receive justice
52 replies 283 reposts 521 likes
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Stas Kolenikov
@statstas.bsky.social
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Awww the sweet smell of rotting infrastructure corpses - brings back memories of 1990s in post-Soviet Russia where the scraping for parts by the social conservatives, namely the former Communist Party bosses, was happening very literally.
0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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404 Alicia Not Found
@astroknitter.bsky.social
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AUGH shiiiiit. UNC Asheville's Physics program is on the consultants' radar for reduction/elimination. this freaking timeline mountainx.com/news/14-unca...
8 replies 29 reposts 84 likes
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Sarah Posner
@sarahposner.bsky.social
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talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/resil...
9 replies 107 reposts 371 likes
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Stas Kolenikov
@statstas.bsky.social
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www.brennancenter.org/our-work/res... how many noncitizens voted in the U.S. elections?
Anybody claiming anything more than two dozen speaks from their privilege bias of waving a jaded piece of paper with no photos - their birth certificate. Let’s just say, my immigrant experience begs to differ.
0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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Dell Cameron
@dell.bsky.social
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It also seems to have become something of a secondary concern in this whole affair that Israel targeted largely Black voters by impersonating them. One of the identities stolen was that of a 21 year old Broadway actor who tragically died in 2015. Is the US holding anyone accountable?
4 replies 62 reposts 151 likes
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Dell Cameron
@dell.bsky.social
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The House Democratic leader was a top target of the Israeli campaign. His staff are ducking questions about whether he received notification from the US intelligence community, a standard practice. Jeffries has supported military aid for Israel & has invited Netanyahu to speak before Congress.
8 replies 41 reposts 150 likes
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riwoche རི་བོ་ཆེ་
@riwoche.bsky.social
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Now shall we contrast Biden's decent and virtuous statement with the disgusting verbiage of this severely brain-damaged FPOTUS:
16 replies 19 reposts 143 likes
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Dell Cameron
@dell.bsky.social
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NEW: After Netanyahu's government was caught ordering a malign influence operation against US voters last week, WIRED began questioning US lawmakers about it. We've been stonewalled at every turn. The White House even denied having heard of it.
23 replies 456 reposts 914 likes
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Nathan Kalmoe (he/him)
@nathankalmoe.bsky.social
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Here's Margaret Sullivan making some similar points in longer form. (I'm just going to stack resources here in a thread, a la carte for you & others, not intending a deluge!) www.washingtonpost.com/magazine/202...
1 replies 2 reposts 5 likes
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Nathan Kalmoe (he/him)
@nathankalmoe.bsky.social
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And McSweeney's, for good measure. OK, I'm done! www.mcsweeneys.net/articles/new...
5 replies 18 reposts 62 likes
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Marisa Kabas
@marisakabas.bsky.social
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nailed it.
26 replies 309 reposts 1763 likes
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Marisa Kabas
@marisakabas.bsky.social
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psychopaths.
3 replies 10 reposts 76 likes
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Dumbstash
@dnlmsstch.bsky.social
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The juxtaposition of these two sheets on my timeline was just perfect
1 replies 2 reposts 12 likes
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Corey Rayburn Yung
@coreyryung.bsky.social
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Or more bluntly, it's a terrible, disqualifying worldview for a judge. There's a difference between judicial bias (which is inevitable to some degree) and believing your role is to be an advocate for one side in a case before you.
3 replies 100 reposts 367 likes
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Don Moynihan
@donmoyn.bsky.social
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Alito's worldview is one of a radical: we are in a war, where one side must defeat the other. Needless to say, this is a terrible mindset to bring to the interpretation of complex laws to govern all people, including those who disagree with you.
13 replies 141 reposts 578 likes
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Sarah Posner
@sarahposner.bsky.social
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Documentary filmmaker made a secret recording of Sam Alito. "He endorsed what his interlocutor described as a necessary fight to 'return our country to a place of godliness.'"
www.rollingstone.com/politics/pol...
34 replies 240 reposts 735 likes
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Stas Kolenikov
@statstas.bsky.social
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There was a book published at the turn of the century titled?unabashedly “Statistics in the XXI century”. It is a collection of 60 or 80 chapters, with 2/3 of them being applications in other fields. Not sociology but at least some connections are being made. Some of it looks naive 1/4 century later
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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alex hayes
@alexpghayes.bsky.social
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i'm on the lookout for ethnographies or general sociological work studying statistics as a field and how it relates to other academic disciplines. pointers appreciated! #statistics
6 replies 10 reposts 16 likes
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Stas Kolenikov
@statstas.bsky.social
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Markdown files
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The New York Times
@nytimes.com
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Alex Jones is asking a bankruptcy court to let him liquidate his personal assets to help pay the $1.4 billion in damages that Sandy Hook families won for his lies about the 2012 school shooting. The money would still fall far short of what he owes.
24 replies 21 reposts 94 likes
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Stas Kolenikov
@statstas.bsky.social
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The Tale of Two Countries
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gertrudious
@erinchristinebell.bsky.social
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www.pewresearch.org/politics/202...
0 replies 1 reposts 4 likes
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Carlisle Rainey 👨💻📊📚
@carlislerainey.bsky.social
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I hadn't seen this from Gelman and friends in NEJM Evidence
They use 23,000 RCTs from the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews and ask:
given a certain p-value, what sort of study have we drawn from the distribution?
#polisky #stats #metasci
1 replies 3 reposts 7 likes
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Stas Kolenikov
@statstas.bsky.social
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Some sampling / recruitment statements make me cry “why are you doing this to me”. Like, “we combined landline IVR with opt-in online panel”.
1 replies 0 reposts 2 likes
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Stas Kolenikov
@statstas.bsky.social
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I don’t see any way of going after that level of detail. But I don’t do election polls for living.
0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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Chris Regan
@misterchrismatt.bsky.social
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Saw a D-day post where they clearly used AI because the troops are heading into the Atlantic.
138 replies 255 reposts 1478 likes
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Stas Kolenikov
@statstas.bsky.social
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ACS doesn’t ask for this. CPS November does but it won’t be available in time for weighting purposes, and registration is overreported. (I am reasonably sure you know all of this :) )
2 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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L O L G O P
@lolgop.bsky.social
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And DeSantis used this 0.4% win to disenfranchise 800,000 Floridians, most of them Black.
2 replies 37 reposts 112 likes
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Michael Tae Sweeney
@mtsw.bsky.social
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reminder that desantis's power wasn't built on a landslide, it was built on him creeping into office by 0.5% of the vote. now florida's state and local government get a generation of darkness before the people can maybe-someday claw it back.
13 replies 123 reposts 500 likes
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Melissa Gira Grant
@melissagiragrant.com
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One of the consequences of the billionaire takeover & decimation of media generally and the disinvestment in labor journalism in particular is that now we have a (small) cadre of unionized journalists who want a union that exists somehow outside the politics of media and labor
6 replies 12 reposts 30 likes