Les désistements ayant été nombreux, le nombre de triangulaires a drastiquement diminué.
Dans celles qui restent, je présume que la plupart ont des candidats non-RN en tête.
Les désistements sont une très mauvaise opération pour l’extrême-droite.
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Last year, I was lucky to meet Ran Abramitzky. Turns out he’s not just a great economic historian: he’s an even nicer person. We talked about interdisciplinarity in economic history and migration. Read it here (p. 19): issuu.com/weberjournal...
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More enthusiastic overcompliance with these anti-DEI laws. At this point, I can only conclude that many of the top "leaders" in these universities were simply waiting for an excuse to get rid of these student organizations, and now they have it.
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Last year, I was lucky to meet Ran Abramitzky. Turns out he’s not just a great economic historian: he’s an even nicer person. We talked about interdisciplinarity in economic history and migration. Read it here (p. 19): issuu.com/weberjournal...
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J’ai toujours pensé que la France est la nation européenne la plus susceptible de s’approprier de la métonymie continentale états-unienne pour l’Europe: le continent pour se référer au pays 🫢
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*way-too-clear
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Spaniard here volunteering to teach for free the art of SIESTAS
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If undecided (and, presumably, lowly engaged) voters are the ones who will decide the election, the switch could send them a way-to-clear sign of chaos and instability
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Time for siestas saving the next presidential debate and the country. POTUS, please contact any Spaniard for precise instructions.
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Big hat tip to @jbouie.bsky.social for treating uncertainties as uncertain, with both downside and upside potential, rather than what many pundits are doing: imagine a positive scenario and act as if things will smoothly go that way if only people try it.
Doesn't seem like a high bar. And yet...
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I’m so tired, Olivier…
Bon courage pour dimanche…
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Is the NYT’s editorial the strongest argument yet for Biden staying in the race?
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My most positive (as opposed to normative) take right now is that Biden can lose to Trump, but Trump also remains one of the few who could lose to this version of Biden
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Biden is too old. But he has surrounded himself with competent people and has had a conventional first term.
Trump is authoritarian but inept. He has surrounded himself with people he hopes will make him more effective at authoritarianism.
Neither is ideal. But these are not similar problems.
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Thank God we have elections in France this Sunday to remind me why fleeing to Europe has never been the solution
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I met my first undecided acquaintance today. Their reason is that they don’t have enough information. It became clear to me that we inhabit different worlds.
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Super tuned in political partisans need to understand that they dont (& largely cant!) understand the way that undecided voters perceive this sort of stuff, but basically all of our political commentary--both from pundits/reporters & some ppl online--is based entirely on the fallacy that they do.
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Assuming a sufficiently high discount factor, nothing matters.
Good night.
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This seems like the best (mini)thread to read.
Maybe I'm just looking for copium, but worth remembering it's important to listen to the people who study the stuff most closely. Punditism isn't just limited to the official pundits, and social media def fosters a bad doomerism x punditry interaction.
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Breaking: All Americans ages 6 months and older should receive one of the new Covid-19 vaccines when they become available this fall, scientific advisers to the CDC said on Thursday.
www.nytimes.com/2024/06/27/h...
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State-next-door's-rights
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If you're feeling depressed about the state of politics, I highly recommend reading the story behind the Inflation Reduction Act, the most significant climate legislation the US has ever passed.
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It’s the states’ right to decide if you can breathe www.nytimes.com/2024/06/27/u...
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You, youngsters, should have seen how hard it was to become "regular social media" in the first place
*sends gif*
*and DM*
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What was at stake for them?
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Admirably clear www.nytimes.com/shared/v2/in...
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Beyond the headline:
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Question as an outsider (not a citizen yet): what are the practical implications of having more or less people registered for a given party?
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There is a huge disconnect between the party convention vs primaries in Utah bc there is a large center-left/center/center-right population that uses the GOP primary to repeatedly veto the party rather than shift to the Dems.
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From Marc Bellemare on 🐦
Besides being funny, it's kinda neat how there seems to be a consistent wojak economist character
📉📈
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#EconSky 📉📈
I'm back at it and have a new blog post on #EconometricSausage
It is called "The Great Divide"
dlm-econometrics.blogspot.com/2024/06/the-...
Thanks for reading and circulating! I hope people will think seriously about it. 🙏
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(not true, actually: I had an Impossible burger)
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US assimilated, I guess
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Vital sunk-cost fallacy
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It just hit me that I’ve literally spent over half of my life studying economics. My ignorance levels are alarming.
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