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Thiago Krause@thiagokrause.bsky.social |
525 followers 235 following 259 posts
Assistant professor of the history of the Colonial Americas at Unirio. Co-author of “Império em Disputa” (FGV). Writing a global of Salvador da Bahia (1580-1763) with Christopher Ebert.
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Alisa Bokulich
@alisabokulich.bsky.social
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Lisa Jardine Grant of Royal Society offers funding for: Extended research trips for UK & overseas-based researchers to use Royal Society's rich historical collections & related London collections (up to £8,000 available for travel & subsistence) & more. Deadline 10 October 2024, 3pm. #histsci #HPS 🗃️
1 replies 27 reposts 21 likes
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Thiago Krause
@thiagokrause.bsky.social
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Biden has a 50-point lead among newspaper readers, and if you exclude WSJ and the like I’m sure it would be even larger…
www.nbcnews.com/news/amp/rcn...
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Thiago Krause
@thiagokrause.bsky.social
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My Paris studio during my semester abroad as a grad student had 20m2…
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Thiago Krause
@thiagokrause.bsky.social
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There has been thousands of pieces on Trump’s unfitness for office, at the NYT and elsewhere. That’s a given for their readership. Everyone who reads the NYT hates Trump. What would be the point? I hope I’m panicking and all will be ok, but these complaints feel like a coping mechanism…
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Thiago Krause
@thiagokrause.bsky.social
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So let’s have Harris!
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Thiago Krause
@thiagokrause.bsky.social
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You will get no argument from me: I’d be very happy with that ticket!
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Thiago Krause
@thiagokrause.bsky.social
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You don’t have to persuade me but the few hundred thousand voters in swing states. The base will vote D or R, so the election will be decided by marginal voters. I don’t think they will buy this argument, but I fervently hope I’m wrong.
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Thiago Krause
@thiagokrause.bsky.social
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I think that a crucial part of the electorate may not feel comfortable with Biden’s age, but I hope they do. And for the record I’d much rather have Harris already!
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Thiago Krause
@thiagokrause.bsky.social
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I meant in November.
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Thiago Krause
@thiagokrause.bsky.social
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Yes, it will be… Also, note that movement to Biden was already reversing before the debate (see all aggregators) and that Senate candidates were running well ahead of Biden in swing states, which makes biased polling a less convincing possibility.
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Thiago Krause
@thiagokrause.bsky.social
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Sure, it is possible. However, I think coverage will be merciless, as clips, and it will reinforce Biden’s weakness. Even more important, he’s behind (barring systemic polling error) and I see little to change that in the foreseeable future.
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Thiago Krause
@thiagokrause.bsky.social
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I do not think he lost last night. I do think he was behind and I see no path for recovery barring systemic polling error.
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Thiago Krause
@thiagokrause.bsky.social
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I tend to think there wouldn’t be a contested convention and the party would coalesce around Harris out of necessity, though I agree it is not a certainty. I do not see any way, though, Biden wins outside of systemic polling error. It is not like all was going swell before the debate!
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Thiago Krause
@thiagokrause.bsky.social
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I hope so! Hard to trust the fate of the world on that possibility.
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Thiago Krause
@thiagokrause.bsky.social
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Of course that’s the correct take. I only hope that’s the majority’s take!
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Thiago Krause
@thiagokrause.bsky.social
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Yes, Biden was 4pp ahead four years ago.
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Thiago Krause
@thiagokrause.bsky.social
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I don’t think any US presidential debate in memory has been as disastrous as this one, but I hope I’m wrong!
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Thiago Krause
@thiagokrause.bsky.social
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I hope he loses again! Doesn’t seem like it.
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Thiago Krause
@thiagokrause.bsky.social
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Trump has always a lying sack of authoritarian shit. Didn’t stop him from winning in 2016 or being ahead of the polls now.
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Thiago Krause
@thiagokrause.bsky.social
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Why can’t the case be “Biden should drop out and if Harris is the candidate, so be it”?
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Thiago Krause
@thiagokrause.bsky.social
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This is not a serious comparison. Obama 2012 is not comparable to yesterday!
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Thiago Krause
@thiagokrause.bsky.social
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Sure, so let’s have Harris!
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Thiago Krause
@thiagokrause.bsky.social
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Best president, domestic-policywise, since LBJ. But he is a disaster as campaigner.
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Thiago Krause
@thiagokrause.bsky.social
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Hard to blame people for reacting to reality.
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Thiago Krause
@thiagokrause.bsky.social
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Maybe. Maybe not! What we do know is that Biden is a disaster. I’d vote for him, sure (don’t vote - not a citizen), but he is on track to lose.
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Thiago Krause
@thiagokrause.bsky.social
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Trump is always a shit show…
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Thiago Krause
@thiagokrause.bsky.social
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I hope so!
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Thiago Krause
@thiagokrause.bsky.social
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Of course it should have happened long ago and it will be a mess now. The debate debacle was major and I think you’re deluded, but I fervently pray I’m wrong and Biden wins somehow! Cannot see that at all, though.
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Thiago Krause
@thiagokrause.bsky.social
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Yes.
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Thiago Krause
@thiagokrause.bsky.social
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I read each and every one of your NYT columns and always say you’re the best political writer in the US. I’m not convinced, but, as I said, let’s have Harris then! Otherwise Dems and democracy are going to lose. Better a possibility than a certainty. I do not fancy being an immigrant in Trump’s USA.
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Thiago Krause
@thiagokrause.bsky.social
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I’d like to read a piece that expound your reasoning on that front, as I think everything is too uncertain right now. I do think she’s the most likely candidate, though, and that in no way diminishes my fervent wish for Biden to dropout.
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Thiago Krause
@thiagokrause.bsky.social
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Enjoy your break, Anna!
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Thiago Krause
@thiagokrause.bsky.social
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Yaaay, congrats, Anna!!!
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Thiago Krause
@thiagokrause.bsky.social
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This is a particularly well-written piece, even by the high standards of @jbouie.bsky.social
www.nytimes.com/2024/04/16/o...
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Thiago Krause
@thiagokrause.bsky.social
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You’ll get no argument from me!
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Thiago Krause
@thiagokrause.bsky.social
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Acho que corporativismo parlamentar tá em último, considerando a divisão do centrão. Primeiro lugar é bolsonarismo (principalmente querer brigar com Xandão, segundo lugar afinidade miliciana)…
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Thiago Krause
@thiagokrause.bsky.social
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Yeah, I used to do that. Now I just get up quietly and start my day…
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Thiago Krause
@thiagokrause.bsky.social
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That’s me, every day. Woke up at 3:30 AM today. Right, @unlawfulentries.bsky.social ? Not writing yet, though: class prep then going for a run now…
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Ben Schmidt
@bschmidt.bsky.social
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Just re-ran numbers H-Net job listings in history--tenure-track job searches for the 2023-2024, were around the low-water marks set in 2015-2017, and notably worse than 2021-2022. Drops seem even across time periods. See the notebook for some breakdowns. observablehq.com/@bmschmidt/h...
0 replies 16 reposts 25 likes
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Thiago Krause
@thiagokrause.bsky.social
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Well, Chicago does include it, doesn’t it? Being Brazilian and having spent nearly all my academic life here so far, I’m all for taking Global South scholarship seriously. Still, I’m all for eliminating place of publication from references. Too much space for little gain…
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Thiago Krause
@thiagokrause.bsky.social
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Isn’t that fairly easy to determine from press names alone?
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Anna O Law
@unlawfulentries.bsky.social
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They threatened to post my phone number of the bathroom wall of the APSA hotel "For GREAT EATS, call this number..." Every time that story gets told, it gets embellished more by someone. I just heard it told back to me by another friend yesterday. AHA skystorians, you may email me for NYC recs 2/2
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Thiago Krause
@thiagokrause.bsky.social
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I mean, finished the very first draft! It’s years away from being fit for publication.
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Thiago Krause
@thiagokrause.bsky.social
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Most likely! I just finished the paper on smuggling, but it is too late for your tastes, Lou (1700-30).
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Christoph Harig
@charig.bsky.social
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“We were not interested in killing [Hamas] operatives only when they were in a military building or engaged in a military activity (...) On the contrary, the IDF bombed them in homes without hesitation, as a first option. (...) The system is built to look for them in these situations.”
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Micah
@rincewind.run
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even the "self-made" folks in the next tier up almost always inherited enough to be in a position to acquire that kind of wealth the easiest way to make money is to have money, and the easiest way to have money is to inherit it
14 replies 98 reposts 416 likes
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Jo Wolff
@jowolff.bsky.social
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Microsoft Word developers. ‘No-one wants to write comments on footnotes.’ PhD Supervisors. ‘?????’ Microsoft Word developers. ‘No-one WHO MATTERS wants to write comments on footnotes.’
16 replies 104 reposts 597 likes
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Thiago Krause
@thiagokrause.bsky.social
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The UK government may somehow be even more disfuncional than the Brazilian government…
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Margot Finn
@eicathomefinn.bsky.social
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'Waterton was born in 1782 into a family which had direct links to slavery....he was sent to Demerara in modern-day Guyana to manage his father and uncle’s sugar plantations....He later wrote: “Slavery can never be defended: he whose heart is not of iron can never wish to be able to defend it.”'
1 replies 6 reposts 14 likes