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Aaron Rupar@atrupar.bsky.social |
Reminder for people who seem to be convinced that a deficit barely outside the margin of error in July is insurmountable
53 replies 150 reposts 704 likes
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They Call Me Tomu
@theycallmetomu.bsky.social
[ View ] |
Counter point-it always seems to be Republicans that gain in the endgame.
1 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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David (feat. CJ)
@chiggyvr.bsky.social
[ View ] |
Jesus. Didn't see the date on this at first, and for a second thought Clinton was being proposed to replace Biden!
0 replies 0 reposts 3 likes
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S.I.Nestor
@sinestor.bsky.social
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It’s surmountable if the candidate has the FSB, KKK, and NYFBI all on his side.
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Jay
@glitter-fairy.bsky.social
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Trump stole the election in 2016 with help from his Russian daddy.
0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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Scaredyfish 🐟🐡🐠
@scaredy.fish
[ View ] |
This is not comforting
0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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N8
@en8.bsky.social
[ View ] |
it’s less the current polling and more the “candidate cannot complete a sentence, let alone make an argument about why to elect him” everyone supporting JB before Thursday despite the polls assumed he would be able to campaign and grow his support the debate showed that’s a not a fair assumption
4 replies 1 reposts 21 likes
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Every Breath 🌈🌊😺💙
@everybreath13.bsky.social
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This is why I never pay attention to polls. I believed them in 2016 and they were so wrong.
0 replies 0 reposts 2 likes
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BillyBob
@billybob53.bsky.social
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Fuck CNN
0 replies 0 reposts 2 likes
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Steph Scythes
@stephscythes.bsky.social
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Forget 2016! On November 3, the day of the 2020 presidential election, the Democratic party nominee Joe Biden was polling narrowly ahead of incumbent Republican president Donald Trump in key battleground states, although his lead had narrowed since earlier in the campaign."
0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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Bote Man
@boteball.bsky.social
[ View ] |
Reminder that this is not a horse race and the polls have been shown to canvas people who are least likely to vote. Still waiting on a statement of platforms, policies, plans...you know, the kinds of things that normal politicians tell us to make a decision.
4 replies 0 reposts 9 likes
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Ryondor
@ryondor.bsky.social
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Well, she did get the most votes.
0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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Cersei Transnister 🏳️⚧️🏴☠️🦋
@khatunjessicabeki.org
[ View ] |
And it’s not even that bad for Biden.
1 replies 0 reposts 5 likes
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Chrisby
@chrisbyc.bsky.social
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Well - we found out after the last 8 years that she was correct about everything about TFG. Everything. Maybe that's why people trust her now. I'd vote for her. She could do 4 years easily. Then, regroup.
1 replies 0 reposts 3 likes
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@leonceg.bsky.social
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It’s insurmountable if your candidate has proven on TV that he might glitch out at any time as if to prove his unfitness. I fear it’s a mistake to assume this is something he has control over.
0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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khwalz
@khwalz.bsky.social
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It's because of the fucking Electoral College, which makes absolutely no sense, if it ever did. It's an abomination that has to be abolished.
2 replies 2 reposts 6 likes
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@suzabelle.bsky.social
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I swear, those flipping polls are why Trump won. Doesn't seem too important to turn out if your girl is running away with it. Hoping that ppl are looking at the polls & they weigh Biden's age vs Trump's sociopathy, the judges he'll appoint & what he'll do to the planet & get over themselves.
1 replies 0 reposts 2 likes
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Mummified Yeti Hand
@jackacid.bsky.social
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It’s insurmountable.
0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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Jeff
@blueberrywerewolf.bsky.social
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Hopefully people care about Trump's emails in October
0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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Teko
@teko.bsky.social
[ View ] |
Also a reminder that phone polls are the results of old people with land lines who enjoy taking phone polls, not exactly statistically ideal
1 replies 0 reposts 4 likes
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Soil Symbiont
@boleteful.bsky.social
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Those are cherry picked polls. The whole spread of them as shown by 538 tells a more modest story. Also electoral college is a thing and favors Republicans.
0 replies 0 reposts 3 likes
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Ghost Bear ☮
@ghostbear077.bsky.social
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I just called a Trumper-Mole trying to convince liberals that Biden would easily win by a landslide and we were all stupid for thinking he might not. Then he blocked me. Trump-Moles are here, folks. I've spotted several already. They know Bsky is too liberal for a "frontal assault" like (cont)
1 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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Kat Auntie
@katauntienyc.bsky.social
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I continue to believe thaat Mother Russia put a finger on the scales in a few swing states. I hope the means of collecting and counting votes is secure now.
0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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Noonsie
@cthotspur.bsky.social
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You know what’s not insurmountable? The march of time.
0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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Becca's Mullet
@beccasmullet.bsky.social
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Things can turn on a dime in this day and age.
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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First Wordle Problems
@fwordleproblems.bsky.social
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JULY! It's incredible the sheer amount of loser shit we're seeing on here.
0 replies 0 reposts 5 likes
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Charlie88.bsky.social
@charlie88.bsky.social
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Trump has a lot of things to get through before the election. The convention and sentencing along with possible evidence released from two trials.
2 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Chuck Taggart, Private Eye
@sazeracla.bsky.social
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Then they ratfucked her. Like the New York Times is doing every day.
0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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Jack Sprat
@jacksprat39.bsky.social
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The media is full of shit. Always.
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Mark Scrivens
@markscrivens.bsky.social
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It’s not just about the polls, unfortunately.
2 replies 0 reposts 14 likes
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Wayne He/Him
@shakesfirst.bsky.social
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"Likely voters"
0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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TheSteakSauce (independent sports journalist)
@thesteaksauce.bsky.social
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The stakes are too damn high for me to feel comfortable in polls being 3-5+ points wrong in nearly every swing state
0 replies 0 reposts 4 likes
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The chicken lady
@chickenlady.bsky.social
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Polls don't matter. They're always just a momentary snapshot. What matters is the next 40 yes: This time SCOTUS/democracy are on the ballot. Do ppl want the fascist to put more right-wingers on SCOTUS when Thomas&Alito retire? Amy Coney Barrett has another 30yrs to mess with your rights.
1 replies 1 reposts 2 likes
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The chicken lady
@chickenlady.bsky.social
[ View ] |
Electoral college and Facebook back in the day that worked with Grump. These days, it's the MSM doing his bidding.
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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the jEfE
@thejefe.bsky.social
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Polls are meaningless.
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russian...
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Howie from Maryland 🦀
@hocohowie.bsky.social
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Jim Comey isn't walking through that door.
1 replies 0 reposts 6 likes
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Jonny Lobo
@jonnylobo.bsky.social
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After that election, how any American can put faith in them is beyond me. It's patently absurd. Weak polling, strong, doesn't matter: Go out and vote for who you're going to vote for, or don't. But don't let polls decide for you.
2 replies 0 reposts 12 likes
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UnconditionalProng Returns!
@unconditionalprong.bsky.social
[ View ] |
Remember 2022 when it was a repeat of 2010's red tsunami? Wait? That didn't happen?
0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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Life Is Not A Test
@life-is-not-a-test.bsky.social
[ View ] |
It's only surmountable if Biden can convince people he's not losing his marbles. And that's not possible at this point. We're past that point.
0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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Dolphin 🐬💥🌊🌻
@dalfen.bsky.social
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@atrupar.bsky.social
Polls are also often not representative of the population at large.
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Demblu
@phranklindb.bsky.social
[ View ] |
The only reason 3rd Party Jill Stein ran hard in just 3 key States, near the end of the 2016 campaign, when all signs appeared clear that HRC would win it. We lost our SC, our human dignity, our standing in the world, long fought human & civil rights, & our America is now in a downsliding crisis.
2 replies 1 reposts 23 likes
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Alex Perry
@alexandreathegreat.bsky.social
[ View ] |
But Biden is getting worse
0 replies 0 reposts 2 likes
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Joe Discenza
@jdiscenza.bsky.social
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Who knows what Comey will pull out of his hat _this_ October.
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Duane Brown 🌞🌊🌈🟧
@deweytoo.bsky.social
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🤔so well run a really smart accomplished woman who is also old instead of an old man who’s track record for his term and career is solid. Why? Where are the young people Pete perhaps?
0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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Biscuit
@smashbiscuit.bsky.social
[ View ] |
This isn't as comforting as you might have intended
1 replies 0 reposts 7 likes
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SanMarcos 🍉🍒🚤🏭 Meme thief
@sanmarcos.bsky.social
[ View ] |
Big difference is that Republicans have the electoral college in their favor. Democrats have to work harder to win. So many red states with fewer people than a blue state city.
1 replies 1 reposts 2 likes
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klowy
@klowy.bsky.social
[ View ] |
Aaron, I have tremendous respect for you. I’m a subscriber. But you are intentionally leaving out the fact that over 70% of democrats want someone else. Because of his age. That’s not a new number.
1 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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Kimberly D
@drkimberlydunwoody.bsky.social
[ View ] |
Horseshoe Theory in full tilt, hard to tell the Bernie Bros from the MAGA’s at this point.
4 replies 0 reposts 8 likes
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Philip Thibodeau
@pthibodeau.bsky.social
[ View ] |
Yes Biden is definitely as dynamic a figure as Trump.
0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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Andy
@djcentos7.bsky.social
[ View ] |
No modern presidential candidate has had a debate go that badly in late June much less even had a debate that early against the other party’s assumed nominee.
0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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reply guise
@acabforcutie.gglight.work
[ View ] |
People famously obfuscated their answers to pollsters, knowing that supporting Trump was frowned upon socially. I can’t imagine such an effect now.
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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@rico911.bsky.social
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Thank you.
0 replies 0 reposts 0 likes