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Jo_clever_ke@insidejoke.bsky.social |
79 followers 61 following 4389 posts
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Jo_clever_ke
@insidejoke.bsky.social
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Like if this were a valid question the people discussing it would probably be pointing out that Harris is the most likely theoretical candidate that would win a contested convention, there wouldn't be so much time dedicated to who would best win in November, it's who'd win the contested convection.
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Jo_clever_ke
@insidejoke.bsky.social
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How is that a valid question though? That is the question you ask during a primary or in a contested convention, since the primary is over, and there are no plans for a contested convention the question is moot.
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Jo_clever_ke
@insidejoke.bsky.social
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"2 minute read," they're really phoning it in.
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Jo_clever_ke
@insidejoke.bsky.social
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Musk who once proclaimed that Twitter must be politically neutral, now calling for death of those who disagree with him on a political matter is very on the nose.
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Jo_clever_ke
@insidejoke.bsky.social
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Plus the story is now metatextual, a feelings about feelings story. Where they report on what they feel other people feel, thus creating a vicious cycle.
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Jo_clever_ke
@insidejoke.bsky.social
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Don't want to be those guys saying, "the problem is the media," but the problem is the media. They are fixated so much on asking why won't Biden do Y, they don't report on him doing X, then they move on to Z after he does Y.
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Satisfied Psychic
@satisfiedpsychic.bsky.social
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With respect and patience for people who can't 24/7 news binge, so much of this is "Why won't Biden [Do Thing He Has Already Done]?"
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Jo_clever_ke
@insidejoke.bsky.social
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It's clearly not true as evidenced by the hypothetical you made up where literally every Congressional Democrat agrees to work together to force him out.
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Jo_clever_ke
@insidejoke.bsky.social
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Not only that, none of the Nate Silvers in the world bothered to even endorse him, they didn't want that loser energy, so they just groused about needing some hypothetical other generic Dem, which ironically had bigger loser energy than just endorsing Phillips.
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Jo_clever_ke
@insidejoke.bsky.social
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It's easy to just say, ah well these times he's fine but he must be doing badly when he isn't on camera. See all the claims that anytime he does well he's been hopped up on drugs.
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Jo_clever_ke
@insidejoke.bsky.social
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You can't prove a negative. He can't prove there's nothing at all wrong with himself. He's already done interviews and public appearances, no one is dramatically reversing themselves. If anything the media and the people claiming this is what they want are just ignoring it.
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Jo_clever_ke
@insidejoke.bsky.social
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Wait what things? What things don't apply?
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Jo_clever_ke
@insidejoke.bsky.social
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Then why hasn't the public pressure worked yet? Why hasn't Biden been shamed to drop out?
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Jo_clever_ke
@insidejoke.bsky.social
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If it worked that way then Manchin and Sinema would have nuked the filibuster.
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Jo_clever_ke
@insidejoke.bsky.social
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Really all Biden would have to do is just not respond to it, or call it BS whenever he gets asked. You can't actually force someone to do something they aren't willing to do via public shaming.
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Jo_clever_ke
@insidejoke.bsky.social
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I'm not actually so sure Trump would bother pardoning people, he mainly did so in the first term to reward silence, or to help foster cultrure of silence, he really gonna do that when he himself isn't gonna be in any legal jeopardy?
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Jo_clever_ke
@insidejoke.bsky.social
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At the end of the day it's all about turnout.
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Jo_clever_ke
@insidejoke.bsky.social
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Trump's declaration he had NOT had a series of strokes, didn't raise any questions that were answered by the declaration.
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Jo_clever_ke
@insidejoke.bsky.social
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It's not too weird. People wanting to try to walk down a certain path while simultaneously being incapable of understanding and/or refusing to acknowledge where that path is most likely to go isn't particularly uncommon.
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Jo_clever_ke
@insidejoke.bsky.social
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I had a four hour one earlier, the fireworks would keep me up otherwise. No matter what I'll be semi functional tomorrow.
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Jo_clever_ke
@insidejoke.bsky.social
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I worry that they'll get worse. A loss like this is the thing that makes a party shake things up, either they go farther right economically (a tough sell) or they go harder on social issues, anti-trans, anti-immigrant, anti-muslim are the main social issues I can see them getting worse on.
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Jo_clever_ke
@insidejoke.bsky.social
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Sunak tried to do that, in the last stretch he set the lowest of low bars at preventing a Labour Supermajority, despite a 2/3rds majority threshold in the UK Parliament being meaningless unlike with America, he may have succeeded but it probably wont be seen as a victory.
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Flying Mezerkis
@bananapantz.bsky.social
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That doesn’t seem like a great result.
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Jo_clever_ke
@insidejoke.bsky.social
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A lot of experts on UK politics all of a sudden. We just don't know, maybe it's very very good. Maybe it's like golf. No way to know.
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Jo_clever_ke
@insidejoke.bsky.social
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NYTimes publishing OpEds that are based on blatant lies and actively deceive their readers is the sort of thing to be expected when the guy in charge decides to that the paper's raison d'être needed to change from informing readers to "challenging the views" of its readers.
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Jo_clever_ke
@insidejoke.bsky.social
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I'm probably wrong on this, obviously, all the polling says Tory wipeout, and my contrarianism just screams, 'overconfidence.' The surety of the conventional wisdom makes part of me rebel. Again that's not intellectual prediction it's just kneejerk skepticism.
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Jo_clever_ke
@insidejoke.bsky.social
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I should probably lay out my marker on the UK elections: Intellectually I know that pretty much all the signs point to a massive Labour win, that they'll have a clear majority, but it just sort of feels like they'll still lose. They've been out of power for so long.
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Jo_clever_ke
@insidejoke.bsky.social
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Plus Trump has been pretty explicit on his plans for said groups involve mass relocations. Doesnt get as much media coverage as it deserves. That said Trump has also explicitly called for legalizing the execution of drug dealers while praising their illegal executions in the Philippines, so...
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Jo_clever_ke
@insidejoke.bsky.social
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I think the most likely scenario we will see under Trump in this vein is mass kidnappings of suspected illegal immigrants and homeless. Traditionally this sort of power is used against those with the least power, and they probably won't jump to murder first
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Mr. Am I Being Detained
@gonebabygone.bsky.social
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Something grimly funny about how like 10 years ago, every harmless crank who believed in stuff like flat earth and fake moon landing would either be radicalized into antisemitism or gradually revealed it, but now all these people are open antisemites and they stumble into flat earth
31 replies 107 reposts 641 likes
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Joe Katz
@joekatz45.bsky.social
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"They're just fearmongering about Project 2025," brought to you by the people behind "They're just fearmongering about a coup" and "they're just fearmongering about abortion bans"
56 replies 942 reposts 3385 likes
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Jo_clever_ke
@insidejoke.bsky.social
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I'm just guessing its the one about polling, because I too would rather stay out of all that.
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Jo_clever_ke
@insidejoke.bsky.social
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Media's too busy fixating on minutia like how Biden hadnt talked to Pelosi X days after debate, despite that not really being indicative of anything but is emotionally evocative, to focus on things like actual public appearances.
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@russms.bsky.social
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I hate this court so much and even I am astonished by this case. It writes new provisions into Art 2 of the constitution that were unnecessary to decide the case at hand and that cannot be repealed by legislative action or even undone without a new case of presidential law breaking before the court
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Jo_clever_ke
@insidejoke.bsky.social
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Of Compact huh, always the ones you most suspect
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b-boy bouiebaisse
@jbouie.bsky.social
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constitutional lawyers use your fucking brain challenge www.politico.com/news/2024/07...
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chatham harrison is tending a new garden
@chathamharrison.bsky.social
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Bad news *if this date holds*. I am very worried that this is the first of a series of delays as these challenges filter through the courts.
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Jo_clever_ke
@insidejoke.bsky.social
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I didn't say that. I said that you do not want this to become the standard. It would be as bad if Democratic President ordered troops to fire on American protestors for example as it would be for a GOP to do it. you don't want Presidents to get in the habit of making illegal orders.
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Jo_clever_ke
@insidejoke.bsky.social
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I'd like to think Trump can somehow end up in jail in September.... but I think having any sort of hope at this point is not really supported at all by history.
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Jo_clever_ke
@insidejoke.bsky.social
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There's no way this is going to happen before the election. I was already suspecting if Trump got any sort of confinement he'd get it delayed via appeals somehow, this just makes me more certain.
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GOLIKEHELLMACHINE
@golikehellmachine.com
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anyone who thinks harris is gonna get an easy walk from the nation’s newspapers and editorial boards if she were to become the nominee is absolutely lying to themselves
28 replies 46 reposts 413 likes
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Jo_clever_ke
@insidejoke.bsky.social
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I feel like most people are just joking or saying it because they sort of know it won't happen. It'd actually be pretty horrifying if Biden decided to go down this route some bells can't be unrung you do it once and it just becomes standard.
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Retro Tech Dreams
@retrotechdreams.bsky.social
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Defragmenting
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Jo_clever_ke
@insidejoke.bsky.social
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Would be more logically consistent if they asked for both, the ol' Cincinnatus maneuver.
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Convolver
@convolver.bsky.social
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Roberts once again showing his perspicacity by claiming there’s nothing to fear from a President with virtually unbounded extralegal authority the same day Trump threatens military show trials for his political opponents.
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Robert Black
@hurricanexyz.bsky.social
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The Framers: *literally wrote many, many passages that you would swear on your life were prophetic visions of Donald J. Trump, and how such a figure must be guarded against at all costs* John Roberts: surely what they wanted is for this uniquely lawless figure to be placed above the law
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Jo_clever_ke
@insidejoke.bsky.social
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I'd wager a bigger factor than that is the rise of social media and the internet breaking the back of traditional media which tended to filter out more extreme candidates.
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Jo_clever_ke
@insidejoke.bsky.social
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I'm deeply skeptical that "widening inequality of neoliberalism" is playing a big factor. There really isn't much correlation between stiff rises of inequality and the far right, German inequality was largely stagnant and Polands was dropping at the start of the far right's growth in their countries
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Jo_clever_ke
@insidejoke.bsky.social
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Feels like this is also about trying to scribble Bork did nothing wrong into history books as well.
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Jo_clever_ke
@insidejoke.bsky.social
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Even other transphobes have to be get sick of JK Rowling at this point. Case and point how Musk replied to Rowling a while back suggesting she start posting about other things occasionally.
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