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JM@jonmarke.bsky.social |
43 followers 199 following 902 posts
New here
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The Next Day
@incompetusrex.bsky.social
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Listen, if the Biden campaign wanted to quell concerns about his age, they would have put him out there, like in the post-debate pressroom, a rally, an event at the Stonewall monument, a national address, a medal of honor ceremony, a meeting with governors, another rally, and televised interview.
9 replies 50 reposts 215 likes
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Enlightened Despotist in Name Only
@edino.bsky.social
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He has repeated in every speech or interview over the last week that he wants free pre-k, he wants elder care, and he wants “healthcare as a right” (I assume he’s taking that straight from Bernie but not saying exactly how we’ll do it, which is a little deceptive but fine).
1 replies 1 reposts 4 likes
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JM
@jonmarke.bsky.social
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(And by "they" here I mean campaign strategists, not the DNC, which has very little influence on the situation from what I understand.)
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JM
@jonmarke.bsky.social
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I'm not sure either. It's a gamble, or maybe an estimate, made by people who know more than you or me, and have access to data and resources we don't have. *shrug I'm just trying to explain what I think the gamble *is* and some of the reasons why they might do things one way instead of another.
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JM
@jonmarke.bsky.social
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Because the act of dropping out carries with it huge costs and considerable unpredictability which are probably not considered "worth it" by the most experienced political people. Could you find a new person with higher numbers than Biden? Maybe, but not *enough* higher to outweigh the costs.
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Peter
@notalawyer.bsky.social
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for me the Biden conversation is entirely about whether he can win in November. i’m not worried about whether he can actually do the job because i don’t think it’s a real job.
34 replies 80 reposts 819 likes
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Ian Boudreau
@iboudreau.bsky.social
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Joe Biden refusing to take advice from people who have been wrong about everything for decades could be seen as an indication his brain is still working
15 replies 209 reposts 1004 likes
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JM
@jonmarke.bsky.social
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Need something really good before the change makes up for losing those advantages.
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JM
@jonmarke.bsky.social
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Could Coca-Cola do a successful rebrand? Sure as shit, they've got advertising muscle and a lot of money, and it could be done. But would they do it in a rush, and burn down their existing brand as they go? Nope. Not even if they were hemorrhaging money. Incumbency has HUGE advantages.
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JM
@jonmarke.bsky.social
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More than 80 million people voted for Biden 4 years ago. It's literally as silly as the coca-cola company doing a rebrand to "The Drinks Company" based on one week of focus testing and a cool logo drawn up by the graphic design intern.
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JM
@jonmarke.bsky.social
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A window of opportunity to derail a presidential campaign in a unique and never-before-attempted way. (Never attempted because of how dumb it is.) If Joe Biden died right now, it would be better to Weekend at Bernies him until after the election than try to swap candidates in fucking july.
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Aubrey Gilleran
@aubreygilleran.bsky.social
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I mean, he's had public events and media appearances in four swing states since the debate. That's not "incapable of campaigning," whatever you think about the substance of the campaign or its talking points.
1 replies 7 reposts 46 likes
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Ed
@notdred.bsky.social
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I gotta say that people are having a lot of trouble distinguishing cognitive decline (Trump) from age-related changes in expression (Biden). Biden is elderly and talks like it. Trump literally does not have preserved reality-testing
16 replies 112 reposts 504 likes
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Patrick Fessenbecker
@pfessenbecker.bsky.social
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“Mark is a good man. I respect him. He also tried to get the nomination” is a pretty savage line, imo.
2 replies 3 reposts 8 likes
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JM
@jonmarke.bsky.social
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Eh, you get some combo of Rubio, Cruz, Scott and Vance
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JM
@jonmarke.bsky.social
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Literally like 3 months ago Trump stopped talking for 30 seconds in the middle of a speech.
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JM
@jonmarke.bsky.social
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I hear what you are saying, but.
x.com/BidenHQ/stat...
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JM
@jonmarke.bsky.social
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This comment is wild
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JM
@jonmarke.bsky.social
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Hmmmm. I agree that someone's story could be damaged when presented in an ineffective way, such that lots of people are questioning it. But that's reason to call out and punish journalists who do this, otherwise we just give them a pass to misrepresent the next people. So, maybe a balance to strike
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JM
@jonmarke.bsky.social
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1, I'm not actually saying those words. 2, I hope victims are appropriately careful and understand that some journalists will exploit them without regard for their well being. I think this kind of caution could apply to lots of institutions that people naively assume are neutral good. (see: cops).
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JM
@jonmarke.bsky.social
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To be honest, I haven't seen anybody criticizing these women, or even doubting the things they actually state. I've seen a lot of questioning that focuses on how those claims are mediated by the "journalists" who are representing the story, and the *choices* those journalists are making.
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JM
@jonmarke.bsky.social
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I think scrutinizing or criticizing an outlet that engages in irresponsible, exploitative, or deceptive behavior will always be a good thing to do. I don't think that's the same thing as criticizing people who need to talk about their experiences.
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JM
@jonmarke.bsky.social
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I don't wanna listen to a 4 hour terf podcast, so I'm not going to. My main concern is that I think there's a real chance this outlet isn't representing victims stories fairly, or in a way that isn't exploitative. That's a concern that i hope will be resolved.
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JM
@jonmarke.bsky.social
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I know you're not asking me, but isn't it important to look at the source to make sure it's actually representing victims well, letting them tell the story they want to tell? Journos have a responsibility here. Identifying a bad one gives victims tools in future to make good decisions.
2 replies 0 reposts 0 likes
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Tom Scocca
@tomscocca.bsky.social
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"Executive Time" fell out of the coverage of Donald Trump in the most incredible way. Nobody writing about his quest to become president again ever mentions the fact that he hated the job when he had it and he couldn't and wouldn't really do it!
26 replies 189 reposts 782 likes
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Tom Scocca
@tomscocca.bsky.social
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Just like none of the bold investigators backfilling Joe Biden's feeble debate performance with punchy anonymous quotes have ever figured out why Trump was rushed to Walter Reed, claimed he wanted a spur-of-the-moment weekend checkup, and a year later declared that he had NOT had a series of strokes
20 replies 325 reposts 1071 likes
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JM
@jonmarke.bsky.social
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Oh, hard disagree. That's why so many people can successfully mimic a trump speech, you just change topics via free association seven or eight times and never return to what you were saying. And he's definitely gotten worse.
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JM
@jonmarke.bsky.social
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Right. But crucially, Dems also don't have anyone on deck. If the freakouts would stop, there would be parity. The freakouts are the problem, not mental stability or suitability.
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juno. stump ($190/$250)
@juno.bsky.social
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have you all heard of THE RADIUM GIRLS? if you haven’t, go look that up because any post i try to do won’t be enough and will get suppressed. come back when you’re done looking up THE RADIUM GIRLS okay. you done? cool. okay so Clarence Thomas wants to get rid of OSHA
21 replies 283 reposts 688 likes
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JM
@jonmarke.bsky.social
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Having an impact on vibes is legit. However, Trump repeatedly fell asleep in court (and reportedly worse) and is markedly less coherent than before. Lack of a freak out on GOP side either suggests that freaking out and changing horses is a bad strat, or that this is just a media coverage problem
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JM
@jonmarke.bsky.social
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It's about *winning.* Does winning require increasing turnout from reluctant voters? Or would it be better to "hold on" to the voters who voted Biden last time?
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JM
@jonmarke.bsky.social
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I think she was 20 at the time. (Wasn't the first time they met.) Not better, just mentioning.
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JM
@jonmarke.bsky.social
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Only if voters vote based on who is actually suited to be great at president stuff. (This is obviously not true, since Trump is in the race.) What evidence do we have that voters base their votes on the objective mental fitness of a candidate, and not, say, a combo of platform, inertia, and vibes?
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JM
@jonmarke.bsky.social
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If that's your ticket, explain how it could be any better than Harris plus Biden, lol. You're basically describing "Biden/Harris but with no machine."
1 replies 0 reposts 3 likes
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Will Stancil
@whstancil.bsky.social
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It’s very, very clear that the loudest voices calling most excitedly for this remedy are not especially politically sophisticated or even worried about Biden losing - that’s why they didn’t freak for the months of lagging polls and why they’re doing nonsense fantasy-draft replacement picks.
4 replies 16 reposts 174 likes
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Will Stancil
@whstancil.bsky.social
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It’s maddening to see skepticism of ejecting Biden treated like cultish loyalty. Some of us have been out here saying Biden’s too old for years. The problem is that what is being proposed is a shocking, almost unheard-of remedy, and every historic precedent tells us it’ll end in catastrophe.
20 replies 61 reposts 382 likes
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JM
@jonmarke.bsky.social
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This is the thing. If things go publicly weird, Harris is already in place. If things go weird and they keep it secret behind the scenes, well gosh, Harris is already in place. Dem insiders know this, and I feel like the smart ones know they should just HODL.
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JM
@jonmarke.bsky.social
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*loseable
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JM
@jonmarke.bsky.social
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Say 30% are blue no matter who, 30% are looking for any excuse to vote trump for some reason, 20% are gettable independents or wishy washy, and 20% are never gonna vote. (These numbers are silly, but it's my envelope.) That's like... maybe 1.5 million votes lovable, mostly from blue strongholds.
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JM
@jonmarke.bsky.social
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I would bet both are up, tbh
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JM
@jonmarke.bsky.social
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Rankled governor sounds like something unpleasant happened in your engine block.
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JM
@jonmarke.bsky.social
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NYT only has a circulation of like 9 million people, tbh.
1 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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JM
@jonmarke.bsky.social
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Eh, it's alright, I'd vote for you, or a really old person, or a casserole dish to be president if it was on the democratic ticket. I'd vote for Joe Biden if his bedtime was 6;45. I'd vote for Kamala if she had to do every press conference underwater. Hell I'd even vote for Gavin Newsome.
0 replies 0 reposts 3 likes
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Faine Greenwood
@faineg.bsky.social
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It also makes me feel insane that the rat fuck around Biden’s age and mental capacity is being uncritically spread around by Democrats when Trump is *incredibly obviously* grotesquely mentally incapacitated, in a way that is genuinely terrifying.
39 replies 291 reposts 1061 likes
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JM
@jonmarke.bsky.social
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Oh he knows plenty about it, he's paid to know about it by whichever Russian intelligence service he's currently with.
0 replies 2 reposts 49 likes
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John Brown stan account
@johnbrownstan.bsky.social
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These guys know a good ratfuck when they see one
1 replies 2 reposts 22 likes
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JM
@jonmarke.bsky.social
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Do we get "sub-cabinets" within DOJ that take over for the EPA?! (Don't love that!)
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Peter
@notalawyer.bsky.social
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if you’re asking what my solution to the ascendance of fascism is i don’t have one. if you’re asking what’s better than larping and nihilism I’d say literally any form of political organization.
2 replies 9 reposts 127 likes
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thiiird person
@thiiirdperson.bsky.social
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i just checked something in the hellish AI-assisted search scape and sighed in relief! if you search "phonebank" and your state, you STILL find dems registering voters so! if you worry about turnout, your time is better spent doing virtual volunteering sessions (they train you) than arguing here
0 replies 2 reposts 6 likes
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Michael Tae Sweeney
@mtsw.bsky.social
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This is the exact same phenomenon whereby the second place candidate in Dem primaries becomes very popular. the RW media pumps them up because it causes problems for the actual nominee. This is how Hillary Clinton became "the most popular politician in the country" in 2009!
7 replies 10 reposts 130 likes