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McNutcase
@mcnutcase.bsky.social
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Gonna chase their sunk cost all the way to the ocean floor in a carbon fiber submarine.
0 replies 2 reposts 12 likes
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Will Wilkinson 🏳️🌈@wlknsn.xyz |
2927 followers 1257 following 683 posts
Head of Policy at TBD/Block. Ex- Niskanen, NYT, Economist, Cato. Los Angeles. Invite me on a hike!
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McNutcase
@mcnutcase.bsky.social
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Gonna chase their sunk cost all the way to the ocean floor in a carbon fiber submarine.
0 replies 2 reposts 12 likes
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Kevin M. Kruse
@kevinmkruse.bsky.social
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My favorite part of the West Wing fantasies about replacing Biden is the idea that there wouldn’t immediately be a new fatal flaw with whoever replaced him.
46 replies 115 reposts 818 likes
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Will Stancil
@whstancil.bsky.social
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They’re already setting up the next overblown freakout, this time to take down Harris. Nice work everyone
24 replies 46 reposts 223 likes
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Will Wilkinson 🏳️🌈
@wlknsn.xyz
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Sure! I'd prefer he hand the campaign over to Kamala. But the main thing is Trump loses and I'm not interested in reinforcing a climate of opinion that makes that less likely.
2 replies 0 reposts 17 likes
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Will Wilkinson 🏳️🌈
@wlknsn.xyz
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* Exceptions: a) 25th Amendment; b) convention delegate revolt. a) does not happen barring an actual stroke, an undeniable display of profound and terminal cognitive incapacity, etc. b) could happen if things just get worse and worse but very unlikely if the status quo basically holds.
1 replies 0 reposts 15 likes
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Will Wilkinson 🏳️🌈
@wlknsn.xyz
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I think some of us struggle to accept Biden's authority and autonomy here. It's his decision, period.* He's an adult person with all attendant rights, the PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, and his party's presumptive nominee. If he digs in, we gotta go with it. Make peace with that now.
4 replies 7 reposts 79 likes
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Will Wilkinson 🏳️🌈
@wlknsn.xyz
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But if he does step down, I will joyfully eat my foot.
0 replies 0 reposts 3 likes
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Will Wilkinson 🏳️🌈
@wlknsn.xyz
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This is what I'm betting on.
0 replies 0 reposts 2 likes
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Will Wilkinson 🏳️🌈
@wlknsn.xyz
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Also, if this take is correct in a week, then it's actually correct now, but just took folks still hoping he'll stand down another week to accept it.
1 replies 0 reposts 2 likes
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Will Wilkinson 🏳️🌈
@wlknsn.xyz
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Maybe! But I think he sees it as one of a hundred hair-on-fire "this campaign is toast" shitstorms he's hunkered down and weathered before. It's ultimately just up to him. Nobody can MAKE him do anything, barring 25th Amendment action or convention delegate revolt, which seem unlikely.
2 replies 0 reposts 4 likes
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Will Wilkinson 🏳️🌈
@wlknsn.xyz
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Polls don't have to validate him staying in. It's his decision, period, unless Kamala and half the cabinet make a different one, or a miracle happens in Chicago and all those delegates, selected by democratic means in 50 state primaries, just happen to flake. If he digs in, we have to live with it
1 replies 0 reposts 3 likes
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Will Wilkinson 🏳️🌈
@wlknsn.xyz
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Great idea. They really respond to that.
0 replies 0 reposts 3 likes
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Will Wilkinson 🏳️🌈
@wlknsn.xyz
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I respond to fundraising requests with angry responses about Gaza. It's clearly moving the needle.
1 replies 0 reposts 9 likes
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Will Wilkinson 🏳️🌈
@wlknsn.xyz
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There's a circularity here. That's why I'm saying people seem to need to convince myself that there's no path to victory when they're engaging in behavior that is helping to close it off.
2 replies 0 reposts 4 likes
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Will Wilkinson 🏳️🌈
@wlknsn.xyz
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That's exactly what I think is going to happen.
0 replies 0 reposts 4 likes
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Will Wilkinson 🏳️🌈
@wlknsn.xyz
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Sure. But they also know that they're making his chances worse the longer they keep pushing, yet with very little realism about the alternatives.
1 replies 0 reposts 29 likes
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Will Wilkinson 🏳️🌈
@wlknsn.xyz
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Totally accept those point. But... so what? If the pressure to step back hasn't worked yet, why think it will? If the expected return of further pressure is negative, which I fear it may be, why keep pushing rather than pivoting to a patriotically world-historical Weekend at Bernie's effort?
4 replies 0 reposts 10 likes
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Will Wilkinson 🏳️🌈
@wlknsn.xyz
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Seriously, though. I'm not sure that this is correct, but the dynamic I see unfolding here is very worrying.
4 replies 0 reposts 16 likes
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Will Wilkinson 🏳️🌈
@wlknsn.xyz
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Thank you. Now slap me!
1 replies 0 reposts 5 likes
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Will Wilkinson 🏳️🌈
@wlknsn.xyz
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Tell me I'm wrong: A bunch of the media and donor class panicked, for good reason, after the debate. Made a big coordinated push to make Biden step aside. Didn't work, wounding pride of lots of big egos. Now too miffed to concede so stuck denying that Biden can win to justify continued aid to Trump.
18 replies 36 reposts 200 likes
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Will Wilkinson 🏳️🌈
@wlknsn.xyz
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Yes! Not very well. I was at Cato. He sublet a room in our group house that one summer. We chatted some but he was usually out early and back late, and generally quiet, wearing some old fashioned hat.
0 replies 0 reposts 3 likes
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Will Wilkinson 🏳️🌈
@wlknsn.xyz
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YES!
0 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Will Wilkinson 🏳️🌈
@wlknsn.xyz
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The next year I lived with Keenan Kmiec, who was clerking with Roberts at the time. I think Will was maybe with McConnell then and did SCOTUS the year after.
2 replies 0 reposts 1 likes
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Will Wilkinson 🏳️🌈
@wlknsn.xyz
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Yeah, should be about then. Did his clerkships a bit later, I guess. Must have been a summer associate thing.
1 replies 0 reposts 2 likes
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Will Wilkinson 🏳️🌈
@wlknsn.xyz
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Lol. I do have half a DC novel, my MFA thesis, sitting in a "drawer." But my TWO Roberts clerk roommates never figured in.
0 replies 0 reposts 3 likes
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Will Wilkinson 🏳️🌈
@wlknsn.xyz
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He was my housemate in DC for the summer he was clerking.
3 replies 0 reposts 6 likes
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CHOAM Nomsky 💭
@thielman.bsky.social
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it rules so hard that the myth of the Kennedy dynasty has resulted in a guy running for president on the libertarian ticket and his platform is that if elected he'll direct the FBI to investigate ghosts
23 replies 35 reposts 262 likes
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Paris Marx
@parismarx.bsky.social
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Google’s emissions are up 48% in 5 years. Microsoft’s are up 30% since 2020. Those soaring figures are being driven by mass investments in data centers to power AI tools. Generative AI is a climate disaster and data center expansion must be stopped.
14 replies 657 reposts 1135 likes
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Philip Bump
@pbump.com
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A second American Revolution, this one aimed at unwinding democracy in favor of a monarchy. www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...
21 replies 175 reposts 493 likes
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Will Wilkinson 🏳️🌈
@wlknsn.xyz
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If you can't handle efficiency, maybe capitalism isn't for you!
0 replies 0 reposts 2 likes
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Brendan Nyhan
@brendannyhan.bsky.social
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Extremely frustrating to hear legal experts analyzing the SCOTUS ruling on immunity like just another case - it's an inherently normalizing act. People need to stop playing constitutional Calvinball and treat them like political actors.
17 replies 170 reposts 797 likes
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Will Wilkinson 🏳️🌈
@wlknsn.xyz
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I think, psychologically/ideologically, firms prefer slightly smaller profits if that's what it takes to maintain a sense of control over workers. Less competitive and efficient labor markets is a price worth paying for security in power to treat labor as a commodified input rather than a partner.
1 replies 1 reposts 15 likes
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Will Wilkinson 🏳️🌈
@wlknsn.xyz
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No-fault safety net exit option for workers is horrible for exploitative bosses. As a rule, it seems that if the choice is between a bigger share of a smaller surplus, based on stronger bargaining position, and a smaller share of bigger surplus with more equal conditions, firms prefer former.
1 replies 1 reposts 10 likes
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Will Wilkinson 🏳️🌈
@wlknsn.xyz
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The matching logic here has always been intuitive to me, which is why it seems pretty clear that the actual system has very little interest in the efficiency of labor markets. Seems more about the distribution of bargaining power between workers and employers.
1 replies 2 reposts 15 likes
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Aaron Sojourner
@aaronsojourner.org
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What if quitting your terrible job would help the economy?
Research by economists Zhifeng Cai & @heathcote.bsky.social shows that extending unemployment insurance to workers who quit their jobs would improve economic efficiency.
www.vox.com/future-perfe...
3 replies 28 reposts 89 likes
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Will Wilkinson 🏳️🌈
@wlknsn.xyz
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Tech people.
1 replies 0 reposts 12 likes
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Will Wilkinson 🏳️🌈
@wlknsn.xyz
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In bits and pieces, mostly in a few essays at Niskanen. But working on a book proposal on exactly this right now.
0 replies 0 reposts 4 likes
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b-boy bouiebaisse
@jbouie.bsky.social
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we’re in danger
68 replies 378 reposts 1312 likes
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b-boy bouiebaisse
@jbouie.bsky.social
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the other thing is that people have no sense of how much space cars and so they imagine that a road full of cars must be a lot of people when it very often is not. a well-used bike lane transports like twice as many people during a given time as does a road
26 replies 92 reposts 903 likes
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Dave Levitan
@davelevitan.bsky.social
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I have no idea the best path re Biden but I do know a solid week straight of “Biden Old” and “Rich Dems Worried” above-the-fold stories are *obscene* in the face of SCOTUS using the Constitution to wipe their asses purely in the service of reinstating a felon rapist as president. Crazy-making shit.
46 replies 847 reposts 3013 likes
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Pavel
@spavel.bsky.social
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Remember how the "retail theft crime wave" disappeared as soon as companies had to do their annual reports? That's because it's illegal to lie to shareholders.
AI is booming (if you're a pleb) but if you have money - Goldman Sachs will be honest with you instead web.archive.org/web/20240629...
20 replies 732 reposts 1659 likes
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Tyler King
@tylerking.bsky.social
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There is no model in which these products become profitable. The overhead is astronomically high and will require defying the laws of physics to overcome. Meanwhile, they’re fleecing gullible businesses and governments blind on false promises of an everything tech that in fact does very little.
2 replies 17 reposts 39 likes
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Gregory Hays
@aristofontes.bsky.social
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Wow, real banana republic stuff. I'm glad our presidents can launder money and associate criminally without worrying about this kind of thing.
22 replies 721 reposts 3160 likes
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Will Wilkinson 🏳️🌈
@wlknsn.xyz
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When I was a “democracy is two wolves and a sheep deciding what to have for dinner” libertarian, I was keenly aware that convincing two political opponents to not vote was as electorally effective as convincing two allies to vote. “Why I don’t vote” op-eds are inverse Rock the Vote activism, obvs
2 replies 9 reposts 47 likes
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b-boy bouiebaisse
@jbouie.bsky.social
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very much the words of a man who has never once worried, not for a moment, that he would be outside the law
34 replies 220 reposts 1700 likes
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Boston Tom Levenson
@tomlevenson.bsky.social
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To reiterate a point I just made in a response: There is a lot of evidence suggesting Trump is incapable of being president--regardless of what you think of his politics. We know from last term he doesn't read, doesn't process information well, and has an incredibly short daily work window...1/
3 replies 45 reposts 132 likes
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Joe Katz
@joekatz45.bsky.social
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"They're just fearmongering about Project 2025," brought to you by the people behind "They're just fearmongering about a coup" and "they're just fearmongering about abortion bans"
56 replies 944 reposts 3388 likes
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Matt Seybold
@mattseybold.bsky.social
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Mark Twain hated the Fourth of July. He was often invited to speak at Independence Day festivities. His audiences assumed that his reliably unpatriotic remarks were tongue-in-cheek jests. But he meant that shit. 1/9
9 replies 269 reposts 706 likes
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Quinta Jurecic
@qjurecic.bsky.social
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"John Roberts [is] abandoning his imperfect efforts to put the institution ahead of any ideological or political agenda"
4 replies 11 reposts 51 likes
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Jacob T. Levy
@jacobtlevy.bsky.social
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"The president is above the law, and the trial court judges of the Fifth Circuit are above the president" is an odd constitutional structure.
www.reuters.com/legal/us-jud...
7 replies 60 reposts 177 likes